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Barnsley vs Stevenage Prediction & Tips | League One | FootballTips.app

Barnsley

Barnsley

Home
Full Time
1 - 5
HT: 1 - 1
Saturday 5 September
Stevenage

Stevenage

Away
BarnsleyTimelineStevenage
1st Half
Piergianni C.
16'
McGeehan C.(Penalty)
sports_soccer
17'
Thompson L.Out: Taylor T.
sync_alt
23'
Sanderson O.
sports_soccer
43'
2nd Half
Richards A.Out: Larkeche Z.
sync_alt
46'
Farrell L.Out: Kirk M.
sync_alt
46'
Kemp D. ()
sports_soccer
52'
Vancooten T. (Kemp D.)
sports_soccer
57'
Connell L.Out: Bland J.
sync_alt
60'
Alker L.Out: Cleary R.
sync_alt
60'
Kemp D. (Roberts J.)
sports_soccer
66'
Broggio B.Out: Sanderson O.
sync_alt
72'
Mellon M.Out: Magennis J.
sync_alt
72'
Taylor C.Out: McGeehan C.
sync_alt
75'
Kelly P.
85'
Earley S.Out: Roberts J.
sync_alt
85'
Houghton J.Out: Phillips D.
sync_alt
85'
Earley S.
86'
Mellon M. (Earley S.)
sports_soccer
90+2'

Top stats

1.83Expected goals (xG)1.93
56%Ball possession44%
17Total shots10
4Shots on target5
2Big chances4
7Corner kicks3
73% (284/389)Passes61% (186/304)
1Yellow cards2

Shots

1.83Expected goals (xG)1.93
1.10xG on target (xGOT)3.91
17Total shots10
4Shots on target5
4Shots off target3
9Blocked shots2
10Shots inside the box8
7Shots outside the box2
0Hit the woodwork1
0Headed goals1

Attack

2Big chances4
7Corner kicks3
24Touches in opposition box23
1Accurate through passes0
2Offsides5
9Free kicks18

Passes

73% (284/389)Passes61% (186/304)
25% (18/71)Long passes39% (36/93)
49% (53/108)Passes in final third44% (57/129)
21% (3/14)Crosses29% (5/17)
0.52Expected assists (xA)0.86
27Throw ins22

Defense

18Fouls9
71% (10/14)Tackles55% (16/29)
44Duels won90
31Clearances31
9Interceptions13
0Errors leading to shot0
1Errors leading to goal0

Goalkeeping

0Goalkeeper saves2
3.91xGOT faced1.10
-1.09Goals prevented0.10
6Goal kicks10
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Very High Confidence
12.11
X3.24
23.29

Recommended Bet

cancel
Home Win
Odds: 2.15Stake: High (8/10)
84
Opp. Value

Key Factors

League Rank: Home #5 vs Away #21
Season: Home 1.40 PPG vs Away 0.90 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 2.06 PPG vs Away 0.78 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 1.40 GPG vs Away 0.75 GPG

donut_small Win Probabilities

53%
24%
23%
Barnsley
Draw
Stevenage
payments

Value Comparison

OutcomeMarket OddsTrue Odds (AI)Value
Over 2.5 Goals1.951.87+4.1%
Barnsley Win2.151.89+13.7%
Draw3.404.13-17.7%
Stevenage Win3.154.36-27.8%
BTTS - Yes1.731.94-10.8%

Fair Odds remove the bookmaker margin. Value is raw EV vs market odds; hover a badge for the edge vs fair odds.

Match Preview

Substitute Amani Richards was the hero for Barnsley in gameweek four as his 87th-minute goal sealed a 2-1 home win against Blackpool. Daniel Stendel's side have now won three straight games in all competitions, scoring eight goals in the process.

Stevenage weren't able to break the deadlock against Peterborough United on Tuesday night as the two sides picked up a point and a clean sheet at the Weston Homes Stadium. Alex Revell's men are winless in five in all competitions as they travel to Oakwell.

Lineups

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

Barnsley

Starting 11
-Rogan Ravenhill
GK6.56
-Arley Kay
DL7.38
-Sam Gale
DC6.96
-Connor O'Riordan
DC7.49
-Tyrese Noslin
DR6.94
-Jonathan Bland
DMC6.32
-Cameron McGeehan
DMC6.94
-Amani Richards
AML6.69
-Patrick Kelly
AMC6.72
-Reyes Cleary
AMR6.88
-Makenzie Kirk
FW6.32

Stevenage

Starting 11
-Tommy Setford
GK
-Lewis Freestone
DL6.98
-Carl Piergianni
DC7.30
-Terence Vancooten
DC6.68
-Luther James-Wildin
DR6.58
-Jordan Roberts
ML6.35
-Daniel Phillips
MC6.69
-Terry Taylor
MC6.23
-Oliver Sanderson
MR6.73
-Dan Kemp
AMC6.22
-Josh Magennis
FW6.68
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

compareTeam Comparison

Based on 4 matches
BarnsleyvsStevenage
1.25Goals / Match1.00
0.75Conceded / Match1.25
1Clean Sheets1
5.50Shots on Target / Match3.75
60.0%Possession %45.0%
70.5%Pass Accuracy %68.1%

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

5Goals Scored4
3Goals Conceded5
1Clean Sheets1
9Big Chances5
5Big Chances Missed3
1Penalty Goals0

gps_fixedShooting

75Total Shots38
22Shots on Target15

swap_horizPassing & Possession

60.0%Avg Possession45.0%
1,476Total Passes1,323
70.5%Pass Accuracy68.1%

shieldDefending

57Tackles67
42Interceptions29
9Saves6
45.2%Duels Won53.9%

gavelDiscipline

46Fouls57
11Yellow Cards3
8Offsides6

analyticsOther

38Corners18
36Successful Dribbles13
1Errors Leading to Goal0
7.06Avg Rating7.24

Statistical Comparison

BarnsleyMetricStevenage
5
Goals
4
2
Assists
3
6.5
Average Ratings
6.5
21.9
Average Age
27.5
184.3
Average Height (cm)
182
1.6
Shots pg
0.9
48%
Aerial Duel Success
53%
1.1
Dribbles pg
0.4
1.4
Tackles pg
1.8

history Recent Form

BarnsleyBarnsley
1.4 GPG
W
W
D
L
StevenageStevenage
0.9 GPG
D
D
L
D

group Head to Head

PL21 Apr 2026
Stevenage
1-0
Barnsley
PL31 Jan 2026
Barnsley
3-1
Stevenage
PL25 Jan 2025
Barnsley
0-1
Stevenage
PL14 Sept 2024
Stevenage
3-0
Barnsley
PL9 Apr 2024
Stevenage
2-1
Barnsley
67%
Over 2.5 Goals
50%
Both Team Score

Head-to-Head Detailed

Over 1.5 Goals
67%
4 / 6 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
67%
4 / 6 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
17%
1 / 6 matches
Both Teams to Score
50%
3 / 6 matches
Barnsley CS
0%
Clean Sheets
Stevenage CS
50%
Clean Sheets

Recent Matches

21 Apr 2026
Stevenage
1 - 0
Barnsley
31 Jan 2026
Barnsley
3 - 1
Stevenage
25 Jan 2025
Barnsley
0 - 1
Stevenage
14 Sept 2024
Stevenage
3 - 0
Barnsley
9 Apr 2024
Stevenage
2 - 1
Barnsley
23 Dec 2023
Barnsley
2 - 1
Stevenage

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)
Barnsley
1.40
Form (Overall)
Stevenage
0.90

Barnsley is +56% better in terms of Points Per Game

Barnsley
2 - 1
Blackpool
Leyton Orient
1 - 3
Barnsley
Doncaster Rovers
0 - 0
Barnsley
Barnsley
0 - 1
Bromley
Peterborough United
0 - 0
Stevenage
Stevenage
2 - 2
Doncaster Rovers
Stevenage
1 - 2
Oxford United
Burton Albion
1 - 1
Stevenage

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