Atl. Nacional vs Ind. Medellin Prediction & Tips | Primera A - Clausura | FootballTips.app
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Who wins?
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AI Prediction
verified Low Model Confidence
11.74
X3.47
24.01
Recommended Bet
No tip
No qualifying edge — see Value Comparison below
Key Factors
Season: Home 2.15 PPG vs Away 1.48 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 1.95 PPG vs Away 0.90 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 2.44 GPG vs Away 1.47 GPG
Defense (venue): Home 0.44 conc vs Away 1.33 conc
donut_small Win Probabilities
55%
24%
21%
Atl. Nacional
Draw
Ind. Medellin
payments
Value Comparison
| Outcome | Market Odds | True Odds (AI) | Fair Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 Goals | 1.70 | 1.90 | 1.83 | -10.3% |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 2.06 | 2.12 | 2.21 | -2.7% |
| Atlético Nacional Win | 1.77 | 1.83 | 1.93 | -3.5% |
| Draw | 3.70 | 4.17 | 4.04 | -11.3% |
| Independiente Medellín Win | 3.90 | 4.65 | 4.26 | -16.2% |
| BTTS - Yes | 1.67 | 1.75 | 1.80 | -4.7% |
| BTTS - No | 2.10 | 2.33 | 2.26 | -9.8% |
Fair Odds remove the bookmaker margin. Value is raw EV vs market odds; hover a badge for the edge vs fair odds.
history Recent Form
Atl. NacionalW
L
W
D
W
Ind. MedellinL
W
L
D
L
group Head to Head
PL15 Oct 2026
3-2
PL12 Apr 2026
2-3
PL18 Dec 2025
0-1
PL13 Dec 2025
0-0
PL4 Dec 2025
2-1
42%
Over 2.5 Goals
54%
Both Team Score
Head-to-Head Detailed
Over 1.5 Goals
67%
38 / 57 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
42%
24 / 57 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
33%
19 / 57 matches
Both Teams to Score
54%
31 / 57 matches
Atl. Nacional CS
33%
Clean Sheets
Ind. Medellin CS
26%
Clean Sheets
Recent Matches
15 Oct 2026
Atlético Nacional
3 - 2
Independiente Medellín
12 Apr 2026
Independiente Medellín
2 - 3
Atlético Nacional
18 Dec 2025
Independiente Medellín
0 - 1
Atlético Nacional
13 Dec 2025
Atlético Nacional
0 - 0
Independiente Medellín
4 Dec 2025
Atlético Nacional
2 - 1
Independiente Medellín
23 Nov 2025
Independiente Medellín
0 - 0
Atlético Nacional
26 Oct 2025
Atlético Nacional
5 - 2
Independiente Medellín
8 Sept 2025
Independiente Medellín
3 - 3
Atlético Nacional
4 May 2025
Independiente Medellín
1 - 1
Atlético Nacional
23 Mar 2025
Atlético Nacional
1 - 1
Independiente Medellín
18 Nov 2024
Independiente Medellín
1 - 0
Atlético Nacional
11 Nov 2024
Atlético Nacional
1 - 1
Independiente Medellín
Current Form Comparison
Form (Overall)
2.15
Form (Overall)
1.48
Atl. Nacional is +45% better in terms of Points Per Game
Atlético Nacional
3 - 0
Deportivo Pasto
Cúcuta Deportivo
1 - 0
Atlético Nacional
Boyacá Chicó
1 - 4
Atlético Nacional
Atlético Nacional
0 - 0
Deportes Tolima
Atlético Nacional
3 - 1
Junior
Independiente Medellín
0 - 2
Once Caldas
América de Cali
1 - 2
Independiente Medellín
Independiente Medellín
0 - 1
Santa Fe
Independiente Medellín
2 - 2
Millonarios
Junior
2 - 0
Independiente Medellín
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