Bayer Leverkusen vs Union Berlin Prediction & Tips | Bundesliga

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Bayer Leverkusen

Home

Full Time

4 - 0

HT: 2 - 0

Saturday 5 September

Union Berlin

Away

Bayer LeverkusenTimelineUnion Berlin

1st Half

Fernandez E.Assist: Gutierrez M.

sports_soccer

Uduokhai F.

Medina F. (Gutierrez M.)

sports_soccer

28'

2nd Half

Van Den Bosch Z.

47'

Schick P. (Quansah J.)

sports_soccer

48'

Gutierrez M.

61'

Skarke T.Out: Latte Lath E.

sync_alt

63'

Jeong Woo-YeongOut: Aebischer M.

sync_alt

63'

Haberer J.Out: Kemlein A.

sync_alt

63'

Maza I. (Schick P.)

sports_soccer

66'

Kofane C.Out: Schick P.

sync_alt

67'

Diaby M.Out: Tillman M.

sync_alt

67'

Andrich R.Out: Fernandez E.

sync_alt

71'

Bade L.Out: Medina F.

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71'

Trimmel C.Out: Juranovic J.

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74'

Schafer A.Out: Burcu L.

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79'

LucasOut: Gutierrez M.

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83'

Maza I.

88'

Top stats

3.11Expected goals (xG)0.40

64%Ball possession36%

21Total shots5

10Shots on target0

5Big chances0

11Corner kicks1

90% (521/579)Passes80% (260/324)

2Yellow cards2

Shots

3.11Expected goals (xG)0.40

3.43xG on target (xGOT)0.00

21Total shots5

10Shots on target0

5Shots off target3

6Blocked shots2

16Shots inside the box2

5Shots outside the box3

1Hit the woodwork0

1Headed goals0

Attack

5Big chances0

11Corner kicks1

49Touches in opposition box8

0Accurate through passes0

3Offsides3

12Free kicks11

Passes

90% (521/579)Passes80% (260/324)

67% (34/51)Long passes30% (9/30)

85% (150/177)Passes in final third70% (71/102)

27% (7/26)Crosses20% (3/15)

3.17Expected assists (xA)0.32

18Throw ins17

Defense

11Fouls12

40% (4/10)Tackles73% (11/15)

37Duels won36

25Clearances26

5Interceptions9

0Errors leading to shot0

0Errors leading to goal0

Goalkeeping

0Goalkeeper saves6

0.00xGOT faced3.43

0.00Goals prevented-0.57

5Goal kicks6

auto_awesome

AI Prediction

verified Very High Confidence

11.46

X5.03

26.11

Recommended Bet

Away Win

Odds: 6.20Stake: Medium (7/10)

Opp. Value

Key Factors

League Rank: Home #13 vs Away #12

Season: Home 2.20 PPG vs Away 1.30 PPG

Recent Form (weighted): Home 0.00 PPG vs Away 1.00 PPG

Goals (venue): Home 2.50 GPG vs Away 2.25 GPG

donut_small Win Probabilities

51%

24%

25%

Bayer Leverkusen

Draw

Union Berlin

payments

Value Comparison

Outcome	Market Odds	True Odds (AI)	Fair Odds	Value
Over 2.5 Goals	1.44	1.83	—	-21.2%
Bayer Leverkusen Win	1.45	1.95	1.53	-25.7%
Draw	4.90	4.22	5.17	+16.2%
Union Berlin Win	6.20	4.00	6.54	+55.2%
BTTS - Yes	1.56	1.82	—	-14.1%

Fair Odds remove the bookmaker margin. Value is raw EV vs market odds; hover a badge for the edge vs fair odds.

Match Preview

Late goals from Patrik Schick and Christian Kofane were not enough to overcome an early 3-0 deficit last weekend as Bayer Leverkusen were shocked by newly promoted Elversberg in their hosts' first-ever Bundesliga contest. To lose again on Saturday would be catastrophic for Carles Martinez.

After putting four past Eintracht Braunschweig in the DFB-Pokal, Union Berlin scored three more goals in their first Bundesliga outing of the season, drawing 3-3 with Eintracht Frankfurt after Tim Skarke equalised in stoppage time.

Lineups

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

Bayer Leverkusen

Starting 11

-Mark Flekken

GK5.81

-Miguel Gutiérrez

DL7.08

-Edmond Tapsoba

DC4.70

-Facundo Medina

DC6.28

-Lucas Vázquez

DR5.63

-Equi Fernández

DMC6.16

-Aleix García

DMC6.46

-Afonso Moreira

AML5.85

-Malik Tillman

AMC6.57

-Ibrahim Maza

AMR6.90

-Patrik Schick

FW7.31

Union Berlin

Starting 11

-Matheo Raab

GK5.21

-Tom Rothe

DL6.75

-Zeno Van den Bosch

DC5.98

-Leopold Querfeld

DC8.01

-Josip Juranovic

DR8.40

-András Schäfer

ML6.41

-Aljoscha Kemlein

MC6.27

-Rani Khedira

MC6.63

-Michel Aebischer

MR6.02

-Marin Ljubicic

FW6.28

-Emmanuel Latte Lath

FW6.90

Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

compareTeam Comparison

Based on 2 / 1 matches

Bayer LeverkusenvsUnion Berlin

1.50Goals / Match3.00

1.00Conceded / Match3.00

1Clean Sheets0

6.50Shots on Target / Match10.00

50.0%Possession %49.0%

77.6%Pass Accuracy %67.9%

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

3Goals Scored3

2Goals Conceded3

1Clean Sheets0

2Big Chances3

1Big Chances Missed1

gps_fixedShooting

40Total Shots19

13Shots on Target10

swap_horizPassing & Possession

50.0%Avg Possession49.0%

834Total Passes361

77.6%Pass Accuracy67.9%

shieldDefending

27Tackles19

17Interceptions12

8Saves0

51.4%Duels Won45.1%

gavelDiscipline

23Fouls11

2Yellow Cards2

5Offsides2

analyticsOther

14Corners5

11Successful Dribbles2

0Errors Leading to Goal2

7.61Avg Rating7.11

Statistical Comparison

Bayer LeverkusenMetricUnion Berlin

Goals

Assists

6.4

Average Ratings

6.6

26.8

Average Age

25.9

182.6

Average Height (cm)

184.4

2.1

Shots pg

1.7

50%

Aerial Duel Success

43%

Dribbles pg

1.5

Tackles pg

2.1

history Recent Form

Bayer Leverkusen

2.2 GPG

Union Berlin

1.3 GPG

group Head to Head

PL21 Feb 2026

1-0

PL4 Oct 2025

2-0

PL12 Apr 2025

0-0

PL30 Nov 2024

1-2

PL6 Apr 2024

0-1

44%

Over 2.5 Goals

44%

Both Team Score

Head-to-Head Detailed

Over 1.5 Goals

69%

11 / 16 matches

Over 2.5 Goals

44%

7 / 16 matches

Over 3.5 Goals

38%

6 / 16 matches

Both Teams to Score

44%

7 / 16 matches

Bayer Leverkusen CS

44%

Clean Sheets

Union Berlin CS

25%

Clean Sheets

Recent Matches

21 Feb 2026

Union Berlin

1 - 0

Bayer Leverkusen

4 Oct 2025

Bayer Leverkusen

2 - 0

Union Berlin

12 Apr 2025

Bayer Leverkusen

0 - 0

Union Berlin

30 Nov 2024

Union Berlin

1 - 2

Bayer Leverkusen

6 Apr 2024

Union Berlin

0 - 1

Bayer Leverkusen

12 Nov 2023

Bayer Leverkusen

4 - 0

Union Berlin

29 Apr 2023

Union Berlin

0 - 0

Bayer Leverkusen

6 Nov 2022

Bayer Leverkusen

5 - 0

Union Berlin

8 Jan 2022

Bayer Leverkusen

2 - 2

Union Berlin

14 Aug 2021

Union Berlin

1 - 1

Bayer Leverkusen

15 May 2021

Bayer Leverkusen

1 - 1

Union Berlin

15 Jan 2021

Union Berlin

1 - 0

Bayer Leverkusen

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)

2.20

Form (Overall)

1.30

Bayer Leverkusen is +69% better in terms of Points Per Game

Elversberg

3 - 2

Bayer Leverkusen

Union Berlin

3 - 3

Eintracht Frankfurt

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Bayer Leverkusen vs Union Berlin Prediction & Tips | Bundesliga | FootballTips.app