Barcelona vs Villarreal Prediction & Tips | LaLiga | FootballTips.app

Barcelona

Barcelona

Home
Full Time
4 - 1
HT: 2 - 0
Saturday 28 February
Villarreal

Villarreal

Away
BarcelonaTimelineVillarreal
1st Half
Lamine Yamal (Fermín)
sports_soccer
28'
Lamine YamalAssist: Fermín
sports_soccer
37'
2nd Half
Gueye P. (Mourino S.)
sports_soccer
49'
Bernal M.
53'
Flick H.
55'
Marcelino
55'
Raphinha
56'
PedriOut: Olmo D.
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59'
Lewandowski R.Out: Torres F.
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67'
Araujo R.Out: Bernal M.
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67'
Pedraza A.Out: Moleiro A.
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67'
Buchanan T.Out: Perez A.
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67'
Pedraza A.
68'
Lamine Yamal (Pedri)
sports_soccer
69'
Rashford M.Out: Raphinha
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73'
Bardghji R.Out: Lamine Yamal
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73'
Gonzalez A.Out: Cardona S.
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80'
Parejo D.Out: Comesana S.
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80'
Oluwaseyi T.Out: Pepe N.
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84'
Lewandowski R. (Kounde J.)
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90+1'

Top stats

3.20Expected goals (xG)1.31
74%Ball possession26%
19Total shots6
8Shots on target1
6Big chances3
3Corner kicks2
91% (711/778)Passes75% (204/271)
2Yellow cards1

Shots

3.20Expected goals (xG)1.31
2.72xG on target (xGOT)0.79
19Total shots6
8Shots on target1
8Shots off target3
3Blocked shots2
13Shots inside the box5
6Shots outside the box1
0Hit the woodwork0

Attack

6Big chances3
3Corner kicks2
40Touches in opposition box19
4Accurate through passes0
3Offsides5
9Free kicks11

Passes

91% (711/778)Passes75% (204/271)
71% (24/34)Long passes54% (26/48)
82% (188/229)Passes in final third55% (35/64)
14% (1/7)Crosses40% (2/5)
1.94Expected assists (xA)0.76
18Throw ins20

Defense

11Fouls9
47% (7/15)Tackles70% (16/23)
51Duels won45
14Clearances22
15Interceptions8
0Errors leading to shot0
0Errors leading to goal1

Goalkeeping

0Goalkeeper saves4
0.79xGOT faced2.72
-0.21Goals prevented-1.28
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Very High Confidence
11.34
X6.07
27.95

Recommended Bet

check_circle
Home Win
Stake: Medium (7/10)
73
Opp. Value

Key Factors

League Rank: Home #1 vs Away #3
Season: Home 2.44 PPG vs Away 2.04 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 2.25 PPG vs Away 2.20 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 3.08 GPG vs Away 1.50 GPG

donut_small Win Probabilities

79%
11%
10%
Barcelona
Draw
Villarreal

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

Barcelona

Starting 11
-Joan García
GK7.14
-João Cancelo
DL6.89
-Eric García
DC7.04
-Pau Cubarsí
DC6.97
-Jules Koundé
DR6.95
-Frenkie de Jong
DMC7.01
-Pedri
DMC7.22
-Raphinha
AML7.37
-Fermín López
AMC7.06
-Lamine Yamal
AMR8.32
-Ferran Torres
FW6.96

Villarreal

Starting 11
-Luiz Júnior
GK6.84
-Sergi Cardona
DL6.65
-Renato Veiga
DC6.50
-Pau Navarro
DC6.76
-Santiago Mouriño
DR6.98
-Alberto Moleiro
ML6.83
-Pape Gueye
MC6.74
-Santi Comesaña
MC6.70
-Tajon Buchanan
MR6.69
-Georges Mikautadze
FW6.82
-Nicolas Pépé
FW6.99
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

Match Preview

At Spotify Camp Nou on February 28, 2026 GMT, Barcelona will face off against Villarreal in a La Liga encounter.

Barcelona leads the standings in 1st place with 61 points, while Villarreal follows in 3rd place with 51 points.

Barcelona has been in strong form, securing 4 wins in their last 6 La Liga matches.

In contrast, Villarreal has struggled on the road, suffering 3 losses in their last 6 away matches across all leagues.

Looking at their historical head-to-head record, Barcelona has emerged victorious in 67% of their last 6 matchups against Villarreal.

As the two teams prepare to clash at Spotify Camp Nou, Barcelona will look to maintain their lead at the top of the table.

Prediction: Barcelona to win with a probability of 47%.

Barcelona have a one-point gap at the top of La Liga after winning last time out, with Real Madrid losing. At home, they've won all 12 of their games, scoring 37 while conceding five.

Villarreal sit in third place in La Liga, but they are 10 points behind Barcelona. They've won just once on the road in their previous four games, but that win came last time out.

Barcelona won the last meeting between the two teams back in December away from home. In this fixture last season, Villarreal secured an unlikely 3-2 victory on the road.

Statistical Comparison

BarcelonaMetricVillarreal
66
Goals
46
51
Assists
30
6.8
Average Ratings
6.6
24.6
Average Age
25.2
180.7
Average Height (cm)
184.5
1.3
Shots pg
0.8
59%
Aerial Duel Success
48%
1
Dribbles pg
0.7
1.2
Tackles pg
1.5

League Standings Context

For Barcelona

PosTeamPWDLPts
1Barcelona25201461
2Real Madrid25193360

For Villarreal

PosTeamPWDLPts
2Real Madrid25193360
3Villarreal25163651
4Atlético Madrid25146548

Advanced Stats (Avg per match)

63.5/ 119.4
Dangerous Attacks
46.9/ 86.8
37.0%
Shots on Target
35.0%
19.3
Total Shots
13.8
69.0%
Possession
46.0%

Team Performance (Avg)

2.6
Goals Scored / Match
1.6
1.2
Goals Conceded / Match
1.3

Head-to-Head Summary

4
Barcelona Wins
67%
0
Draws
0%
2
Villarreal Wins
33%
Total H2H Matches: 6

Recent Form Stats

MarketBarcelonaVillarreal
Over 1.5 Goals
100%39/39
79%31/39
Over 2.5 Goals
85%33/39
54%21/39
Both Teams to Score
62%24/39
44%17/39
* Based on last 39 matches

Past Matches

Last 6: Barcelona

Es1
Barcelona
3 - 0
Levante
Es1
Barcelona
3 - 0
Real Mallorca
UCL
Barcelona
4 - 1
København
Es1
Barcelona
3 - 0
Real Oviedo
SSC
Barcelona
3 - 2
Real Madrid
SSC
Barcelona
5 - 0
Athletic Bilbao

Home Games: Barcelona

Es1
Barcelona
3 - 0
Levante
Es1
Barcelona
3 - 0
Real Mallorca
UCL
Barcelona
4 - 1
København
Es1
Barcelona
3 - 0
Real Oviedo
SSC
Barcelona
3 - 2
Real Madrid
SSC
Barcelona
5 - 0
Athletic Bilbao

Last 6: Villarreal

Es1
Levante
0 - 1
Villarreal
Es1
Getafe
2 - 1
Villarreal
Es1
Osasuna
2 - 2
Villarreal
UCL
Bayer Leverkusen
3 - 0
Villarreal
Es1
Real Betis
2 - 0
Villarreal
Es1
Elche
1 - 3
Villarreal

Away Games: Villarreal

Es1
Levante
0 - 1
Villarreal
Es1
Getafe
2 - 1
Villarreal
Es1
Osasuna
2 - 2
Villarreal
UCL
Bayer Leverkusen
3 - 0
Villarreal
Es1
Real Betis
2 - 0
Villarreal
Es1
Elche
1 - 3
Villarreal

history Recent Form

BarcelonaBarcelona
2.4 GPG
W
L
W
W
W
VillarrealVillarreal
2.0 GPG
W
W
L
W
D

group Head to Head

PL21 Dec 2025
Villarreal
0-2
FC Barcelona
PL18 May 2025
FC Barcelona
2-3
Villarreal
PL22 Sept 2024
Villarreal
1-5
FC Barcelona
PL27 Jan 2024
FC Barcelona
3-5
Villarreal
PL27 Aug 2023
Villarreal
3-4
FC Barcelona
71%
Over 2.5 Goals
66%
Both Team Score

Head-to-Head Detailed

Over 1.5 Goals
89%
31 / 35 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
71%
25 / 35 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
54%
19 / 35 matches
Both Teams to Score
66%
23 / 35 matches
Barcelona CS
31%
Clean Sheets
Villarreal CS
6%
Clean Sheets

Recent Matches

21 Dec 2025
Villarreal
0 - 2
FC Barcelona
18 May 2025
FC Barcelona
2 - 3
Villarreal
22 Sept 2024
Villarreal
1 - 5
FC Barcelona
27 Jan 2024
FC Barcelona
3 - 5
Villarreal
27 Aug 2023
Villarreal
3 - 4
FC Barcelona
12 Feb 2023
Villarreal
0 - 1
FC Barcelona
20 Oct 2022
FC Barcelona
3 - 0
Villarreal
22 May 2022
FC Barcelona
0 - 2
Villarreal
27 Nov 2021
Villarreal
1 - 3
FC Barcelona
25 Apr 2021
Villarreal
1 - 2
FC Barcelona
27 Sept 2020
FC Barcelona
4 - 0
Villarreal
5 Jul 2020
Villarreal
1 - 4
FC Barcelona

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)
Barcelona
2.44
Form (Overall)
Villarreal
2.04

Barcelona is +20% better in terms of Points Per Game

FC Barcelona
3 - 0
Levante UD
Girona FC
2 - 1
FC Barcelona
FC Barcelona
3 - 0
RCD Mallorca
Elche CF
1 - 3
FC Barcelona
FC Barcelona
3 - 0
Real Oviedo
Villarreal
2 - 1
Valencia CF
Levante UD
0 - 1
Villarreal
Getafe CF
2 - 1
Villarreal
Villarreal
4 - 1
RCD Espanyol
CA Osasuna
2 - 2
Villarreal

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