Basel vs Lugano Prediction & Tips | Super League | FootballTips.app
Basel
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Lugano
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Key Factors
donut_small Win Probabilities
Value Comparison
| Outcome | Market Odds | True Odds (AI) | Fair Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 Goals | 1.52 | 1.73 | 1.65 | -12.2% |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 2.33 | 2.37 | 2.53 | -1.5% |
| Home Win | 3.00 | 2.75 | 3.21 | +9.0% |
| Draw | 3.70 | 3.86 | 3.95 | -4.2% |
| Away Win | 2.15 | 2.65 | 2.30 | -18.8% |
| BTTS - Yes | 2.50 | 1.74 | 2.67 | +43.4% |
| BTTS - No | 1.50 | 2.34 | 1.60 | -36.0% |
Fair Odds remove the bookmaker margin. Value is raw EV vs market odds; hover a badge for the edge vs fair odds.
Match Preview
FC Basel take on Lugano in the Swiss Super League at St. Jakob-Park on September 6, 2026.
Recent home form for FC Basel shows 67 percent losses in their last 3 league matches, while Lugano have picked up 4 wins from their previous 6 away games in all competitions.
Looking at previous encounters, FC Basel have lost 3 of their last 6 matches against Lugano across all leagues.
Over 2.5 goals have been scored in each of FC Basel’s last 3 league matches, and Lugano have scored 2 or more goals in 67 percent of their last 6 outings.
Our model gives Lugano a 56 percent probability to win.
compareTeam Comparison
League Standings Context
For Basel
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Lugano | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 15 |
| 3 | FC Basel | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10 |
| 4 | St Gallen | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10 |
For Lugano
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Young Boys | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 15 |
| 2 | Lugano | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 15 |
| 3 | FC Basel | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10 |
Advanced Stats (Avg per match)
Team Performance (Avg)
Head-to-Head Summary
Recent Form Stats
| Market | Basel | Lugano |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 71%5/7 | 143%10/7 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 71%5/7 | 114%8/7 |
| Both Teams to Score | 71%5/7 | 114%8/7 |
Past Matches
Last 6: Basel
Home Games: Basel
Last 6: Lugano
Away Games: Lugano
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