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Barcelona vs Atl. Madrid Prediction & Tips | Copa del Rey | FootballTips.app

Barcelona

Barcelona

Home
Full Time
3 - 0
HT: 2 - 0
Tuesday 3 March
Atl. Madrid

Atl. Madrid

Away
BarcelonaTimelineAtl. Madrid
1st Half
Balde A.Out: Kounde J.
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13'
Bernal M.Assist: Lamine Yamal
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29'
Raphinha(Penalty)
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45+5'
2nd Half
Sorloth A.Out: Koke
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58'
Molina N.Out: Lookman A.
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58'
Olmo D.Out: Fermín
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64'
Rashford M.Out: Torres F.
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64'
Olmo D.
66'
Cancelo J.
67'
Baena A.Out: Alvarez J.
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69'
Araujo R.Out: Balde A.
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71'
Bernal M. (Cancelo J.)
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72'
Gimenez J. M.Out: Simeone G.
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76'
Lamine Yamal
90+3'
Baena A.
90+5'

Top stats

3.09Expected goals (xG)0.68
71%Ball possession29%
21Total shots7
9Shots on target2
4Big chances0
15Corner kicks0
90% (616/688)Passes74% (212/288)
3Yellow cards1

Shots

3.09Expected goals (xG)0.68
4.30xG on target (xGOT)0.67
21Total shots7
9Shots on target2
10Shots off target3
2Blocked shots2
12Shots inside the box3
9Shots outside the box4
1Hit the woodwork0

Attack

4Big chances0
15Corner kicks0
41Touches in opposition box10
1Accurate through passes0
3Offsides4
7Free kicks9

Passes

90% (616/688)Passes74% (212/288)
73% (30/41)Long passes39% (21/54)
82% (211/258)Passes in final third62% (33/53)
9% (4/44)Crosses33% (2/6)
1.62Expected assists (xA)0.33
26Throw ins19

Defense

9Fouls7
43% (10/23)Tackles50% (8/16)
67Duels won44
6Clearances50
3Interceptions16
0Errors leading to shot1
0Errors leading to goal0

Goalkeeping

2Goalkeeper saves6
0.67xGOT faced4.30
0.67Goals prevented1.30
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Very High Confidence
11.46
X4.83
25.08

Recommended Bet

Home Win
Stake: Medium (5/10)
54
Opp. Value

Key Factors

Season: Home 2.40 PPG vs Away 1.70 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 2.40 PPG vs Away 1.75 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 3.40 GPG vs Away 1.80 GPG
Defense (venue): Home 0.40 conc vs Away 1.20 conc

donut_small Win Probabilities

70%
17%
14%
Barcelona
Draw
Atl. Madrid

Match Preview

Barcelona will face off against Atlético Madrid in a Copa del Rey showdown at Camp Nou on March 3, 2026 GMT.

Barcelona, with 3 wins in their last 4 league matches and 18 wins in their last 19 home games, will aim for another victory, while Atlético Madrid, having won all 4 Copa del Rey matches this season and drawing 50% of their last 6 away games, will be looking to upset the home team.

In their recent head-to-head encounters, Barcelona has secured 3 wins out of the last 6 matches against Atlético Madrid.

With both teams showing good form and the head-to-head history in favor of Barcelona, the stage is set for an intriguing encounter.

Our algorithm predicts a draw between Barcelona and Atlético Madrid in the El Otro Clásico.

Advanced Stats (Avg per match)

64.0/ 120.5
Dangerous Attacks
53.7/ 102.1
38.0%
Shots on Target
41.0%
19.3
Total Shots
13.8
69.0%
Possession
54.0%

Team Performance (Avg)

2.7
Goals Scored / Match
2.0
1.2
Goals Conceded / Match
1.1

Head-to-Head Summary

3
Barcelona Wins
50%
1
Draws
17%
2
Atl. Madrid Wins
33%
Total H2H Matches: 6

Recent Form Stats

MarketBarcelonaAtl. Madrid
Over 1.5 Goals
100%40/40
83%33/40
Over 2.5 Goals
85%34/40
60%24/40
Both Teams to Score
63%25/40
57%23/40
* Based on last 40 matches

Past Matches

Last 6: Barcelona

Es1
Barcelona
4 - 1
Villarreal
Es1
Barcelona
3 - 0
Levante
Es1
Barcelona
3 - 0
Real Mallorca
UCL
Barcelona
4 - 1
København
Es1
Barcelona
3 - 0
Real Oviedo
SSC
Barcelona
3 - 2
Real Madrid

Home Games: Barcelona

Es1
Barcelona
4 - 1
Villarreal
Es1
Barcelona
3 - 0
Levante
Es1
Barcelona
3 - 0
Real Mallorca
UCL
Barcelona
4 - 1
København
Es1
Barcelona
3 - 0
Real Oviedo
SSC
Barcelona
3 - 2
Real Madrid

Last 6: Atl. Madrid

Es1
Real Oviedo
0 - 1
Atlético Madrid
UCL
Club Brugge
3 - 3
Atlético Madrid
Es1
Rayo Vallecano
3 - 0
Atlético Madrid
EsC
Real Betis
0 - 5
Atlético Madrid
Es1
Levante
0 - 0
Atlético Madrid
UCL
Galatasaray
1 - 1
Atlético Madrid

Away Games: Atl. Madrid

Es1
Real Oviedo
0 - 1
Atlético Madrid
UCL
Club Brugge
3 - 3
Atlético Madrid
Es1
Rayo Vallecano
3 - 0
Atlético Madrid
EsC
Real Betis
0 - 5
Atlético Madrid
Es1
Levante
0 - 0
Atlético Madrid
UCL
Galatasaray
1 - 1
Atlético Madrid

history Recent Form

BarcelonaBarcelona
2.4 GPG
W
W
L
W
W
Atl. MadridAtl. Madrid
1.7 GPG
W
W
L
L
D

group Head to Head

PL12 Feb 2026
Atlético Madrid
4-0
FC Barcelona
PL2 Dec 2025
FC Barcelona
3-1
Atlético Madrid
PL2 Apr 2025
Atlético Madrid
0-1
FC Barcelona
PL16 Mar 2025
Atlético Madrid
2-4
FC Barcelona
PL25 Feb 2025
FC Barcelona
4-4
Atlético Madrid
53%
Over 2.5 Goals
59%
Both Team Score

Head-to-Head Detailed

Over 1.5 Goals
73%
36 / 49 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
53%
26 / 49 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
29%
14 / 49 matches
Both Teams to Score
59%
29 / 49 matches
Barcelona CS
31%
Clean Sheets
Atl. Madrid CS
16%
Clean Sheets

Recent Matches

12 Feb 2026
Atlético Madrid
4 - 0
FC Barcelona
2 Dec 2025
FC Barcelona
3 - 1
Atlético Madrid
2 Apr 2025
Atlético Madrid
0 - 1
FC Barcelona
16 Mar 2025
Atlético Madrid
2 - 4
FC Barcelona
25 Feb 2025
FC Barcelona
4 - 4
Atlético Madrid
21 Dec 2024
FC Barcelona
1 - 2
Atlético Madrid
17 Mar 2024
Atlético Madrid
0 - 3
FC Barcelona
3 Dec 2023
FC Barcelona
1 - 0
Atlético Madrid
23 Apr 2023
FC Barcelona
1 - 0
Atlético Madrid
8 Jan 2023
Atlético Madrid
0 - 1
FC Barcelona
6 Feb 2022
FC Barcelona
4 - 2
Atlético Madrid
2 Oct 2021
Atlético Madrid
2 - 0
FC Barcelona

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)
Barcelona
2.40
Form (Overall)
Atl. Madrid
1.70

Barcelona is +41% better in terms of Points Per Game

FC Barcelona
4 - 1
Villarreal
FC Barcelona
3 - 0
Levante UD
Girona FC
2 - 1
FC Barcelona
FC Barcelona
3 - 0
RCD Mallorca
Elche CF
1 - 3
FC Barcelona
Real Oviedo
0 - 1
Atlético Madrid
Atlético Madrid
4 - 2
RCD Espanyol
Rayo Vallecano
3 - 0
Atlético Madrid
Atlético Madrid
0 - 1
Real Betis
Levante UD
0 - 0
Atlético Madrid

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