Bahia
HomeFull Time
1 - 1
HT: 0 - 1
Thursday 5 February
Fluminense
Awayauto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Very High Confidence
12.18
X3.19
23.38
Recommended Bet
Home Win
Stake: High (9/10)
90
Opp. Value
Key Factors
League Rank: Home #6 vs Away #7
Season: Home 2.50 PPG vs Away 2.40 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 3.00 PPG vs Away 3.00 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 3.40 GPG vs Away 1.40 GPG
donut_small Win Probabilities
55%
23%
21%
Bahia
Draw
Fluminense
Match Preview
Bahia and Fluminense are set to clash in a Brasileiro Serie A fixture at Arena Fonte Nova on 2026-02-05 GMT.
Bahia boasts a perfect record with 3 wins in 3 home matches, while Fluminense has secured victory in their sole league outing.
In their recent head-to-head history in Brasileiro Serie A, Bahia has suffered defeats in 3 out of their last 6 matches against Fluminense.
Notably, Under 2.5 goals were scored in 3 of Bahia's last 3 matches against Fluminense.
The model predicts Bahia to triumph with a probability of 35%.
Lineups
Lineup Predictions & Ratings
Bahia
Starting 11
15Michel Daryl Araújo Villar (Injured)
CAM5.26
-Kauê Furquim
89Wendeson Wanderley Santos de Melo
6.35
99Cristian Olivera
6.63
-Gabriel Lhman Xavier
14Erick
CDM6.28
-Caio Alexandre Souza e Silva
CM
-Román Gómez
-Victor Hugo Soares dos Santos (Injured)
CB
-Iago Borduchi
LB
-João Paulo Silva Martins
GK
Substitutes
-Lyan Araujo Santos
-Julio Cesar de Rezende Miranda
CDM
11Rodrigo Nestor Bertalia
CM6.86
-Luiz Gustavo Marinho Ribeiro dos Santos
-David Martins Almeida de Lira
-José Guilherme de Lima Costa
-João Victor Broad Moreira Guimaraes
-João Vitor Coni de Andrade
-Frederico Lippert Neto Gomes
Fluminense
Starting 11
99John Kennedy
CF6.53
8Matheus Martinelli
6.97
17Agustín Canobbio Graviz
RW6.33
30Santiago Moreno
-Vinícius Moreira de Lima
CAM
-Ignácio
CB
-Guilherme Arana
LB
22Juan Freytes
CB7.06
-Guga
RB
1Fábio
GK6.68
Substitutes
9Everaldo Stum
ST6.81
90Kevin Steven Serna Jaramillo
6.75
10Ganso
CAM6.39
11Jefferson Savarino
RW6.65
16Nonato
CAM7.51
32Luciano Acosta
CAM7.80
2Samuel Xavier Brito
RB6.55
6Renê
LB7.33
-Igor Rabello da Costa
CB
-Otávio Henrique Passos Santos
CDM
-Marcelo de Araújo Pitaluga Filho
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches
League Standings Context
For Bahia
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Fluminense | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| 7 | Bahia | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| 8 | Mirassol SP | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
For Fluminense
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | São Paulo | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| 6 | Fluminense | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| 7 | Bahia | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
Advanced Stats (Avg per match)
62.7/ 96.9
Dangerous Attacks
35.7/ 106.5
46.0%
Shots on Target
49.0%
15.4
Total Shots
12.7
58.0%
Possession
57.0%
Team Performance (Avg)
3.0
Goals Scored / Match
1.7
0.7
Goals Conceded / Match
1.0
Head-to-Head Summary
2
Bahia Wins
33%
1
Draws
17%
3
Fluminense Wins
50%
Total H2H Matches: 6
Recent Form Stats
| Market | Bahia | Fluminense |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 86%6/7 | 57%4/7 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 86%6/7 | 57%4/7 |
| Both Teams to Score | 57%4/7 | 57%4/7 |
* Based on last 7 matches
Past Matches
Last 6: Bahia
BrB
Bahia
3 - 1
Porto BA
Br1
Corinthians
1 - 2
Bahia
BrB
Vitória
0 - 1
Bahia
BrB
Bahia
5 - 1
Barcelona BA
BrB
Bahia
3 - 0
Galicia BA
BrB
Bahia de Feira BA
0 - 3
Bahia
Home Games: Bahia
BrB
Bahia
3 - 1
Porto BA
BrB
Bahia
5 - 1
Barcelona BA
BrB
Bahia
3 - 0
Galicia BA
BrB
Bahia
4 - 2
Jequié
Last 6: Fluminense
BrC
Botafogo
0 - 1
Fluminense
Br1
Fluminense
2 - 1
Grêmio
BrC
Fluminense
2 - 1
Flamengo
BrC
Nova Iguacu RJ
2 - 3
Fluminense
BrC
Boavista RJ
1 - 0
Fluminense
BrC
Fluminense
2 - 1
Madureira RJ
Away Games: Fluminense
BrC
Botafogo
0 - 1
Fluminense
BrC
Nova Iguacu RJ
2 - 3
Fluminense
BrC
Boavista RJ
1 - 0
Fluminense
history Recent Form
BahiaW
FluminenseW
group Head to Head
PL7 Dec 2025
2-0
PL10 Sept 2025
2-0
PL28 Aug 2025
1-0
PL10 Aug 2025
3-3
PL4 Aug 2024
1-0
23%
Over 2.5 Goals
41%
Both Team Score
Head-to-Head Detailed
Over 1.5 Goals
68%
15 / 22 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
23%
5 / 22 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
9%
2 / 22 matches
Both Teams to Score
41%
9 / 22 matches
Bahia CS
18%
Clean Sheets
Fluminense CS
41%
Clean Sheets
Recent Matches
7 Dec 2025
Fluminense
2 - 0
Bahia
10 Sept 2025
Fluminense
2 - 0
Bahia
28 Aug 2025
Bahia
1 - 0
Fluminense
10 Aug 2025
Bahia
3 - 3
Fluminense
4 Aug 2024
Fluminense
1 - 0
Bahia
17 Apr 2024
Bahia
2 - 1
Fluminense
31 Oct 2023
Bahia
1 - 0
Fluminense
24 Jun 2023
Fluminense
2 - 1
Bahia
5 Dec 2021
Bahia
2 - 0
Fluminense
30 Aug 2021
Fluminense
2 - 0
Bahia
4 Feb 2021
Bahia
0 - 1
Fluminense
11 Oct 2020
Fluminense
1 - 0
Bahia
Current Form Comparison
Form (Overall)
2.50
Form (Overall)
2.40
Bahia is +4% better in terms of Points Per Game
Corinthians
1 - 2
Bahia
Fluminense
2 - 1
Grêmio
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Very High Confidence
12.18
X3.19
23.38
Recommended Bet
Home Win
Stake: High (9/10)
90
Opp. Value
Key Factors
League Rank: Home #6 vs Away #7
Season: Home 2.50 PPG vs Away 2.40 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 3.00 PPG vs Away 3.00 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 3.40 GPG vs Away 1.40 GPG
Match Preview
Bahia and Fluminense are set to clash in a Brasileiro Serie A fixture at Arena Fonte Nova on 2026-02-05 GMT.
Bahia boasts a perfect record with 3 wins in 3 home matches, while Fluminense has secured victory in their sole league outing.
In their recent head-to-head history in Brasileiro Serie A, Bahia has suffered defeats in 3 out of their last 6 matches against Fluminense.
Notably, Under 2.5 goals were scored in 3 of Bahia's last 3 matches against Fluminense.
The model predicts Bahia to triumph with a probability of 35%.
League Standings Context
For Bahia
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Fluminense | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| 7 | Bahia | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| 8 | Mirassol SP | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
For Fluminense
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | São Paulo | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| 6 | Fluminense | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| 7 | Bahia | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
Team Performance (Avg)
3.0
Goals Scored / Match
1.7
0.7
Goals Conceded / Match
1.0
Recent Form Stats
| Market | Bahia | Fluminense |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 86%6/7 | 57%4/7 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 86%6/7 | 57%4/7 |
| Both Teams to Score | 57%4/7 | 57%4/7 |
* Based on last 7 matches
history Recent Form
BahiaW
FluminenseW
Head-to-Head Detailed
Over 1.5 Goals
68%
15 / 22 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
23%
5 / 22 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
9%
2 / 22 matches
Both Teams to Score
41%
9 / 22 matches
Bahia CS
18%
Clean Sheets
Fluminense CS
41%
Clean Sheets
Recent Matches
7 Dec 2025
Fluminense
2 - 0
Bahia
10 Sept 2025
Fluminense
2 - 0
Bahia
28 Aug 2025
Bahia
1 - 0
Fluminense
10 Aug 2025
Bahia
3 - 3
Fluminense
4 Aug 2024
Fluminense
1 - 0
Bahia
17 Apr 2024
Bahia
2 - 1
Fluminense
31 Oct 2023
Bahia
1 - 0
Fluminense
24 Jun 2023
Fluminense
2 - 1
Bahia
5 Dec 2021
Bahia
2 - 0
Fluminense
30 Aug 2021
Fluminense
2 - 0
Bahia
4 Feb 2021
Bahia
0 - 1
Fluminense
11 Oct 2020
Fluminense
1 - 0
Bahia
donut_small Win Probabilities
55%
23%
21%
Bahia
Draw
Fluminense
Lineups
Lineup Predictions & Ratings
Bahia
Starting 11
15Michel Daryl Araújo Villar (Injured)
CAM5.26
-Kauê Furquim
89Wendeson Wanderley Santos de Melo
6.35
99Cristian Olivera
6.63
-Gabriel Lhman Xavier
14Erick
CDM6.28
-Caio Alexandre Souza e Silva
CM
-Román Gómez
-Victor Hugo Soares dos Santos (Injured)
CB
-Iago Borduchi
LB
-João Paulo Silva Martins
GK
Substitutes
-Lyan Araujo Santos
-Julio Cesar de Rezende Miranda
CDM
11Rodrigo Nestor Bertalia
CM6.86
-Luiz Gustavo Marinho Ribeiro dos Santos
-David Martins Almeida de Lira
-José Guilherme de Lima Costa
-João Victor Broad Moreira Guimaraes
-João Vitor Coni de Andrade
-Frederico Lippert Neto Gomes
Fluminense
Starting 11
99John Kennedy
CF6.53
8Matheus Martinelli
6.97
17Agustín Canobbio Graviz
RW6.33
30Santiago Moreno
-Vinícius Moreira de Lima
CAM
-Ignácio
CB
-Guilherme Arana
LB
22Juan Freytes
CB7.06
-Guga
RB
1Fábio
GK6.68
Substitutes
9Everaldo Stum
ST6.81
90Kevin Steven Serna Jaramillo
6.75
10Ganso
CAM6.39
11Jefferson Savarino
RW6.65
16Nonato
CAM7.51
32Luciano Acosta
CAM7.80
2Samuel Xavier Brito
RB6.55
6Renê
LB7.33
-Igor Rabello da Costa
CB
-Otávio Henrique Passos Santos
CDM
-Marcelo de Araújo Pitaluga Filho
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches
Advanced Stats (Avg per match)
62.7/ 96.9
Dangerous Attacks
35.7/ 106.5
46.0%
Shots on Target
49.0%
15.4
Total Shots
12.7
58.0%
Possession
57.0%
Head-to-Head Summary
2
Bahia Wins
33%
1
Draws
17%
3
Fluminense Wins
50%
Total H2H Matches: 6
Past Matches
Last 6: Bahia
BrB
Bahia
3 - 1
Porto BA
Br1
Corinthians
1 - 2
Bahia
BrB
Vitória
0 - 1
Bahia
BrB
Bahia
5 - 1
Barcelona BA
BrB
Bahia
3 - 0
Galicia BA
BrB
Bahia de Feira BA
0 - 3
Bahia
Home Games: Bahia
BrB
Bahia
3 - 1
Porto BA
BrB
Bahia
5 - 1
Barcelona BA
BrB
Bahia
3 - 0
Galicia BA
BrB
Bahia
4 - 2
Jequié
Last 6: Fluminense
BrC
Botafogo
0 - 1
Fluminense
Br1
Fluminense
2 - 1
Grêmio
BrC
Fluminense
2 - 1
Flamengo
BrC
Nova Iguacu RJ
2 - 3
Fluminense
BrC
Boavista RJ
1 - 0
Fluminense
BrC
Fluminense
2 - 1
Madureira RJ
Away Games: Fluminense
BrC
Botafogo
0 - 1
Fluminense
BrC
Nova Iguacu RJ
2 - 3
Fluminense
BrC
Boavista RJ
1 - 0
Fluminense
group Head to Head
PL7 Dec 2025
2-0
PL10 Sept 2025
2-0
PL28 Aug 2025
1-0
PL10 Aug 2025
3-3
PL4 Aug 2024
1-0
23%
Over 2.5 Goals
41%
Both Team Score
Current Form Comparison
Form (Overall)
2.50
Form (Overall)
2.40
Bahia is +4% better in terms of Points Per Game
Corinthians
1 - 2
Bahia
Fluminense
2 - 1
Grêmio
Weekly Newsletter
Subscribe for Betting Tips
Get exclusive predictions delivered to your inbox.
Join our community of smart bettors. Get exclusive predictions, value picks, and statistical analysis delivered straight to your inbox.
Free Weekly Tips
Value Opportunities