Bayer Leverkusen vs Arsenal Prediction & Tips | Champions League - Play Offs | FootballTips.app

Bayer Leverkusen

Bayer Leverkusen

Home
Full Time
1 - 1
HT: 0 - 0
Wednesday 11 March
Arsenal

Arsenal

Away
Bayer LeverkusenTimelineArsenal
1st Half
Andrich R.
2'
Martinelli G.
26'
2nd Half
Andrich R. (Grimaldo A.)
sports_soccer
46'
Poku E.
58'
Madueke N.Out: Saka B.
sync_alt
60'
Palacios E.
63'
Zubimendi M.
69'
Tillman M.Out: Maza I.
sync_alt
74'
Havertz K.Out: Gyökeres V.
sync_alt
74'
Fernandez E.Out: Palacios E.
sync_alt
82'
Hofmann J.Out: Terrier M.
sync_alt
82'
Gabriel JesusOut: Eze E.
sync_alt
82'
Havertz K.(Penalty)
sports_soccer
89'
Grimaldo A.
90+4'
Havertz K.
90+4'

Top stats

0.88Expected goals (xG)1.65
45%Ball possession55%
10Total shots6
3Shots on target2
1Big chances2
2Corner kicks3
88% (387/442)Passes87% (456/523)
4Yellow cards3

Shots

0.88Expected goals (xG)1.65
0.78xG on target (xGOT)1.04
10Total shots6
3Shots on target2
4Shots off target3
3Blocked shots1
4Shots inside the box6
6Shots outside the box1
0Hit the woodwork1
1Headed goals0

Attack

1Big chances2
2Corner kicks3
9Touches in opposition box26
0Accurate through passes0
0Offsides1
10Free kicks9

Passes

88% (387/442)Passes87% (456/523)
34% (15/44)Long passes50% (15/30)
84% (77/92)Passes in final third77% (125/162)
33% (3/9)Crosses29% (6/21)
0.73Expected assists (xA)1.23
17Throw ins12

Defense

9Fouls10
69% (9/13)Tackles75% (3/4)
34Duels won33
26Clearances9
11Interceptions6
0Errors leading to shot1
0Errors leading to goal0

Goalkeeping

1Goalkeeper saves2
1.04xGOT faced0.78
0.04Goals prevented-0.22
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Very High Confidence
16.42
X4.43
21.53

Recommended Bet

Away Win
Stake: High (9/10)
88
Opp. Value

Key Factors

Season: Home 1.90 PPG vs Away 2.60 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 1.55 PPG vs Away 2.50 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 2.00 GPG vs Away 2.33 GPG
Defense (venue): Home 0.25 conc vs Away 0.83 conc

donut_small Win Probabilities

6%
4%
90%
Bayer Leverkusen
Draw
Arsenal

Match Preview

At BayArena on March 11, 2026, Bayer Leverkusen will face Arsenal in an important Champions League fixture.

Bayer Leverkusen comes into the match with 3 wins in their last 6 Champions League matches and 4 wins in their last 6 home games across all leagues.

On the other hand, Arsenal has been in stellar form, boasting 8 wins in 8 league matches and securing 4 consecutive victories in their recent away games.

The statistical outlook favors Arsenal, who are predicted to win with a 41% probability.

Bayer Leverkusen are the latest side tasked with trying to halt Arsenal’s flawless Champions League campaign as the round of 16 begins at the BayArena. The German side had to take the longer route here, finishing 16th in the league phase before eliminating Olympiacos 2-0 on aggregate, while Arsenal swept through the initial stage with eight wins from eight, becoming the first club to post a perfect record under the competition’s new format.

Leverkusen’s route into the last 16 was hardly straightforward, but there has been steel in their recent European work. They beat Olympiacos 2-0 away before managing the return leg efficiently in a goalless draw, extending a sequence of three unbeaten Champions League games with three consecutive clean sheets. Their broader home record in Europe is also encouraging, with only two defeats in their last 19 continental matches at the BayArena.

Arsenal arrive with even greater momentum. Mikel Arteta’s side are unbeaten in 11 matches in all competitions and have won eight straight in Europe, their longest winning run on the continent. They have scored three or more goals in each of their last six Champions League matches and, perhaps most impressively, have yet to trail at any point in this season’s competition.

The historical backdrop is limited but interesting. These sides met only in the 2001/02 second group stage, drawing 1-1 in Germany before Arsenal won 4-1 in London. Leverkusen have generally been competitive against English opposition, losing only one of their last seven matches against Premier League sides, while Arsenal’s record against German clubs remains more awkward. The Gunners have lost their last five two-legged ties against Bundesliga opposition, though all of those came against Bayern Munich.

That combination gives this tie an intriguing tension: Arsenal look like one of the most complete teams in the competition, but Leverkusen are not an easy draw, especially at home.

Lineups

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

Bayer Leverkusen

Starting 11
-Janis Blaswich
GK6.38
-Edmond Tapsoba
DC6.67
-Robert Andrich
DC6.47
-Jarell Quansah
DC6.79
-Alejandro Grimaldo
DML7.66
-Aleix García
MC6.88
-Exequiel Palacios
MC6.75
-Ernest Poku
DMR6.50
-Martin Terrier
AMC6.30
-Ibrahim Maza
AMC6.88
-Christian Kofane
FW6.24

Arsenal

Starting 11
-David Raya
GK7.18
-Piero Hincapié
DL6.82
-Gabriel Magalhães
DC7.15
-Cristhian Mosquera
DC6.64
-Jurriën Timber
DR7.04
-Martín Zubimendi
DMC7.24
-Declan Rice
DMC7.05
-Gabriel Martinelli
AML7.70
-Kai Havertz
AMC8.43
-Bukayo Saka
AMR7.35
-Viktor Gyökeres
FW7.14
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

compareTeam Comparison

Based on 19 / 8 matches
Bayer LeverkusenvsArsenal

radarTeam Profile

Bayer Leverkusen
Arsenal
AttackDefensePossessionEfficiencyCreativityDiscipline
sports_soccer
40Attack97
shield
45Defense64
swap_horiz
34Possession65
gps_fixed
72Efficiency91
auto_fix_high
25Creativity75
gavel
51Discipline40

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

29Goals Scored23
28Goals Conceded4
3Clean Sheets5
26Big Chances44
12Big Chances Missed29
3Penalty Goals1

gps_fixedShooting

255Total Shots135
89Shots on Target63

swap_horizPassing & Possession

49.5%Avg Possession54.8%
7,287Total Passes3,575
73.4%Pass Accuracy84.6%

shieldDefending

344Tackles93
173Interceptions57
49Saves18
50.1%Duels Won50.0%

gavelDiscipline

215Fouls111
25Yellow Cards18
3Red Cards0
61Offsides13

analyticsOther

98Corners44
114Successful Dribbles66
3Errors Leading to Goal0
6.74Avg Rating7.07

Statistical Comparison

Bayer LeverkusenMetricArsenal
13
Goals
23
8
Assists
19
6.5
Average Ratings
6.9
26.4
Average Age
25.6
182.7
Average Height (cm)
184.9
0.9
Shots pg
1.2
52%
Aerial Duel Success
54%
0.9
Dribbles pg
0.7
1.3
Tackles pg
0.9

League Standings Context

For Bayer Leverkusen

PosTeamPWDLPts
15Atalanta841313
16Bayer Leverkusen833212
17Borussia Dortmund832311

For Arsenal

PosTeamPWDLPts
1Arsenal880024
2Bayern Munich870121

Advanced Stats (Avg per match)

47.0/ 105.6
Dangerous Attacks
58.5/ 100.7
36.0%
Shots on Target
36.0%
13.4
Total Shots
15.0
58.0%
Possession
57.0%

Team Performance (Avg)

1.9
Goals Scored / Match
2.2
1.2
Goals Conceded / Match
0.7

Head-to-Head Summary

0
Bayer Leverkusen Wins
0%
0
Draws
0%
0
Arsenal Wins
0%
Total H2H Matches: 0

Recent Form Stats

MarketBayer LeverkusenArsenal
Over 1.5 Goals
82%32/39
95%37/39
Over 2.5 Goals
51%20/39
67%26/39
Both Teams to Score
49%19/39
56%22/39
* Based on last 39 matches

Past Matches

Last 6: Bayer Leverkusen

De1
Bayer Leverkusen
1 - 1
Mainz
UCL
Bayer Leverkusen
0 - 0
Olympiacos FC
De1
Bayer Leverkusen
4 - 0
St Pauli
DFB
Bayer Leverkusen
3 - 0
St Pauli
UCL
Bayer Leverkusen
3 - 0
Villarreal
De1
Bayer Leverkusen
1 - 0
Werder Bremen

Home Games: Bayer Leverkusen

De1
Bayer Leverkusen
1 - 1
Mainz
UCL
Bayer Leverkusen
0 - 0
Olympiacos FC
De1
Bayer Leverkusen
4 - 0
St Pauli
DFB
Bayer Leverkusen
3 - 0
St Pauli
UCL
Bayer Leverkusen
3 - 0
Villarreal
De1
Bayer Leverkusen
1 - 0
Werder Bremen

Last 6: Arsenal

FA
Mansfield
1 - 2
Arsenal
EPL
Brighton
0 - 1
Arsenal
EPL
Tottenham
1 - 4
Arsenal
EPL
Wolverhampton
2 - 2
Arsenal
EPL
Brentford
1 - 1
Arsenal
EPL
Leeds United
0 - 4
Arsenal

Away Games: Arsenal

FA
Mansfield
1 - 2
Arsenal
EPL
Brighton
0 - 1
Arsenal
EPL
Tottenham
1 - 4
Arsenal
EPL
Wolverhampton
2 - 2
Arsenal
EPL
Brentford
1 - 1
Arsenal
EPL
Leeds United
0 - 4
Arsenal

history Recent Form

Bayer LeverkusenBayer Leverkusen
1.9 GPG
D
W
D
L
W
ArsenalArsenal
2.6 GPG
W
W
W
D
D

group Head to Head

PL7 Aug 2024
Arsenal
4-1
Bayer Leverkusen
100%
Over 2.5 Goals
100%
Both Team Score

Head-to-Head Detailed

Over 1.5 Goals
100%
1 / 1 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
100%
1 / 1 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
100%
1 / 1 matches
Both Teams to Score
100%
1 / 1 matches
Bayer Leverkusen CS
0%
Clean Sheets
Arsenal CS
0%
Clean Sheets

Recent Matches

7 Aug 2024
Arsenal
4 - 1
Bayer Leverkusen

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)
Bayer Leverkusen
1.90
Form (Overall)
Arsenal
2.60

Arsenal is +37% better in terms of Points Per Game

Freiburg
3 - 3
Bayer Leverkusen
Hamburger SV
0 - 1
Bayer Leverkusen
Bayer Leverkusen
1 - 1
Mainz 05
Union Berlin
1 - 0
Bayer Leverkusen
Bayer Leverkusen
4 - 0
St. Pauli
Brighton & Hove Albion
0 - 1
Arsenal
Arsenal
2 - 1
Chelsea
Tottenham Hotspur
1 - 4
Arsenal
Wolverhampton Wanderers
2 - 2
Arsenal
Brentford
1 - 1
Arsenal

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