AZ Alkmaar vs H. Beer Sheva Prediction & Tips | Europa League - League phase | FootballTips.app

AZ Alkmaar

AZ Alkmaar

Home
Full Time
2 - 1
HT: 0 - 0
Thursday 15 October
H. Beer Sheva

H. Beer Sheva

Away
AZ AlkmaarTimelineH. Beer Sheva
1st Half
Amador P.
39'
Maikuma S.
45'
2nd Half
Koopmeiners P. (Byskov V.)
sports_soccer
49'
Oufkir A.
52'
Peretz E.
52'
Miguel VitorOut: Nachmias I.
sync_alt
53'
Forson A. (Ahmed Z.)
sports_soccer
55'
Stengs C.Out: Maikuma S.
sync_alt
61'
Kasius D.Out: Oufkir A.
sync_alt
61'
Yehoshua N.Out: Abu Rumi M.
sync_alt
62'
East J.Out: Peretz E.
sync_alt
62'
Diop D. T.
76'
Meerdink M.Out: Kovacs B.
sync_alt
76'
Chavez Garcia M.Out: de Wit M.
sync_alt
76'
Meerdink M.(Penalty)
sports_soccer
77'
Joao VictorOut: Ahmed Z.
sync_alt
78'
Ugarriza A.Out: Zlatanovic I.
sync_alt
78'
Stengs C.
78'
Kasius D.
83'
Weslley PatatiOut: Daal R.
sync_alt
86'
Ugarriza A.
90+1'
No statistics available for this match
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Low Model Confidence
11.28
X5.76
28.79

Recommended Bet

No tip
No qualifying edge — see Value Comparison below
63
Best near-miss

Key Factors

Season: Home 2.20 PPG vs Away 1.70 PPG
Recent Form: Home 2.20 PPG vs Away 1.70 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 2.25 GPG vs Away 1.60 GPG
Defense (venue): Home 0.75 conc vs Away 2.00 conc

donut_small Win Probabilities

63%
21%
16%
AZ Alkmaar
Draw
H. Beer Sheva
payments

Value Comparison

OutcomeMarket OddsTrue Odds (AI)Value
Over 2.5 Goals1.501.86-19.3%
Under 2.5 Goals2.632.16+21.5%
AZ Win1.301.60-18.7%
Draw5.604.72+18.6%
Hapoel Be Win8.507.12+19.3%
BTTS - Yes1.851.74+6.1%
BTTS - No1.952.34-16.8%

Fair Odds remove the bookmaker margin. Value is raw EV vs market odds; hover a badge for the edge vs fair odds.

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

AZ Alkmaar

Starting 11
-Jari De Busser
GK7.70
-Mateo Chávez
DL6.06
-Lewis Schouten
DC7.36
-Wouter Goes
DC6.62
-Elijah Dijkstra
DR7.11
-Peer Koopmeiners
DMC6.40
-Jordy Clasie
DMC6.21
-Ro-Zangelo Daal
AML6.44
-Dave Kwakman
AMC6.70
-Ayoub Oufkir
AMR5.81
-Mexx Meerdink
FW6.90

H. Beer Sheva

Starting 11
-Ofir Marciano
GK6.62
-Pedro Amador
DL6.93
-Miguel Vítor
DC7.45
-Djibril Diop
DC
-Guy Mizrahi
DR7.04
-Mohammad Kna'an
MC6.12
-Lucas Ventura
MC
-Amankwah Forson
MC6.58
-João Victor
FWL
-Igor Zlatanovic
FW6.26
-Javon East
FWR6.32
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

Match Preview

AZ welcome Hapoel Beer Sheva to the AFAS Stadion as both sides still search for their first Europa League win of the league phase. AZ opened with a 1-0 defeat away to Sunderland, while Hapoel held Dinamo Zagreb to a goalless draw.

The hosts’ European home record provides plenty of encouragement. AZ are unbeaten in their last 13 major European matches at home and have lost only two of their previous 32, making the AFAS Stadion one of their most reliable advantages despite the disappointment of matchday one.

Their latest domestic outing was less positive, with a 2-0 defeat away to Feyenoord ending their unbeaten Eredivisie start and costing them top spot. An early error from Wouter Goes proved costly, while AZ couldn't turn 57% possession and 13 attempts into a goal.

Hapoel arrive in contrasting form after a 2-0 away win over Ironi Tiberias, with substitutes João Victor and Amankwah Forson scoring both second-half goals. Ran Kozuch’s side have now gone four matches unbeaten in all competitions and have not conceded for 371 minutes.

That defensive improvement has also translated to Europe, where Hapoel have kept five clean sheets in their last eight major continental matches. Their historical record against Dutch opposition is far less encouraging, however, having lost all four previous meetings by an aggregate score of 20-1.

AZ should expect a patient contest against a side comfortable defending compactly and waiting for transition opportunities. Hapoel’s recent resilience makes them dangerous, but the Dutch side’s outstanding European home record and greater attacking depth still give them the edge.

compareTeam Comparison

Based on 8 / 6 matches
AZ AlkmaarvsH. Beer Sheva
2.25Goals / Match1.67
1.00Conceded / Match1.17
3Clean Sheets3
6.88Shots on Target / Match4.83
58.9%Possession %64.0%
86.1%Pass Accuracy %88.0%

radarTeam Profile

AZ Alkmaar
H. Beer Sheva
AttackDefensePossessionEfficiencyCreativityDiscipline
sports_soccer
88Attack50
shield
60Defense67
swap_horiz
76Possession80
gps_fixed
68Efficiency67
auto_fix_high
95Creativity61
gavel
66Discipline11

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

18Goals Scored10
8Goals Conceded7
3Clean Sheets3
28Big Chances12
20Big Chances Missed7

gps_fixedShooting

149Total Shots86
55Shots on Target29

swap_horizPassing & Possession

58.9%Avg Possession64.0%
4,304Total Passes3,440
86.1%Pass Accuracy88.0%

shieldDefending

142Tackles104
62Interceptions39
12Saves20
52.6%Duels Won48.1%

gavelDiscipline

92Fouls90
9Yellow Cards18
0Red Cards1
15Offsides7

analyticsOther

66Corners34
72Successful Dribbles45
2Errors Leading to Goal0
7.64Avg Rating7.51

Statistical Comparison

AZ AlkmaarMetricH. Beer Sheva
0
Goals
0
0
Assists
0
6.5
Average Ratings
6.6
23.6
Average Age
28.3
180.1
Average Height (cm)
180.7
2.2
Shots pg
2.1
44%
Aerial Duel Success
39%
1.3
Dribbles pg
1.5
1.8
Tackles pg
2

history Recent Form

AZ AlkmaarAZ Alkmaar
2.2 GPG
H. Beer ShevaH. Beer Sheva
1.7 GPG

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)
AZ Alkmaar
2.20
Form (Overall)
H. Beer Sheva
1.70

AZ Alkmaar is +29% better in terms of Points Per Game

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