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Barrow vs Newport Prediction & Tips | League Two | FootballTips.app

Barrow

Barrow

Home
Full Time
1 - 2
HT: 1 - 0
Saturday 2 May
Newport

Newport

Away
BarrowTimelineNewport
1st Half
McCann C.
sports_soccer
9'
2nd Half
Davies T.Out: Jarvis C.
sync_alt
46'
Gordon J. (Penalty missed)
close
48'
McCann C.
61'
Newby E.Out: Hemmings K.
sync_alt
66'
Davies T. (Crole J.)
sports_soccer
76'
Fletcher I.Out: Gordon J.
sync_alt
77'
Anderson J.Out: Jackson B.
sync_alt
77'
Anderson J.
80'
Kamwa B.Assist: Sprangler S.
sports_soccer
83'
Kamwa B.
84'
Whitfield B.Out: Rose D.
sync_alt
85'
Malcolm J.Out: Raglan C.
sync_alt
85'
Spellman M.Out: Lloyd B.
sync_alt
87'
Smith M.Out: Kamwa B.
sync_alt
90+5'

Top stats

2.29Expected goals (xG)1.34
60%Ball possession40%
24Total shots16
5Shots on target4
3Big chances1
6Corner kicks4
60% (196/329)Passes53% (123/233)
2Yellow cards1

Shots

2.29Expected goals (xG)1.34
1.91xG on target (xGOT)2.00
24Total shots16
5Shots on target4
10Shots off target7
9Blocked shots5
11Shots inside the box13
13Shots outside the box3
1Hit the woodwork1

Attack

3Big chances1
6Corner kicks4
37Touches in opposition box35
0Accurate through passes1
1Offsides4
11Free kicks15

Passes

60% (196/329)Passes53% (123/233)
40% (41/102)Long passes31% (27/87)
54% (100/186)Passes in final third56% (60/108)
5% (2/39)Crosses36% (5/14)
0.64Expected assists (xA)1.48
31Throw ins24

Defense

15Fouls11
57% (4/7)Tackles54% (7/13)
65Duels won65
16Clearances73
6Interceptions5
0Errors leading to shot0
1Errors leading to goal0

Goalkeeping

1Goalkeeper saves4
2.00xGOT faced1.91
0.00Goals prevented0.91
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified High Confidence
13.01
X3.07
22.34

Recommended Bet

Draw
Stake: Medium (7/10)
65
Opp. Value

Key Factors

League Rank: Home #24 vs Away #21
Season: Home 0.80 PPG vs Away 0.89 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 0.60 PPG vs Away 1.50 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 0.77 GPG vs Away 1.00 GPG

donut_small Win Probabilities

29%
40%
31%
Barrow
Draw
Newport

Match Preview

Barrow's stay in League One is all but mathematically over following a heavy 3-0 away defeat to Cambridge United last time out. The Bluebirds, who have lost four of their last five League Two matches, need to gain three points on 22nd-placed Crawley, and hope for an eight-goal goal difference swing.

Bobby Kamwa scored 18 minutes into second-half stoppage time in gameweek 45 as Newport County celebrated a pivotal moment in their survival fight. The Exiles have climbed to 21st after winning two of their last three League Two matches, but are only one point clear of the drop zone.

Lineups

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

Barrow

Starting 11
-Wyll Stanway
GK6.59
-Charlie Raglan
DC7.03
-Angus MacDonald
DC6.47
-MJ Williams
DC6.43
-Jack Thompson
DML6.27
-Scott Smith
MC6.30
-Rekeem Harper
MC6.59
-Charlie McCann
MC6.77
-Elliot Newby
DMR6.39
-Danny Rose
FW6.82
-Kane Hemmings
FW6.42

Newport

Starting 11
-Jordan Wright
GK6.54
-Tom Davies
DL6.50
-Ciarán Brennan
DC6.35
-Matt Baker
DC6.74
-Liam Shephard
DR6.50
-Cameron Evans
DMC6.59
-Sven Sprangler
DMC6.70
-Bobby Kamwa
AML6.55
-Harrison Biggins
AMC6.66
-Ben Lloyd
AMR6.48
-James Crole
FW6.32
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

compareTeam Comparison

Based on 45 matches
BarrowvsNewport

radarTeam Profile

Barrow
Newport
AttackDefensePossessionEfficiencyCreativityDiscipline
sports_soccer
21Attack25
shield
34Defense32
swap_horiz
21Possession25
gps_fixed
53Efficiency52
auto_fix_high
14Creativity23
gavel
48Discipline46

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

44Goals Scored46
76Goals Conceded76
7Clean Sheets7
78Big Chances77
46Big Chances Missed55
1Penalty Goals0

gps_fixedShooting

465Total Shots482
138Shots on Target154

swap_horizPassing & Possession

45.9%Avg Possession46.9%
14,959Total Passes15,081
67.8%Pass Accuracy69.4%

shieldDefending

686Tackles699
322Interceptions301
145Saves131
49.0%Duels Won48.1%

gavelDiscipline

489Fouls533
86Yellow Cards90
5Red Cards3
90Offsides102

analyticsOther

187Corners177
224Successful Dribbles268
7Errors Leading to Goal11
6.69Avg Rating6.65

Statistical Comparison

BarrowMetricNewport
43
Goals
43
24
Assists
34
6.4
Average Ratings
6.4
28.4
Average Age
25.7
180.8
Average Height (cm)
183.1
0.7
Shots pg
0.7
48%
Aerial Duel Success
47%
0.3
Dribbles pg
0.3
1
Tackles pg
1.3

history Recent Form

BarrowBarrow
0.8 GPG
L
L
W
L
L
NewportNewport
0.9 GPG
W
L
W
L
L

group Head to Head

PL29 Nov 2025
Newport County
2-2
Barrow
PL1 Feb 2025
Newport County
1-0
Barrow
PL21 Sept 2024
Barrow
2-0
Newport County
PL23 Mar 2024
Barrow
1-0
Newport County
PL16 Sept 2023
Newport County
1-1
Barrow
53%
Over 2.5 Goals
53%
Both Team Score

Head-to-Head Detailed

Over 1.5 Goals
80%
12 / 15 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
53%
8 / 15 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
20%
3 / 15 matches
Both Teams to Score
53%
8 / 15 matches
Barrow CS
27%
Clean Sheets
Newport CS
20%
Clean Sheets

Recent Matches

29 Nov 2025
Newport County
2 - 2
Barrow
1 Feb 2025
Newport County
1 - 0
Barrow
21 Sept 2024
Barrow
2 - 0
Newport County
23 Mar 2024
Barrow
1 - 0
Newport County
16 Sept 2023
Newport County
1 - 1
Barrow
11 Feb 2023
Barrow
0 - 1
Newport County
17 Sept 2022
Newport County
0 - 2
Barrow
29 Jan 2022
Newport County
2 - 1
Barrow
24 Sept 2021
Barrow
2 - 1
Newport County
2 Apr 2021
Barrow
2 - 1
Newport County
19 Sept 2020
Newport County
2 - 1
Barrow
19 Jan 2013
Newport County
0 - 2
Barrow

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)
Barrow
0.80
Form (Overall)
Newport
0.89

Newport is +11% better in terms of Points Per Game

Cambridge United
3 - 0
Barrow
Barrow
1 - 3
Walsall
Barrow
3 - 2
Oldham Athletic
Barnet
3 - 2
Barrow
Barrow
0 - 1
Chesterfield
Newport County
3 - 2
Oldham Athletic
Cheltenham Town
1 - 0
Newport County
Newport County
2 - 1
Harrogate Town
Notts County
3 - 1
Newport County
Newport County
0 - 2
Crawley Town

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