Bayer Leverkusen vs Hamburger SV Prediction & Tips | Bundesliga | FootballTips.app

Bayer Leverkusen

Bayer Leverkusen

Home
Full Time
1 - 1
HT: 0 - 0
Saturday 16 May
Hamburger SV

Hamburger SV

Away
Bayer LeverkusenTimelineHamburger SV
1st Half
Torunarigha J.
24'
Schick P. (Penalty missed)
close
25'
2nd Half
Vieira F. (Capaldo N.)
sports_soccer
61'
Hofmann J.Out: Tillman M.
sync_alt
62'
ArthurOut: Culbreath M.
sync_alt
62'
Ben Seghir E.Out: Andrich R.
sync_alt
62'
Muheim M.Out: Philippe R.
sync_alt
63'
Arthur
66'
Poulsen Y.Out: Stange O.
sync_alt
77'
Balde F.Out: Vieira F.
sync_alt
77'
Nandja S.Out: Omari W.
sync_alt
77'
Capaldo N.
78'
Quansah J. (Garcia A.)
sports_soccer
78'
LucasOut: Garcia A.
sync_alt
84'
Mikelbrencis W.Out: Torunarigha J.
sync_alt
89'

Top stats

3.32Expected goals (xG)1.79
60%Ball possession40%
26Total shots19
9Shots on target6
3Big chances1
8Corner kicks3
90% (528/584)Passes81% (326/402)
1Yellow cards2

Shots

3.32Expected goals (xG)1.79
2.39xG on target (xGOT)0.88
26Total shots19
9Shots on target6
12Shots off target8
5Blocked shots5
19Shots inside the box11
7Shots outside the box8
0Hit the woodwork1
1Headed goals0

Attack

3Big chances1
8Corner kicks3
53Touches in opposition box25
1Accurate through passes1
3Offsides0
11Free kicks8

Passes

90% (528/584)Passes81% (326/402)
58% (15/26)Long passes43% (23/54)
84% (196/234)Passes in final third65% (53/81)
18% (7/38)Crosses70% (7/10)
3.61Expected assists (xA)2.05
17Throw ins10

Defense

8Fouls11
71% (10/14)Tackles88% (7/8)
39Duels won32
10Clearances40
10Interceptions10
0Errors leading to shot2
0Errors leading to goal0

Goalkeeping

5Goalkeeper saves7
0.88xGOT faced2.39
-0.12Goals prevented1.39
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Very High Confidence
11.26
X6.91
210.30

Recommended Bet

Home Win
Stake: Medium (6/10)
63
Opp. Value

Key Factors

League Rank: Home #6 vs Away #11
Season: Home 1.76 PPG vs Away 1.12 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 1.65 PPG vs Away 1.65 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 2.31 GPG vs Away 0.88 GPG

donut_small Win Probabilities

84%
8%
8%
Bayer Leverkusen
Draw
Hamburger SV

Match Preview

Aleix Garcia opened the scoring in the first minute last weekend, but Bayer Leverkusen still left the MHP Arena empty-handed following a 3-1 defeat to Stuttgart. Die Werkself are now three points behind Stuttgart and Hoffenheim heading into the season finale.

Hamburg are ending their first season back in the top flight in style. Merlin Polzin's side overcame an Igor Matanovic brace to beat Freiburg 3-2 last time out, meaning they travel to the BayArena in search of a third straight Bundesliga victory.

Lineups

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

Bayer Leverkusen

Starting 11
-Mark Flekken
GK6.60
-Edmond Tapsoba
DC7.00
-Robert Andrich
DC6.51
-Jarell Quansah
DC6.68
-Alejandro Grimaldo
DML7.40
-Aleix García
MC6.89
-Exequiel Palacios
MC6.54
-Montrell Culbreath
DMR6.67
-Ernest Poku
AMC6.62
-Ibrahim Maza
AMC6.98
-Patrik Schick
FW7.03

Hamburger SV

Starting 11
-Daniel Heuer Fernandes
GK6.58
-Jordan Torunarigha
DC6.77
-Luka Vuskovic
DC7.32
-Warmed Omari
DC6.54
-Albert Grønbæk
DML6.84
-Albert Sambi Lokonga
MC6.64
-Nicolai Remberg
MC6.81
-Bakery Jatta
DMR6.42
-Fábio Vieira
AMC6.83
-Ransford Königsdörffer
AMC6.43
-Otto Stange
FW6.15
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

compareTeam Comparison

Based on 25 / 33 matches
Bayer LeverkusenvsHamburger SV

radarTeam Profile

Bayer Leverkusen
Hamburger SV
AttackDefensePossessionEfficiencyCreativityDiscipline
sports_soccer
54Attack32
shield
51Defense41
swap_horiz
41Possession46
gps_fixed
75Efficiency62
auto_fix_high
37Creativity31
gavel
54Discipline29

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

45Goals Scored39
33Goals Conceded53
5Clean Sheets6
49Big Chances59
26Big Chances Missed38
4Penalty Goals4

gps_fixedShooting

366Total Shots399
134Shots on Target149

swap_horizPassing & Possession

51.9%Avg Possession45.5%
10,227Total Passes12,860
75.0%Pass Accuracy80.7%

shieldDefending

457Tackles502
227Interceptions288
69Saves107
50.3%Duels Won51.8%

gavelDiscipline

275Fouls391
35Yellow Cards71
3Red Cards8
88Offsides59

analyticsOther

143Corners122
159Successful Dribbles235
3Errors Leading to Goal8
6.81Avg Rating6.79

Statistical Comparison

Bayer LeverkusenMetricHamburger SV
66
Goals
39
48
Assists
27
6.6
Average Ratings
6.4
26.2
Average Age
25.1
182
Average Height (cm)
184.3
0.9
Shots pg
0.7
53%
Aerial Duel Success
52%
0.5
Dribbles pg
0.4
1.1
Tackles pg
1.1

history Recent Form

Bayer LeverkusenBayer Leverkusen
1.8 GPG
L
W
W
L
W
Hamburger SVHamburger SV
1.1 GPG
W
W
L
L
L

group Head to Head

PL4 Mar 2026
Hamburger SV
0-1
Bayer Leverkusen
PL17 Feb 2018
Hamburger SV
1-2
Bayer Leverkusen
PL24 Sept 2017
Bayer Leverkusen
3-0
Hamburger SV
PL3 Feb 2017
Hamburger SV
1-0
Bayer Leverkusen
PL10 Sept 2016
Bayer Leverkusen
3-1
Hamburger SV
52%
Over 2.5 Goals
52%
Both Team Score

Head-to-Head Detailed

Over 1.5 Goals
64%
16 / 25 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
52%
13 / 25 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
28%
7 / 25 matches
Both Teams to Score
52%
13 / 25 matches
Bayer Leverkusen CS
36%
Clean Sheets
Hamburger SV CS
24%
Clean Sheets

Recent Matches

4 Mar 2026
Hamburger SV
0 - 1
Bayer Leverkusen
17 Feb 2018
Hamburger SV
1 - 2
Bayer Leverkusen
24 Sept 2017
Bayer Leverkusen
3 - 0
Hamburger SV
3 Feb 2017
Hamburger SV
1 - 0
Bayer Leverkusen
10 Sept 2016
Bayer Leverkusen
3 - 1
Hamburger SV
13 Mar 2016
Bayer Leverkusen
1 - 0
Hamburger SV
17 Oct 2015
Hamburger SV
0 - 0
Bayer Leverkusen
4 Apr 2015
Bayer Leverkusen
4 - 0
Hamburger SV
1 Nov 2014
Hamburger SV
1 - 0
Bayer Leverkusen
4 Apr 2014
Hamburger SV
2 - 1
Bayer Leverkusen
9 Nov 2013
Bayer Leverkusen
5 - 3
Hamburger SV
18 May 2013
Hamburger SV
0 - 1
Bayer Leverkusen

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)
Bayer Leverkusen
1.76
Form (Overall)
Hamburger SV
1.12

Bayer Leverkusen is +57% better in terms of Points Per Game

Stuttgart
3 - 1
Bayer Leverkusen
Bayer Leverkusen
4 - 1
RB Leipzig
Köln
1 - 2
Bayer Leverkusen
Bayer Leverkusen
1 - 2
Augsburg
Borussia Dortmund
0 - 1
Bayer Leverkusen
Hamburger SV
3 - 2
Freiburg
Eintracht Frankfurt
1 - 2
Hamburger SV
Hamburger SV
1 - 2
Hoffenheim
Werder Bremen
3 - 1
Hamburger SV
Stuttgart
4 - 0
Hamburger SV

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