Barnsley vs Northampton Prediction & Tips | League One

arrow_back Back/League One/Barnsley vs Northampton

Barnsley

Home

Full Time

2 - 2

HT: 1 - 1

Tuesday 3 February

Northampton

Away

BarnsleyTimelineNorthampton

1st Half

Guinness-Walker N.

sports_soccer

Shepherd J.

McGoldrick D. (Banks S.)

sports_soccer

30'

2nd Half

McGeehan C.

58'

Fornah T.Out: McGeehan C.

sync_alt

59'

McCarthy C.Out: Willis J.

sync_alt

59'

Swyer K.Out: Hoskins S.

sync_alt

60'

Phillips A.Out: Yoganathan V.

sync_alt

61'

Phillips A.

sports_soccer

62'

Eaves T.Out: Forbes M.

sync_alt

69'

List E.Out: Vale J.

sync_alt

69'

Dyche M. (Swyer K.)

sports_soccer

71'

Ogbeta N.Out: Watson T.

sync_alt

77'

Kelly P.

90+5'

Top stats

2.61Expected goals (xG)2.15

64%Ball possession36%

22Total shots14

5Shots on target4

3Big chances2

6Corner kicks7

82% (351/426)Passes65% (153/234)

2Yellow cards1

Shots

2.61Expected goals (xG)2.15

1.56xG on target (xGOT)1.77

22Total shots14

5Shots on target4

10Shots off target3

7Blocked shots7

18Shots inside the box11

4Shots outside the box3

0Hit the woodwork0

0Headed goals1

Attack

3Big chances2

6Corner kicks7

44Touches in opposition box25

0Accurate through passes0

1Offsides5

6Free kicks15

Passes

82% (351/426)Passes65% (153/234)

47% (24/51)Long passes33% (24/73)

73% (82/112)Passes in final third53% (47/89)

18% (4/22)Crosses28% (5/18)

0.85Expected assists (xA)1.04

30Throw ins19

Defense

15Fouls6

63% (15/24)Tackles48% (11/23)

67Duels won58

32Clearances37

2Interceptions4

1Errors leading to shot1

1Errors leading to goal0

Goalkeeping

2Goalkeeper saves3

1.77xGOT faced1.56

-0.23Goals prevented-0.44

auto_awesome

AI Prediction

verified Very High Confidence

11.76

X3.51

24.30

Recommended Bet

Home Win

Stake: High (8/10)

Opp. Value

Key Factors

League Rank: Home #15 vs Away #23

Season: Home 1.44 PPG vs Away 1.04 PPG

Recent Form (weighted): Home 1.65 PPG vs Away 0.10 PPG

Goals (venue): Home 2.08 GPG vs Away 0.71 GPG

donut_small Win Probabilities

70%

16%

14%

Barnsley

Draw

Northampton

Match Preview

At Oakwell Stadium on 3rd February 2026 GMT, Barnsley will take on Northampton Town in a League One fixture.

Positioned 15th in the league with 36 points, Barnsley will face 23rd-placed Northampton Town with 29 points.

Barnsley has secured 7 wins in their 12 home matches this season, while Northampton Town has struggled with 4 losses in their recent 6 games across all competitions.

In terms of goal stats, Barnsley has consistently scored 2+ goals in 5 of their last 6 home matches, while 60% of Northampton Town's last 10 away matches have witnessed over 2.5 goals.

Prediction: Barnsley to win with a probability of 46%.

League Standings Context

For Barnsley

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	Pts
14	Plymouth Argyle	29	11	4	14	37
15	Barnsley	25	10	6	9	36
16	Blackpool	29	9	5	15	32

For Northampton

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	Pts
22	Doncaster Rovers	28	8	6	14	30
23	Northampton Town	28	8	5	15	29
24	Port Vale	26	5	6	15	21

history Recent Form

Barnsley

1.4 GPG

Northampton

1.0 GPG

group Head to Head

PL25 Feb 2025

1-2

PL24 Aug 2024

2-2

PL27 Apr 2024

1-1

PL23 Sept 2023

1-2

PL9 Aug 2016

1-2

80%

Over 2.5 Goals

100%

Both Team Score

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

Barnsley

Starting 11

10David McGoldrick

CF5.81

5Jack Shepherd

6.97

7Caylan Vickers

6.27

-1Neil Farrugia

4.72

40Davis Keillor-Dunn

CAM6.97

45Vimal Yoganathan

4.17

48Luca Connell

CDM7.27

14Nathanael Ogbeta

LB6.63

18Jake Rooney

CB1.08

-1Tennai Watson

RB6.27

-1Kieren Flavell

Substitutes

19Reyes Cleary

4.14

-Kieran Graham

-Robson Woodcock

-Luke Alker

4Marc Roberts (Injured)

CB5.06

1Murphy Cooper

6.29

Northampton

Starting 11

2Jack Burroughs

RM5.78

-1Elliott List

RW5.81

11Kamarai Simon-Swyer

5.83

17Michael Jacobs

LW3.34

21Jack Perkins

4.22

22Kyle Edwards

LM2.60

23Terry Taylor

6.74

-1Conor McCarthy

CB6.83

15Jordan Thorniley

CB6.73

1Lee Burge

GK4.44

Substitutes

9Tom Eaves

CF6.50

8Cameron McGeehan

CM6.77

-Oliver Evans

-Jon Guthrie (Injured)

-1Jordan Willis

CB2.19

-1Ross Alan Richard Frank Fitzsimons

GK3.24

Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

auto_awesome

AI Prediction

verified Very High Confidence

11.76

X3.51

24.30

Recommended Bet

Home Win

Stake: High (8/10)

Opp. Value

Key Factors

League Rank: Home #15 vs Away #23

Season: Home 1.44 PPG vs Away 1.04 PPG

Recent Form (weighted): Home 1.65 PPG vs Away 0.10 PPG

Goals (venue): Home 2.08 GPG vs Away 0.71 GPG

Match Preview

At Oakwell Stadium on 3rd February 2026 GMT, Barnsley will take on Northampton Town in a League One fixture.

Positioned 15th in the league with 36 points, Barnsley will face 23rd-placed Northampton Town with 29 points.

Barnsley has secured 7 wins in their 12 home matches this season, while Northampton Town has struggled with 4 losses in their recent 6 games across all competitions.

In terms of goal stats, Barnsley has consistently scored 2+ goals in 5 of their last 6 home matches, while 60% of Northampton Town's last 10 away matches have witnessed over 2.5 goals.

Prediction: Barnsley to win with a probability of 46%.

League Standings Context

For Barnsley

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	Pts
14	Plymouth Argyle	29	11	4	14	37
15	Barnsley	25	10	6	9	36
16	Blackpool	29	9	5	15	32

For Northampton

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	Pts
22	Doncaster Rovers	28	8	6	14	30
23	Northampton Town	28	8	5	15	29
24	Port Vale	26	5	6	15	21

Team Performance (Avg)

1.6

Goals Scored / Match

1.1

1.9

Goals Conceded / Match

1.2

Recent Form Stats

Market	Barnsley	Northampton
Over 1.5 Goals	89%31/35	69%24/35
Over 2.5 Goals	69%24/35	43%15/35
Both Teams to Score	63%22/35	40%14/35

* Based on last 35 matches

history Recent Form

Barnsley

1.4 GPG

Northampton

1.0 GPG

Head-to-Head Detailed

Over 1.5 Goals

100%

5 / 5 matches

Over 2.5 Goals

80%

4 / 5 matches

Over 3.5 Goals

20%

1 / 5 matches

Both Teams to Score

100%

5 / 5 matches

Barnsley CS

Clean Sheets

Northampton CS

Clean Sheets

Recent Matches

25 Feb 2025

Northampton Town

1 - 2

Barnsley

24 Aug 2024

Barnsley

2 - 2

Northampton Town

27 Apr 2024

Barnsley

1 - 1

Northampton Town

23 Sept 2023

Northampton Town

1 - 2

Barnsley

9 Aug 2016

Barnsley

1 - 2

Northampton Town

donut_small Win Probabilities

70%

16%

14%

Barnsley

Draw

Northampton

Lineups

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

Barnsley

Starting 11

10David McGoldrick

CF5.81

5Jack Shepherd

6.97

7Caylan Vickers

6.27

-1Neil Farrugia

4.72

40Davis Keillor-Dunn

CAM6.97

45Vimal Yoganathan

4.17

48Luca Connell

CDM7.27

14Nathanael Ogbeta

LB6.63

18Jake Rooney

CB1.08

-1Tennai Watson

RB6.27

-1Kieren Flavell

Substitutes

19Reyes Cleary

4.14

-Kieran Graham

-Robson Woodcock

-Luke Alker

4Marc Roberts (Injured)

CB5.06

1Murphy Cooper

6.29

Northampton

Starting 11

2Jack Burroughs

RM5.78

-1Elliott List

RW5.81

11Kamarai Simon-Swyer

5.83

17Michael Jacobs

LW3.34

21Jack Perkins

4.22

22Kyle Edwards

LM2.60

23Terry Taylor

6.74

-1Conor McCarthy

CB6.83

15Jordan Thorniley

CB6.73

1Lee Burge

GK4.44

Substitutes

9Tom Eaves

CF6.50

8Cameron McGeehan

CM6.77

-Oliver Evans

-Jon Guthrie (Injured)

-1Jordan Willis

CB2.19

-1Ross Alan Richard Frank Fitzsimons

GK3.24

Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

Advanced Stats (Avg per match)

47.2/ 94.4

Dangerous Attacks

48.1/ 98.5

35.0%

Shots on Target

32.0%

11.3

Total Shots

10.0

54.0%

Possession

45.0%

Head-to-Head Summary

Barnsley Wins

33%

Draws

33%

Northampton Wins

33%

Total H2H Matches: 6

Past Matches

Last 6: Barnsley

Home Games: Barnsley

Last 6: Northampton

Away Games: Northampton

group Head to Head

PL25 Feb 2025

1-2

PL24 Aug 2024

2-2

PL27 Apr 2024

1-1

PL23 Sept 2023

1-2

PL9 Aug 2016

1-2

80%

Over 2.5 Goals

100%

Both Team Score

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)

1.44

Form (Overall)

1.04

Barnsley is +38% better in terms of Points Per Game

Barnsley

3 - 1

Stevenage

Cardiff City

4 - 0

Barnsley

Reading

2 - 2

Barnsley

2 - 1

Blackpool

Wigan Athletic

1 - 1

Barnsley

Northampton Town

0 - 2

Reading

Rotherham United

2 - 1

Northampton Town

Blackpool

2 - 0

Northampton Town

1 - 2

Wycombe Wanderers

Bolton Wanderers

0 - 0

Northampton Town

Weekly Newsletter

Subscribe for Betting Tips

Get exclusive predictions delivered to your inbox.

Join our community of smart bettors. Get exclusive predictions, value picks, and statistical analysis delivered straight to your inbox.

Free Weekly Tips

Value Opportunities