Azerbaijan vs Lithuania Prediction & Tips | UEFA Nations League - League D | FootballTips.app
Unlock with Pro
Open every match before full time, with no ads. This page is public after full time.
$7.49/month
Billed as $89.9/year
Every match before full time
Ad-free experience
Full access to all features
or
Who wins?
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Model Confidence
12.35
X2.83
23.45
Recommended Bet
No tip
No qualifying edge — see Value Comparison below
Key Factors
Season: Home 1.20 PPG vs Away 1.10 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 1.60 PPG vs Away 2.05 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 1.38 GPG vs Away 1.25 GPG
Defense (venue): Home 1.25 conc vs Away 1.50 conc
donut_small Win Probabilities
38%
31%
31%
Azerbaijan
Draw
Lithuania
payments
Value Comparison
| Outcome | Market Odds | True Odds (AI) | Fair Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 Goals | 2.62 | 1.88 | 2.79 | +39.6% |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 1.46 | 2.14 | 1.56 | -31.8% |
| Azerbaijan Win | 2.31 | 2.60 | 2.41 | -11.1% |
| Draw | 3.10 | 3.24 | 3.23 | -4.3% |
| Lithuania Win | 3.50 | 3.26 | 3.64 | +7.3% |
| BTTS - Yes | 2.15 | 1.77 | 2.33 | +21.8% |
| BTTS - No | 1.62 | 2.31 | 1.75 | -29.8% |
Fair Odds remove the bookmaker margin. Value is raw EV vs market odds; hover a badge for the edge vs fair odds.
history Recent Form
AzerbaijanD
D
W
W
L
LithuaniaW
D
W
L
W
group Head to Head
PL27 Sept 2026
1-1
PL25 Mar 2019
0-0
0%
Over 2.5 Goals
50%
Both Team Score
Head-to-Head Detailed
Over 1.5 Goals
50%
1 / 2 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
0%
0 / 2 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
0%
0 / 2 matches
Both Teams to Score
50%
1 / 2 matches
Azerbaijan CS
50%
Clean Sheets
Lithuania CS
50%
Clean Sheets
Recent Matches
27 Sept 2026
Lithuania
1 - 1
Azerbaijan
25 Mar 2019
Azerbaijan
0 - 0
Lithuania
Current Form Comparison
Form (Overall)
1.20
Form (Overall)
1.10
Azerbaijan is +9% better in terms of Points Per Game
Azerbaijan
0 - 0
Liechtenstein
Lithuania
1 - 1
Azerbaijan
Azerbaijan
1 - 0
Tajikistan
Azerbaijan
2 - 1
San Marino
Azerbaijan
0 - 2
Malta
Lithuania
3 - 0
Andorra
Lithuania
1 - 1
Azerbaijan
Liechtenstein
0 - 2
Lithuania
Lithuania
0 - 2
Georgia
Moldova
0 - 2
Lithuania
Weekly Newsletter
Subscribe for Betting Tips
Get exclusive predictions delivered to your inbox.
Join our community of smart bettors. Get exclusive predictions, value picks, and statistical analysis delivered straight to your inbox.
Free Weekly Tips
Value Opportunities