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Atl. San Luis vs Guadalajara Chivas Prediction & Tips | Liga MX - Apertura | FootballTips.app

Atl. San Luis

Atl. San Luis

Home
Full Time
0 - 3
HT: 0 - 2
Saturday 5 September
Guadalajara Chivas

Guadalajara Chivas

Away
Atl. San LuisTimelineGuadalajara Chivas
1st Half
Sanchez A.Assist: Own goal
sports_soccer
6'
Marin R. (Sepulveda A.)
sports_soccer
10'
Lucas EstevesOut: Duarte A.
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30'
Lajud M. G.Out: Sanchez A.
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33'
Caicedo J.
45+3'
2nd Half
Flores L.Out: Caicedo J.
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46'
Ledezma R.Out: Camberos H.
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61'
Alvarez E.Out: Sepulveda A.
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61'
Perez S.Out: Garcia M.
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71'
Najera R.Out: Rodriguez D.
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71'
Rey L.Out: Sandoval S.
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71'
Castaneda K.Out: Aguirre D.
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71'
Gutierrez B.Out: Gonzalez F.
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79'
Ledezma R. (Marin R.)
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80'

Top stats

0.73Expected goals (xG)0.62
50%Ball possession50%
10Total shots7
4Shots on target3
1Big chances2
3Corner kicks2
82% (458/556)Passes83% (463/555)
1Yellow cards0

Shots

0.73Expected goals (xG)0.62
0.29xG on target (xGOT)0.96
10Total shots7
4Shots on target3
3Shots off target3
3Blocked shots1
6Shots inside the box4
4Shots outside the box3
1Hit the woodwork1

Attack

1Big chances2
3Corner kicks2
16Touches in opposition box18
0Accurate through passes0
1Offsides2
8Free kicks8

Passes

82% (458/556)Passes83% (463/555)
43% (26/61)Long passes47% (27/58)
66% (82/124)Passes in final third65% (65/100)
29% (4/14)Crosses13% (1/8)
0.74Expected assists (xA)0.96
23Throw ins19

Defense

8Fouls8
83% (20/24)Tackles75% (15/20)
51Duels won43
12Clearances23
18Interceptions19
0Errors leading to shot0
0Errors leading to goal0

Goalkeeping

1Goalkeeper saves4
0.96xGOT faced0.29
-1.04Goals prevented0.29
8Goal kicks5
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Very High Confidence
14.12
X3.95
21.76

Recommended Bet

cancel
Home Win
Odds: 4.33Stake: Medium (7/10)
67
Opp. Value

Key Factors

⚠️ Using limited statistical data
Attack Quality: Home 32% on target vs Away 40% on target
Standings: Home GD -2 (6pts) vs Away GD +3 (11pts)
Sofascore Stats: Away superiority - Best: Defense (+17), Creativity (+25)

donut_small Win Probabilities

27%
23%
50%
Atl. San Luis
Draw
Guadalajara Chivas
payments

Value Comparison

OutcomeMarket OddsTrue Odds (AI)Value
Over 2.5 Goals1.612.10-23.2%
Under 2.5 Goals2.051.91+7.2%
Home Win4.333.70+17.0%
Draw3.754.44-15.6%
Away Win1.801.98-9.2%
BTTS - Yes2.201.79+22.8%
BTTS - No1.612.26-28.9%

Fair Odds remove the bookmaker margin. Value is raw EV vs market odds; hover a badge for the edge vs fair odds.

Match Preview

Estadio Alfonso Lastras Ramírez is the setting as Atlético San Luis meet Guadalajara Chivas in Liga MX action on 2026-09-06 GMT.

Atlético San Luis currently occupy 13th place with 6 points, whereas Guadalajara Chivas sit in 5th position with 11 points collected so far this season.

Atlético San Luis have drawn 67 percent of their last three home matches, while Guadalajara Chivas have earned 3 victories from their most recent 6 league outings.

In past meetings, Atlético San Luis have been defeated 4 times in their last 6 head to head fixtures against Guadalajara Chivas across all competitions.

Our model prediction: Guadalajara Chivas to win by 0-2.

compareTeam Comparison

Based on 6 matches
Atl. San LuisvsGuadalajara Chivas
1.33Goals / Match1.50
1.67Conceded / Match1.00
1Clean Sheets2
4.67Shots on Target / Match6.50
52.5%Possession %60.0%
86.2%Pass Accuracy %87.9%

radarTeam Profile

Atl. San Luis
Guadalajara Chivas
AttackDefensePossessionEfficiencyCreativityDiscipline
sports_soccer
44Attack57
shield
38Defense55
swap_horiz
58Possession79
gps_fixed
55Efficiency66
auto_fix_high
44Creativity69
gavel
54Discipline52

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

8Goals Scored9
10Goals Conceded6
1Clean Sheets2
14Big Chances15
10Big Chances Missed9
0Penalty Goals2

gps_fixedShooting

83Total Shots96
28Shots on Target39

swap_horizPassing & Possession

52.5%Avg Possession60.0%
2,879Total Passes3,481
86.2%Pass Accuracy87.9%

shieldDefending

103Tackles86
43Interceptions46
19Saves19
47.6%Duels Won50.5%

gavelDiscipline

62Fouls73
8Yellow Cards6
1Red Cards1
8Offsides9

analyticsOther

19Corners53
33Successful Dribbles50
0Errors Leading to Goal1
6.72Avg Rating6.96

League Standings Context

For Atl. San Luis

PosTeamPWDLPts
12Club Necaxa62137
13Atlético San Luis61326
14Atlante FC61326

For Guadalajara Chivas

PosTeamPWDLPts
4Club Atlas640212
5Guadalajara Chivas632111
6Querétaro FC631210

Advanced Stats (Avg per match)

28.5/ 70.0
Dangerous Attacks
59.8/ 111.3
32.0%
Shots on Target
40.0%
13.2
Total Shots
16.0
53.0%
Possession
60.0%

Team Performance (Avg)

1.3
Goals Scored / Match
1.5
1.7
Goals Conceded / Match
1.0

Head-to-Head Summary

2
Atl. San Luis Wins
33%
0
Draws
0%
4
Guadalajara Chivas Wins
67%
Total H2H Matches: 6

Recent Form Stats

MarketAtl. San LuisGuadalajara Chivas
Over 1.5 Goals
83%5/6
67%4/6
Over 2.5 Goals
67%4/6
17%1/6
Both Teams to Score
67%4/6
50%3/6
* Based on last 6 matches

Past Matches

Last 6: Atl. San Luis

Mx1
Atlético San Luis
1 - 1
Pachuca CF
Mx1
Atlético San Luis
0 - 0
Club Tijuana
Mx1
Atlético San Luis
2 - 3
Cruz Azul

Home Games: Atl. San Luis

Mx1
Atlético San Luis
1 - 1
Pachuca CF
Mx1
Atlético San Luis
0 - 0
Club Tijuana
Mx1
Atlético San Luis
2 - 3
Cruz Azul

Last 6: Guadalajara Chivas

Mx1
Pachuca CF
1 - 1
Guadalajara Chivas
Mx1
Santos Laguna
0 - 1
Guadalajara Chivas
Mx1
Puebla FC
1 - 1
Guadalajara Chivas

Away Games: Guadalajara Chivas

Mx1
Pachuca CF
1 - 1
Guadalajara Chivas
Mx1
Santos Laguna
0 - 1
Guadalajara Chivas
Mx1
Puebla FC
1 - 1
Guadalajara Chivas

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