Bayer Leverkusen vs Mainz Prediction & Tips | Bundesliga | FootballTips.app

Bayer Leverkusen

Bayer Leverkusen

Home
Full Time
1 - 1
HT: 0 - 0
Saturday 28 February
Mainz

Mainz

Away
Bayer LeverkusenTimelineMainz
2nd Half
Tape A.Out: Arthur
sync_alt
46'
Maza I.Out: Hofmann J.
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59'
Terrier M.Out: Poku E.
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59'
Posch S.
66'
Tapsoba E.
66'
Becker S. (Nebel P.)
sports_soccer
67'
SilasOut: Becker S.
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69'
Kofane C.Out: Fernandez E.
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72'
da Costa D.Out: Widmer S.
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81'
Garcia A.Out: Palacios E.
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82'
Quansah J. (Kofane C.)
sports_soccer
88'
Maloney L.Out: Lee Jae-Sung
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89'
Maloney L.
90+2'

Top stats

1.22Expected goals (xG)0.73
66%Ball possession34%
12Total shots8
5Shots on target4
2Big chances2
6Corner kicks2
87% (642/738)Passes77% (285/370)
1Yellow cards2

Shots

1.22Expected goals (xG)0.73
1.88xG on target (xGOT)1.87
12Total shots8
5Shots on target4
3Shots off target3
4Blocked shots1
9Shots inside the box6
3Shots outside the box2
0Hit the woodwork0

Attack

2Big chances2
6Corner kicks2
23Touches in opposition box28
0Accurate through passes0
2Offsides0
13Free kicks9

Passes

87% (642/738)Passes77% (285/370)
51% (23/45)Long passes40% (24/60)
76% (137/181)Passes in final third60% (66/110)
9% (2/22)Crosses24% (4/17)
1.29Expected assists (xA)1.37
31Throw ins14

Defense

9Fouls13
83% (10/12)Tackles68% (13/19)
54Duels won42
25Clearances18
7Interceptions19
0Errors leading to shot0
0Errors leading to goal0

Goalkeeping

3Goalkeeper saves4
1.87xGOT faced1.88
0.87Goals prevented0.88
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Very High Confidence
11.74
X4.16
24.68

Recommended Bet

cancel
Home Win
Stake: High (10/10)
95
Opp. Value

Key Factors

League Rank: Home #6 vs Away #13
Season: Home 1.77 PPG vs Away 0.96 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 1.70 PPG vs Away 1.65 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 2.18 GPG vs Away 1.18 GPG

donut_small Win Probabilities

82%
9%
8%
Bayer Leverkusen
Draw
Mainz

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

Bayer Leverkusen

Starting 11
-Janis Blaswich
GK6.84
-Edmond Tapsoba
DC7.06
-Robert Andrich
DC6.47
-Jarell Quansah
DC6.80
-Alejandro Grimaldo
DML7.26
-Aleix García
MC6.88
-Ezequiél Fernández
MC6.46
-Arthur
DMR6.78
-Ibrahim Maza
AMC6.91
-Ernest Poku
AMC6.70
-Patrik Schick
FW6.80

Mainz

Starting 11
-Daniel Batz
GK6.90
-Dominik Kohr
DC6.59
-Stefan Posch
DC6.90
-Kacper Potulski
DC6.90
-Phillipp Mwene
DML6.30
-Lee Jae-Sung
MC6.62
-Kaishu Sano
MC6.89
-Nadiem Amiri
MC7.11
-Danny da Costa
DMR6.68
-Phillip Tietz
FW6.88
-Silas Katompa Mvumpa
FW6.52
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

Match Preview

Bayer Leverkusen will face Mainz at BayArena in a Bundesliga fixture on February 28, 2026.

The home side, Bayer Leverkusen, sits 6th in the standings with 39 points, while Mainz occupies the 13th position with 22 points.

Bayer Leverkusen has shown strength at home, securing 4 wins in their last 6 matches in the league.

Conversely, Mainz has struggled on the road this season, losing 8 out of 16 away matches.

In their historical matchups, Bayer Leverkusen has emerged victorious 21 times out of 39 head-to-head encounters in the league against Mainz.

Algorithm Prediction: Bayer Leverkusen to win with a probability of 47%.

Bayer Leverkusen head into gameweek 24 looking to avenge a frustrating away defeat after Rani Khedira earned Union Berlin all three points in their contest last Saturday. Die Werkself had picked up 10 points from their previous four league games and will expect to bounce back here.

In-form midfielder Nadiem Amiri scored in the first half against Hamburg last weekend as the two sides played out a 1-1 draw at the Mewa Arena. Die Nullfünfer have lost just one of their last five Bundesliga games, although they have won just one of their last nine on the road.

compareTeam Comparison

Based on 19 / 23 matches
Bayer LeverkusenvsMainz
1.53Goals / Match1.13
1.47Conceded / Match1.65
3Clean Sheets2
4.68Shots on Target / Match3.61
49.5%Possession %44.7%
73.4%Pass Accuracy %74.5%

radarTeam Profile

Bayer Leverkusen
Mainz
AttackDefensePossessionEfficiencyCreativityDiscipline
sports_soccer
40Attack36
shield
45Defense39
swap_horiz
34Possession30
gps_fixed
72Efficiency55
auto_fix_high
25Creativity30
gavel
51Discipline29

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

29Goals Scored26
28Goals Conceded38
3Clean Sheets2
26Big Chances62
12Big Chances Missed41
3Penalty Goals7

gps_fixedShooting

255Total Shots262
89Shots on Target83

swap_horizPassing & Possession

49.5%Avg Possession44.7%
7,287Total Passes8,571
73.4%Pass Accuracy74.5%

shieldDefending

344Tackles343
173Interceptions240
49Saves81
50.1%Duels Won48.7%

gavelDiscipline

215Fouls266
25Yellow Cards55
3Red Cards5
61Offsides54

analyticsOther

98Corners120
114Successful Dribbles132
3Errors Leading to Goal2
6.74Avg Rating6.74

Statistical Comparison

Bayer LeverkusenMetricMainz
42
Goals
26
30
Assists
15
6.6
Average Ratings
6.5
26.4
Average Age
29
182.1
Average Height (cm)
184.6
0.9
Shots pg
0.8
54%
Aerial Duel Success
49%
0.6
Dribbles pg
0.6
1.1
Tackles pg
1.3

League Standings Context

For Bayer Leverkusen

PosTeamPWDLPts
5RB Leipzig23125641
6Bayer Leverkusen22123739
7Freiburg2396833

For Mainz

PosTeamPWDLPts
12Köln24661224
13Mainz23571122
14Borussia M'gladbach23571122

Advanced Stats (Avg per match)

45.2/ 103.9
Dangerous Attacks
51.8/ 103.9
36.0%
Shots on Target
31.0%
13.3
Total Shots
12.1
58.0%
Possession
47.0%

Team Performance (Avg)

1.9
Goals Scored / Match
1.2
1.2
Goals Conceded / Match
1.4

Head-to-Head Summary

4
Bayer Leverkusen Wins
67%
1
Draws
17%
1
Mainz Wins
17%
Total H2H Matches: 6

Recent Form Stats

MarketBayer LeverkusenMainz
Over 1.5 Goals
83%30/36
67%24/36
Over 2.5 Goals
53%19/36
42%15/36
Both Teams to Score
47%17/36
47%17/36
* Based on last 36 matches

Past Matches

Last 6: Bayer Leverkusen

UCL
Bayer Leverkusen
0 - 0
Olympiacos FC
De1
Bayer Leverkusen
4 - 0
St Pauli
DFB
Bayer Leverkusen
3 - 0
St Pauli
UCL
Bayer Leverkusen
3 - 0
Villarreal
De1
Bayer Leverkusen
1 - 0
Werder Bremen
De1
Bayer Leverkusen
1 - 4
Stuttgart

Home Games: Bayer Leverkusen

UCL
Bayer Leverkusen
0 - 0
Olympiacos FC
De1
Bayer Leverkusen
4 - 0
St Pauli
DFB
Bayer Leverkusen
3 - 0
St Pauli
UCL
Bayer Leverkusen
3 - 0
Villarreal
De1
Bayer Leverkusen
1 - 0
Werder Bremen
De1
Bayer Leverkusen
1 - 4
Stuttgart

Last 6: Mainz

De1
Borussia Dortmund
4 - 0
Mainz
De1
RB Leipzig
1 - 2
Mainz
De1
Köln
2 - 1
Mainz
De1
Union Berlin
2 - 2
Mainz
De1
Bayern Munich
2 - 2
Mainz
ECL
Lech Poznan
1 - 1
Mainz

Away Games: Mainz

De1
Borussia Dortmund
4 - 0
Mainz
De1
RB Leipzig
1 - 2
Mainz
De1
Köln
2 - 1
Mainz
De1
Union Berlin
2 - 2
Mainz
De1
Bayern Munich
2 - 2
Mainz
ECL
Lech Poznan
1 - 1
Mainz

history Recent Form

Bayer LeverkusenBayer Leverkusen
1.8 GPG
L
W
D
W
W
MainzMainz
1.0 GPG
D
L
W
W
W

group Head to Head

PL18 Oct 2025
Mainz 05
3-4
Bayer Leverkusen
PL17 May 2025
Mainz 05
2-2
Bayer Leverkusen
PL14 Jan 2025
Bayer Leverkusen
1-0
Mainz 05
PL23 Feb 2024
Bayer Leverkusen
2-1
Mainz 05
PL30 Sept 2023
Mainz 05
0-3
Bayer Leverkusen
54%
Over 2.5 Goals
51%
Both Team Score

Head-to-Head Detailed

Over 1.5 Goals
66%
23 / 35 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
54%
19 / 35 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
46%
16 / 35 matches
Both Teams to Score
51%
18 / 35 matches
Bayer Leverkusen CS
34%
Clean Sheets
Mainz CS
17%
Clean Sheets

Recent Matches

18 Oct 2025
Mainz 05
3 - 4
Bayer Leverkusen
17 May 2025
Mainz 05
2 - 2
Bayer Leverkusen
14 Jan 2025
Bayer Leverkusen
1 - 0
Mainz 05
23 Feb 2024
Bayer Leverkusen
2 - 1
Mainz 05
30 Sept 2023
Mainz 05
0 - 3
Bayer Leverkusen
19 Feb 2023
Bayer Leverkusen
2 - 3
Mainz 05
27 Aug 2022
Mainz 05
0 - 3
Bayer Leverkusen
18 Feb 2022
Mainz 05
3 - 2
Bayer Leverkusen
25 Sept 2021
Bayer Leverkusen
1 - 0
Mainz 05
13 Feb 2021
Bayer Leverkusen
2 - 2
Mainz 05
17 Oct 2020
Mainz 05
0 - 1
Bayer Leverkusen
27 Jun 2020
Bayer Leverkusen
1 - 0
Mainz 05

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)
Bayer Leverkusen
1.77
Form (Overall)
Mainz
0.96

Bayer Leverkusen is +84% better in terms of Points Per Game

Union Berlin
1 - 0
Bayer Leverkusen
Bayer Leverkusen
4 - 0
St. Pauli
Borussia M'gladbach
1 - 1
Bayer Leverkusen
Eintracht Frankfurt
1 - 3
Bayer Leverkusen
Bayer Leverkusen
1 - 0
Werder Bremen
Mainz 05
1 - 1
Hamburger SV
Borussia Dortmund
4 - 0
Mainz 05
Mainz 05
2 - 0
Augsburg
RB Leipzig
1 - 2
Mainz 05
Mainz 05
3 - 1
Wolfsburg

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