Bahamas vs United States Virgin Islands Prediction & Tips | CONCACAF Nations League - League C | FootballTips.app
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Who wins?
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AI Prediction
verified Very High Model Confidence
14.39
X3.99
21.65
Recommended Bet
No tip
No qualifying edge — see Value Comparison below
Key Factors
Season: Home 0.30 PPG vs Away 1.00 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 0.00 PPG vs Away 1.36 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 0.83 GPG vs Away 0.80 GPG
Defense (venue): Home 4.67 conc vs Away 2.40 conc
donut_small Win Probabilities
30%
23%
46%
Bahamas
Draw
United States Virgin Islands
payments
Value Comparison
| Outcome | Market Odds | True Odds (AI) | Fair Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bahamas Win | 4.39 | 3.28 | 4.76 | +33.9% |
| Draw | 3.99 | 4.27 | 4.33 | -6.7% |
| US Virgin Islands Win | 1.65 | 2.17 | 1.79 | -23.9% |
Fair Odds remove the bookmaker margin. Value is raw EV vs market odds; hover a badge for the edge vs fair odds.
history Recent Form
BahamasL
L
L
L
L
United States Virgin IslandsL
W
group Head to Head
PL29 Sept 2026
3-1
PL13 Oct 2024
3-1
PL4 Sept 2024
3-3
100%
Over 2.5 Goals
100%
Both Team Score
Head-to-Head Detailed
Over 1.5 Goals
100%
3 / 3 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
100%
3 / 3 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
100%
3 / 3 matches
Both Teams to Score
100%
3 / 3 matches
Bahamas CS
0%
Clean Sheets
United States Virgin Islands CS
0%
Clean Sheets
Recent Matches
29 Sept 2026
US Virgin Islands
3 - 1
Bahamas
13 Oct 2024
Bahamas
3 - 1
US Virgin Islands
4 Sept 2024
US Virgin Islands
3 - 3
Bahamas
Current Form Comparison
Form (Overall)
0.30
Form (Overall)
1.00
United States Virgin Islands is +233% better in terms of Points Per Game
US Virgin Islands
3 - 1
Bahamas
Bahamas
0 - 8
Saint Martin
Cayman Islands
1 - 0
Bahamas
Bahamas
1 - 3
Anguilla
Bahamas
0 - 6
British Virgin Islands
Puerto Rico
2 - 0
US Virgin Islands
US Virgin Islands
5 - 2
American Samoa
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