Atletico-MG vs Sao Paulo Prediction & Tips | Serie A Betano | FootballTips.app

Atletico-MG

Atletico-MG

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Full Time
1 - 0
HT: 0 - 0
Thursday 19 March
Sao Paulo

Sao Paulo

Away
Atletico-MGTimelineSao Paulo
2nd Half
LucianoOut: Andre Silva
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61'
Lucas MouraOut: Cauly
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61'
BernardOut: Perez T.
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64'
Roman I.Assist: Franco A.
sports_soccer
64'
Roman I.
71'
Tapia G.Out: Lucas Moura
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74'
DuduOut: Cassierra M.
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75'
Soares C.Out: Maik
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83'
FerreiraOut: Danielzinho
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83'
LyancoOut: Cuello
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87'
Diaz E.
90+4'

Top stats

1.07Expected goals (xG)0.58
29%Ball possession71%
13Total shots12
4Shots on target3
1Big chances1
4Corner kicks1
73% (175/239)Passes88% (515/584)
1Yellow cards1

Shots

1.07Expected goals (xG)0.58
1.27xG on target (xGOT)0.39
13Total shots12
4Shots on target3
4Shots off target4
5Blocked shots5
8Shots inside the box4
5Shots outside the box8
0Hit the woodwork0
1Headed goals0

Attack

1Big chances1
4Corner kicks1
17Touches in opposition box13
0Accurate through passes0
2Offsides0
17Free kicks16

Passes

73% (175/239)Passes88% (515/584)
33% (17/52)Long passes61% (25/41)
61% (43/70)Passes in final third80% (148/185)
45% (5/11)Crosses5% (1/19)
0.94Expected assists (xA)0.87
22Throw ins25

Defense

16Fouls17
50% (3/6)Tackles58% (7/12)
33Duels won39
28Clearances17
7Interceptions3
0Errors leading to shot0
0Errors leading to goal0

Goalkeeping

3Goalkeeper saves3
0.39xGOT faced1.27
0.39Goals prevented0.27
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Very High Confidence
12.39
X3.02
23.15

Recommended Bet

Away Win
Stake: High (10/10)
100
Opp. Value

Key Factors

⚠️ Using limited statistical data
Attack Quality: Home 25% on target vs Away 33% on target
Standings: Home GD -3 (5pts) vs Away GD +7 (16pts)
Sofascore Stats: Away superiority - Best: Efficiency (+43), Defense (+31)

donut_small Win Probabilities

4%
4%
92%
Atletico-MG
Draw
Sao Paulo

Match Preview

In Brasileiro Serie A action on March 19, 2026, Atlético Mineiro will face São Paulo at Arena MRV.

Atlético Mineiro, placed 16th in the standings with 5 points, will go up against the table-toppers São Paulo, who boast 16 points.

Atlético Mineiro has endured challenges this season, suffering 3 losses in 6 matches, while São Paulo has been in excellent form with 5 wins in their last 6 games.

The historical head-to-head stats show Atlético Mineiro securing victory in 50% of their previous 6 Brasileiro Serie A encounters against São Paulo.

With São Paulo aiming to maintain their impressive run and extend their lead at the top of the league, the clash against Atlético Mineiro promises to be a significant challenge for the lower-ranked side.

Prediction: São Paulo to win with a probability of 53%

compareTeam Comparison

Based on 6 matches
Atletico-MGvsSao Paulo

radarTeam Profile

Atletico-MG
Sao Paulo
AttackDefensePossessionEfficiencyCreativityDiscipline
sports_soccer
40Attack46
shield
42Defense73
swap_horiz
50Possession54
gps_fixed
49Efficiency92
auto_fix_high
43Creativity40
gavel
43Discipline43

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

7Goals Scored10
10Goals Conceded3
1Clean Sheets3
17Big Chances14
12Big Chances Missed5
0Penalty Goals2

gps_fixedShooting

71Total Shots67
20Shots on Target26

swap_horizPassing & Possession

50.3%Avg Possession53.3%
2,335Total Passes2,599
82.1%Pass Accuracy83.9%

shieldDefending

89Tackles95
55Interceptions49
25Saves12
49.1%Duels Won47.8%

gavelDiscipline

67Fouls91
11Yellow Cards11
1Red Cards0
15Offsides7

analyticsOther

38Corners31
39Successful Dribbles35
1Errors Leading to Goal0
6.73Avg Rating6.89

League Standings Context

For Atletico-MG

PosTeamPWDLPts
15Vasco da Gama61235
16Atlético Mineiro61235
17Botafogo41033

For Sao Paulo

PosTeamPWDLPts
1São Paulo651016
2Palmeiras641113

Advanced Stats (Avg per match)

52.0/ 97.4
Dangerous Attacks
27.7/ 93.5
25.0%
Shots on Target
33.0%
14.2
Total Shots
12.3
58.0%
Possession
57.0%

Team Performance (Avg)

1.4
Goals Scored / Match
1.5
1.2
Goals Conceded / Match
1.1

Head-to-Head Summary

2
Atletico-MG Wins
33%
3
Draws
50%
1
Sao Paulo Wins
17%
Total H2H Matches: 6

Recent Form Stats

MarketAtletico-MGSao Paulo
Over 1.5 Goals
71%12/17
82%14/17
Over 2.5 Goals
35%6/17
53%9/17
Both Teams to Score
65%11/17
59%10/17
* Based on last 17 matches

Past Matches

Last 6: Atletico-MG

Br1
Atlético Mineiro
1 - 0
Internacional
BrM
Atlético Mineiro
1 - 1
América Mineiro
Br1
Atlético Mineiro
3 - 3
Remo PA
BrM
Atlético Mineiro
1 - 1
Athletic Club MG
Br1
Atlético Mineiro
2 - 2
Palmeiras
BrM
Atlético Mineiro
2 - 1
Cruzeiro

Home Games: Atletico-MG

Br1
Atlético Mineiro
1 - 0
Internacional
BrM
Atlético Mineiro
1 - 1
América Mineiro
Br1
Atlético Mineiro
3 - 3
Remo PA
BrM
Atlético Mineiro
1 - 1
Athletic Club MG
Br1
Atlético Mineiro
2 - 2
Palmeiras
BrM
Atlético Mineiro
2 - 1
Cruzeiro

Last 6: Sao Paulo

Br1
RB Bragantino
1 - 2
São Paulo
BrP
Palmeiras
2 - 1
São Paulo
Br1
Coritiba
0 - 1
São Paulo
BrP
RB Bragantino
1 - 2
São Paulo
BrP
Ponte Preta
1 - 2
São Paulo
Br1
Santos
1 - 1
São Paulo

Away Games: Sao Paulo

Br1
RB Bragantino
1 - 2
São Paulo
BrP
Palmeiras
2 - 1
São Paulo
Br1
Coritiba
0 - 1
São Paulo
BrP
RB Bragantino
1 - 2
São Paulo
BrP
Ponte Preta
1 - 2
São Paulo
Br1
Santos
1 - 1
São Paulo

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