Barcelona SC vs Ind. del Valle Prediction & Tips | Liga Pro | FootballTips.app

Barcelona SC

Barcelona SC

Home
Full Time
2 - 1
HT: 0 - 1
Thursday 3 September
Ind. del Valle

Ind. del Valle

Away
Barcelona SCTimelineInd. del Valle
1st Half
Carabajal M.
27'
Diaz D.
27'
Gonzalez C.(Penalty)
sports_soccer
40'
Intriago J.
44'
2nd Half
Reasco D.Out: Gonzalez C.
sync_alt
46'
Wila J. (Rodriguez T.)
sports_soccer
46'
Trobbiani P.
50'
Carabajal M.
59'
Contreras J.
60'
Viacava J.Out: Quintana H.
sync_alt
63'
Papa J.
70'
Castillo B.Out: Vargas W.
sync_alt
73'
Perello M.Out: Pata E.
sync_alt
75'
Briones R.Out: Sornoza J.
sync_alt
75'
Mendoza E.Out: Cano L.
sync_alt
79'
Quinonez Ruiz J. R.Out: Intriago J.
sync_alt
79'
Benedetto D.Out: Diaz D.
sync_alt
88'
Garcia J.Out: Wila J.
sync_alt
89'
Ochoa Y.Out: Mendez J.
sync_alt
90+3'
Benedetto D.Assist: Mendoza E.
sports_soccer
90+10'

Top stats

1.23Expected goals (xG)1.03
59%Ball possession41%
14Total shots9
6Shots on target4
0Big chances2
5Corner kicks3
88% (393/448)Passes79% (248/315)
3Yellow cards2
0Red cards1

Shots

1.23Expected goals (xG)1.03
1.52xG on target (xGOT)1.25
14Total shots9
6Shots on target4
6Shots off target2
2Blocked shots3
9Shots inside the box5
5Shots outside the box4
0Hit the woodwork0

Attack

0Big chances2
5Corner kicks3
24Touches in opposition box16
0Accurate through passes1
1Offsides1
8Free kicks10

Passes

88% (393/448)Passes79% (248/315)
51% (24/47)Long passes35% (18/51)
76% (83/109)Passes in final third52% (43/82)
38% (6/16)Crosses30% (3/10)
0.91Expected assists (xA)0.26
16Throw ins13

Defense

10Fouls8
67% (6/9)Tackles65% (11/17)
27Duels won42
21Clearances18
7Interceptions8
0Errors leading to shot0
0Errors leading to goal0

Goalkeeping

3Goalkeeper saves4
1.25xGOT faced1.52
0.25Goals prevented-0.48
1Goal kicks12
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Very High Confidence
13.15
X3.05
22.14

Recommended Bet

check_circle
Home Win
Odds: 3.30Stake: Medium (6/10)
60
Opp. Value

Key Factors

League Rank: Home #6 vs Away #1
Season: Home 1.44 PPG vs Away 2.52 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 1.45 PPG vs Away 3.00 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 1.46 GPG vs Away 2.54 GPG

donut_small Win Probabilities

32%
24%
44%
Barcelona SC
Draw
Ind. del Valle
payments

Value Comparison

OutcomeMarket OddsTrue Odds (AI)Value
Over 2.5 Goals1.951.93+1.0%
Under 2.5 Goals1.852.08-10.9%
Barcelona Win3.303.12+5.8%
Draw3.404.17-18.4%
CSD Independiente del Valle Win2.102.28-7.7%
BTTS - Yes1.901.83+3.7%
BTTS - No1.802.20-18.2%

Fair Odds remove the bookmaker margin. Value is raw EV vs market odds; hover a badge for the edge vs fair odds.

Match Preview

Barcelona SC hosts Independiente del Valle in an Ecuador Serie A match at Estadio Monumental Banco Pichincha on 2026-09-02 GMT.

Barcelona SC have posted a 62 percent win rate at home in Serie A play, while Independiente del Valle comes into this fixture with 6 consecutive away victories across all competitions.

Recent encounters between the two sides have seen Ind del Valle dominate, with Barcelona SC losing 4 of their last 6 head to head matches.

Ind del Valle’s away form is highlighted by a trend for goals, with over 2.5 goals scored in 5 of their previous 6 away matches in the league.

Our model prediction: Over 2.5 goals.

Lineups

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

Barcelona SC

Starting 11
10Erik David Mendoza Zambrano
LW6.33
11Tomas Abdiel Rodríguez Mena
CF7.03
51Jefferson Jerly Wila Peralta
CF6.88
23Tomás Martínez
CAM6.75
28Jhonny Quiñónez
CDM6.80
32Matías Lugo
CDM6.81
14Alex Daniel Rangel Corozo
CB6.81
15Jonathan Perlaza
LB6.70
26Byron David Castillo Segura
RB6.45
33Cristhian Javier Báez
CB6.85
1José David Contreras Verna
GK6.96
Substitutes
8Sergio Díaz
SS6.92
16Luis Cano (Injured)
LW6.79
25Ronald Elkin Perlaza Bravo
LW6.85
-Pedro Leonardo Rodriguez Preciado
63Klever Ricardinho Caicedo Portocarrero
6.47
70Marcos Mejía
RW6.64
-Dixon Alex Gaspar Mejía
35Jefferson Alfredo Intriago Mendoza
CDM6.78
50Yaxi Johan García Tenorio (Injured)
CAM6.59
27William Andrés Vargas Leon
RB5.95
44Walter Jhonnier Chalá Rosales
CB6.83
24José Luis Angulo Angulo
7.11

Ind. del Valle

Starting 11
11Matías Mijail Perello
RW6.68
16Ronald Elain Briones Legarda
LW6.29
50Juan Riquelme Angulo Caiced
CF6.98
99Djorkaeff Neicer Reasco González
CF6.98
8Youri José Ochoa Sampertegui
CDM6.75
32Jhegson Sebastián Méndez Carabalí
CDM6.96
4Jhon Jairo Espinoza Izquierdo
RB6.72
5Richard Hernán Schunke
CB6.99
15Gustavo Cortez
LB6.81
23Juan Bautista Viacava Caviglia
CB6.95
1Aldair Quintana
GK6.75
Substitutes
9Carlos Gonzalez Espínola
CF7.06
17Arón David Rodríguez Franco
LW7.00
31Emerson Ivan Pata Rodriguez
RW7.15
52Yandri David Vásquez Zambrano
CF5.11
10Júnior Sornoza
CAM7.26
28Hugo Quintana
CM6.50
56Hólger Jamil Quintero Preciado
13Daykol Alejandro Romero Padilla
RB7.06
14Mateo Carabajal
CB6.97
19Layan Manuel Loor Requelme
LB7.17
33Andy René Velasco García
CB6.82
1Miguel Angel Peralta Quiñonez
6.80
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

compareTeam Comparison

Barcelona SCvsInd. del Valle

League Standings Context

For Barcelona SC

PosTeamPWDLPts
5LDU281261042
6Barcelona SC27109839
7Mushuc Runa28910937

For Ind. del Valle

PosTeamPWDLPts
1Ind del Valle27222368
2Macará28146848

Advanced Stats (Avg per match)

37.0/ 86.1
Dangerous Attacks
45.4/ 89.3
28.0%
Shots on Target
35.0%
11.4
Total Shots
18.1
49.0%
Possession
56.0%

Team Performance (Avg)

0.9
Goals Scored / Match
2.3
1.0
Goals Conceded / Match
1.0

Head-to-Head Summary

1
Barcelona SC Wins
17%
1
Draws
17%
4
Ind. del Valle Wins
67%
Total H2H Matches: 6

Recent Form Stats

MarketBarcelona SCInd. del Valle
Over 1.5 Goals
59%22/37
78%29/37
Over 2.5 Goals
32%12/37
59%22/37
Both Teams to Score
38%14/37
49%18/37
* Based on last 37 matches

Past Matches

Last 6: Barcelona SC

Ec1
Barcelona SC
3 - 0
Orense SC
Ec1
Barcelona SC
1 - 2
Macará
Ec1
Barcelona SC
0 - 1
LDU
Ec1
Barcelona SC
1 - 0
Libertad FC (ECU)
Ec1
Barcelona SC
1 - 1
Guayaquil City
Ec1
Barcelona SC
2 - 0
Deportivo Cuenca

Home Games: Barcelona SC

Ec1
Barcelona SC
3 - 0
Orense SC
Ec1
Barcelona SC
1 - 2
Macará
Ec1
Barcelona SC
0 - 1
LDU
Ec1
Barcelona SC
1 - 0
Libertad FC (ECU)
Ec1
Barcelona SC
1 - 1
Guayaquil City
Ec1
Barcelona SC
2 - 0
Deportivo Cuenca

Last 6: Ind. del Valle

Ec1
Leones del Norte
2 - 3
Ind del Valle
CLA
Deportes Tolima
0 - 1
Ind del Valle
Ec1
LDU
0 - 2
Ind del Valle
Ec1
Orense SC
2 - 3
Ind del Valle
Ec1
SD Aucas
0 - 3
Ind del Valle
Ec1
Mushuc Runa
1 - 4
Ind del Valle

Away Games: Ind. del Valle

Ec1
Leones del Norte
2 - 3
Ind del Valle
CLA
Deportes Tolima
0 - 1
Ind del Valle
Ec1
LDU
0 - 2
Ind del Valle
Ec1
Orense SC
2 - 3
Ind del Valle
Ec1
SD Aucas
0 - 3
Ind del Valle
Ec1
Mushuc Runa
1 - 4
Ind del Valle

history Recent Form

Barcelona SCBarcelona SC
2.1 GPG
W
L
L
W
D
Ind. del ValleInd. del Valle
2.8 GPG
W
W
W
W
W

group Head to Head

PL10 May 2026
CSD Independiente del Valle
1-0
Barcelona
PL21 Dec 2025
CSD Independiente del Valle
1-0
Barcelona
PL5 Oct 2025
Barcelona
0-3
CSD Independiente del Valle
PL6 Jul 2025
CSD Independiente del Valle
1-1
Barcelona
PL28 May 2025
CSD Independiente del Valle
2-1
Barcelona
49%
Over 2.5 Goals
53%
Both Team Score

Head-to-Head Detailed

Over 1.5 Goals
80%
36 / 45 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
49%
22 / 45 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
27%
12 / 45 matches
Both Teams to Score
53%
24 / 45 matches
Barcelona SC CS
20%
Clean Sheets
Ind. del Valle CS
31%
Clean Sheets

Recent Matches

10 May 2026
CSD Independiente del Valle
1 - 0
Barcelona
21 Dec 2025
CSD Independiente del Valle
1 - 0
Barcelona
5 Oct 2025
Barcelona
0 - 3
CSD Independiente del Valle
6 Jul 2025
CSD Independiente del Valle
1 - 1
Barcelona
28 May 2025
CSD Independiente del Valle
2 - 1
Barcelona
2 Apr 2025
Barcelona
1 - 0
CSD Independiente del Valle
9 Mar 2025
Barcelona
0 - 4
CSD Independiente del Valle
11 Aug 2024
Barcelona
3 - 2
CSD Independiente del Valle
9 Mar 2024
CSD Independiente del Valle
3 - 1
Barcelona
19 Aug 2023
Barcelona
1 - 1
CSD Independiente del Valle
19 Mar 2023
CSD Independiente del Valle
1 - 0
Barcelona
31 Jul 2022
CSD Independiente del Valle
1 - 1
Barcelona

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)
Barcelona SC
2.08
Form (Overall)
Ind. del Valle
2.77

Ind. del Valle is +33% better in terms of Points Per Game

Barcelona
3 - 0
Orense SC
Barcelona
1 - 2
Macará
Barcelona
0 - 1
LDU Quito
Barcelona
1 - 0
Libertad
Barcelona
1 - 1
Guayaquil City FC
Leones del Norte
2 - 3
CSD Independiente del Valle
Deportes Tolima
0 - 1
CSD Independiente del Valle
LDU Quito
0 - 2
CSD Independiente del Valle
Orense SC
2 - 3
CSD Independiente del Valle
SD Aucas
0 - 3
CSD Independiente del Valle

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