Bayer Leverkusen vs Celje Prediction & Tips | Europa League - League phase | FootballTips.app

Bayer Leverkusen

Bayer Leverkusen

Home
Full Time
2 - 0
HT: 1 - 0
Wednesday 16 September
Celje

Celje

Away
Bayer LeverkusenTimelineCelje
1st Half
Seslar S.Assist: Own goal
sports_soccer
15'
2nd Half
Quansah J.Out: Lucas
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60'
Moreira A.Out: Terrier M.
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61'
Fernandez E.Out: Tillman M.
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61'
Kramer B.Out: Kucys A.
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61'
Ivansek M.Out: Dukuly Y.
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61'
Tusha V.Out: Verbic B.
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69'
Kofane C.Out: Schick P.
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71'
Medina F. (Garcia A.)
sports_soccer
74'
Ben Seghir E.Out: Diaby M.
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80'
Daniel P.Out: Ticic L.
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80'
No statistics available for this match
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AI Prediction
verified Very High Model Confidence
11.15
X8.54
213.60

Recommended Bet

No tip
No qualifying edge — see Value Comparison below

Key Factors

Season: Home 2.20 PPG vs Away 1.60 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 1.40 PPG vs Away 0.90 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 3.25 GPG vs Away 1.83 GPG
Defense (venue): Home 0.25 conc vs Away 1.33 conc

donut_small Win Probabilities

55%
23%
21%
Bayer Leverkusen
Draw
Celje
payments

Value Comparison

OutcomeMarket OddsTrue Odds (AI)Value
Over 2.5 Goals1.241.69-26.7%
Under 2.5 Goals3.752.45+53.2%
Bayer Leverkusen Win1.161.80-35.6%
Draw7.904.31+83.2%
Celje Win15.0010.73+39.8%
BTTS - Yes1.751.74+0.8%
BTTS - No2.012.36-14.8%

Fair Odds remove the bookmaker margin. Value is raw EV vs market odds; hover a badge for the edge vs fair odds.

Match Preview

Bayer Leverkusen return to the Europa League for the first time since reaching the 2023/24 final when they host Slovenian champions Celje at the BayArena. Carles Martínez’s side have made a mixed start domestically, while Celje arrive after dropping out of Champions League qualifying against Slovan Bratislava.

Celje were eliminated 3-2 on aggregate in that play-off tie, following a 1-1 first-leg draw with a 2-1 extra-time defeat at home. Svit Sešlar scored their only goal in the second leg, while Mario Kvesić finished qualifying as their leading scorer with four.

Leverkusen are beginning their European campaign at home, where their recent Europa League record is formidable. They have won their last nine home matches in the competition, scoring 37 goals during that run, while they have lost only once in their last 16 Europa League group or league-phase fixtures.

The German side also possesses a favourable historical backdrop. Leverkusen are unbeaten in their two previous European meetings with Slovenian opposition, beating Maribor 2-0 away before drawing 0-0 at home in the 1999/00 Champions League.

Celje, meanwhile, are competing in their fourth major European season and have built useful continental experience through consecutive Conference League campaigns. They reached the quarter-finals in 2024/25 and the last 16 last season, although their current domestic form has been less convincing and they have struggled defensively away from home.

The hosts enter as strong favourites given their greater quality and depth, but Celje have scored in 13 consecutive competitive away matches. That attacking consistency suggests they may pose a threat, even if containing Patrik Schick and Leverkusen’s supporting cast proves a far greater challenge.

Lineups

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

Bayer Leverkusen

Starting 11
-Mark Flekken
GK
-Miguel Gutiérrez
DL
-Facundo Medina
DC
-Edmond Tapsoba
DC
-Jarell Quansah
DR
-Aleix García
DMC
-Equi Fernández
DMC
-Ibrahim Maza
AML
-Malik Tillman
AMC
-Moussa Diaby
AMR
-Patrik Schick
FW

Celje

Starting 11
-Zan-Luk Leban
GK
-Leonárdo Koútris
DL
-Darko Hrka
DC
-Damjan Vuklisevic
DC
-Pijus Sirvys
DR
-Papa Daniel
DMC
-Mark Zabukovnik
DMC
-Yaya Dukuly
AML
-Svit Seslar
AMC
-Benjamin Verbic
AMR
-Blaz Kramer
FW
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

compareTeam Comparison

Based on 4 / 8 matches
Bayer LeverkusenvsCelje
1.75Goals / Match1.38
1.50Conceded / Match1.38
1Clean Sheets1
42.5%Possession %61.2%
74.4%Pass Accuracy %87.7%

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

7Goals Scored11
6Goals Conceded11
1Clean Sheets1
0Penalty Goals1

gps_fixedShooting

63Total Shots87

swap_horizPassing & Possession

42.5%Avg Possession61.2%
1,409Total Passes4,092
74.4%Pass Accuracy87.7%

shieldDefending

36Interceptions189
17Saves21
51.8%Duels Won46.9%

gavelDiscipline

53Fouls82
5Yellow Cards11
1Red Cards0
13Offsides8

analyticsOther

21Corners37
21Successful Dribbles78

history Recent Form

Bayer LeverkusenBayer Leverkusen
2.2 GPG
D
W
L
CeljeCelje
1.6 GPG
L
L
W
L
W

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)
Bayer Leverkusen
2.20
Form (Overall)
Celje
1.60

Bayer Leverkusen is +38% better in terms of Points Per Game

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