In a Eredivisie matchup, AZ Alkmaar will take on Ajax at AFAS Stadion on 2026-02-08 GMT.

AZ Alkmaar sits in 6th place with 32 points, while Ajax occupies the 4th spot with 38 points in the league standings.

AZ Alkmaar has faced setbacks, losing 50% of their last 6 Eredivisie matches, whereas Ajax has secured 3 victories in their last 6 away games across all competitions.

In their historical head-to-head clashes, AZ Alkmaar has dominated with a 67% win rate in their last 6 Eredivisie encounters against Ajax.

Both teams will aim to secure a positive result in the Noord-Hollandse Derby.

Our algorithm predicts that AZ Alkmaar and Ajax are likely to draw, with a probability of 48%.

Few Eredivisie fixtures have tilted as sharply in one direction in recent years as AZ vs Ajax in Alkmaar. AZ arrive with an extraordinary psychological edge, unbeaten in their last ten meetings with Ajax (W7, D3), a run that includes a humiliating 6–0 KNVB Beker demolition last month. Ajax have also failed to win on their last six trips to the AFAS Stadion, losing five of them, making this one of the most hostile domestic venues they currently face.

In the table, the gap is narrower than the rivalry suggests. AZ sit sixth on 32 points after 21 matches, while Ajax are fourth on 38, still very much in the Champions League race. AZ’s recent form has been uneven (L-W-D-L-W), punctuated most recently by a damaging 3–1 home defeat to NEC. Ajax, by contrast, are harder to beat, drawing three of their last five (D-W-D-W-D), though a 2–2 draw away at Excelsior last time out again exposed defensive fragility.

Stylistically, this fixture often becomes chaotic. AZ have scored in 20 of their last 21 league matches and consistently find ways to disrupt Ajax’s rhythm, while Ajax’s away numbers remain respectable despite the Alkmaar curse. Momentum, history, and matchup dynamics all collide here.

Form suggests a competitive contest, but history weighs heavily. AZ’s ability to consistently out-duel Ajax in Alkmaar, combined with their multiple scoring threats and Parrott’s remarkable record in this fixture, gives the hosts a tangible edge. Ajax’s broader away resilience keeps them in the conversation, yet until they solve the Alkmaar problem, confidence will remain fragile. This has all the ingredients of another uncomfortable afternoon for the visitors.