Bayern Munich vs Atalanta Prediction & Tips | Champions League - Play Offs | FootballTips.app

Bayern Munich

Bayern Munich

Home
Full Time
4 - 1
HT: 1 - 0
Wednesday 18 March
Atalanta

Atalanta

Away
Bayern MunichTimelineAtalanta
1st Half
Kane H.(Penalty)
sports_soccer
25'
2nd Half
Kane H.Assist: Stanisic J.
sports_soccer
54'
Ofli D.Out: Pavlovic A.
sync_alt
56'
Karl L. (Diaz L.)
sports_soccer
56'
De Roon M.Out: Ederson
sync_alt
57'
Samardzic L.Out: De Ketelaere C.
sync_alt
57'
Diaz L. (Karl L.)
sports_soccer
70'
Krstovic N.Out: Scamacca G.
sync_alt
71'
Raspadori G.Out: Sulemana K.
sync_alt
71'
Jackson N.Out: Kane H.
sync_alt
72'
Pavic F.Out: Stanisic J.
sync_alt
72'
Gnabry S.Out: Bischof T.
sync_alt
72'
Ahanor H.Out: Scalvini G.
sync_alt
83'
Ito H.Out: Guerreiro R.
sync_alt
83'
Samardzic L. (Pasalic M.)
sports_soccer
86'

Top stats

3.61Expected goals (xG)2.30
70%Ball possession30%
25Total shots14
8Shots on target8
8Big chances4
6Corner kicks3
93% (801/859)Passes85% (298/351)

Shots

3.61Expected goals (xG)2.30
2.25xG on target (xGOT)3.15
25Total shots14
8Shots on target8
9Shots off target5
8Blocked shots1
15Shots inside the box10
10Shots outside the box4
0Hit the woodwork0
0Headed goals1

Attack

8Big chances4
6Corner kicks3
36Touches in opposition box22
0Accurate through passes0
1Offsides3
4Free kicks8

Passes

93% (801/859)Passes85% (298/351)
68% (25/37)Long passes59% (26/44)
85% (215/254)Passes in final third69% (44/64)
14% (2/14)Crosses46% (6/13)
1.44Expected assists (xA)1.83
14Throw ins9

Defense

8Fouls4
53% (10/19)Tackles44% (4/9)
36Duels won27
8Clearances24
9Interceptions11
0Errors leading to shot3
0Errors leading to goal1

Goalkeeping

7Goalkeeper saves4
3.15xGOT faced2.25
2.15Goals prevented-1.75
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Very High Confidence
11.35
X6.10
27.77

Recommended Bet

Home Win
Stake: High (8/10)
83
Opp. Value

Key Factors

Season: Home 2.60 PPG vs Away 1.50 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 2.40 PPG vs Away 1.30 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 3.50 GPG vs Away 1.20 GPG
Defense (venue): Home 1.00 conc vs Away 1.40 conc

donut_small Win Probabilities

96%
2%
2%
Bayern Munich
Draw
Atalanta

Match Preview

Bayern Munich is set to clash with Atalanta in a crucial Champions League match at the Allianz Arena on March 18, 2026.

Bayern Munich, boasting 5 wins in their last 6 Champions League matches and a commendable 5 wins in their last 6 home games, will face Atalanta, who have encountered challenges with 4 losses in their recent 6 Champions League matches and 3 losses in 5 away league games.

In previous head-to-head encounters between the two teams in the Champions League, Over 2.5 goals were scored in 1 of Bayern Munich's last 1 match against Atalanta, while Atalanta has seen over 2.5 goals in 4 of their last 6 Champions League fixtures.

As they prepare to meet on the field, both sides will be looking to make their mark in this crucial fixture.

With the potential for a high-scoring affair given the goal stats, the match promises to be an intriguing battle.

Both Bayern Munich and Atalanta will be aiming to capitalize on their attacking prowess and secure a vital win in their quest for Champions League success.

Our model predicts that Over 2.5 goals will be scored in what is expected to be an exciting and goal-filled match between Bayern Munich and Atalanta.

Bayern Munich return to the Allianz Arena with one foot firmly in the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals after a dominant 6–1 victory over Atalanta in the first leg.

The result in Bergamo effectively settled the tie. Michael Olise scored twice while Josip Stanišić, Serge Gnabry, Nicolas Jackson and Jamal Musiala also found the net. Mario Pašalić’s stoppage-time goal was little more than a consolation for Atalanta.

Historically, the challenge facing the Italian side is unprecedented. No team in major European competition has ever overturned a five-goal first-leg deficit to progress from a knockout tie.

Bayern arrive in excellent form. Vincent Kompany’s side are unbeaten in ten matches across all competitions and have won eight of their nine Champions League games this season, scoring 28 goals along the way.

Atalanta, meanwhile, are enduring a difficult run. Raffaele Palladino’s team are winless in their last five matches and have struggled defensively, conceding 14 goals in their previous six outings.

The Allianz Arena has been particularly formidable for Bayern in Europe. The German champions have lost only one of their last 27 Champions League home matches and have won all four home games in the competition this season.

Lineups

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

Bayern Munich

Starting 11
-Leonard Prescott
GK
-Tom Bischof
DL6.27
-Jonathan Tah
DC6.82
-Min-Jae Kim
DC5.99
-Josip Stanisic
DR7.03
-Leon Goretzka
DMC6.15
-Aleksandar Pavlovic
DMC6.77
-Luis Díaz
AML7.74
-Serge Gnabry
AMC7.05
-Lennart Karl
AMR7.28
-Nicolas Jackson
FW7.01

Atalanta

Starting 11
-Marco Carnesecchi
GK6.86
-Odilon Kossounou
DC6.56
-Isak Hien
DC6.45
-Honest Ahanor
DC6.49
-Davide Zappacosta
DML6.72
-Marten de Roon
MC6.39
-Mario Pasalic
MC6.59
-Raoul Bellanova
DMR6.24
-Lazar Samardzic
AMC6.56
-Nicola Zalewski
AMC6.56
-Nikola Krstovic
FW6.35
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

compareTeam Comparison

Based on 9 / 11 matches
Bayern MunichvsAtalanta

radarTeam Profile

Bayern Munich
Atalanta
AttackDefensePossessionEfficiencyCreativityDiscipline
sports_soccer
100Attack49
shield
48Defense46
swap_horiz
88Possession55
gps_fixed
93Efficiency54
auto_fix_high
80Creativity37
gavel
37Discipline54

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

28Goals Scored15
9Goals Conceded19
2Clean Sheets3
49Big Chances31
30Big Chances Missed19
2Penalty Goals2

gps_fixedShooting

164Total Shots152
74Shots on Target45

swap_horizPassing & Possession

59.7%Avg Possession50.2%
5,662Total Passes5,178
89.8%Pass Accuracy83.4%

shieldDefending

129Tackles151
73Interceptions112
28Saves36
49.1%Duels Won48.9%

gavelDiscipline

98Fouls117
18Yellow Cards18
2Red Cards1
13Offsides30

analyticsOther

44Corners45
93Successful Dribbles72
4Errors Leading to Goal5
7.07Avg Rating6.78

Statistical Comparison

Bayern MunichMetricAtalanta
27
Goals
15
20
Assists
9
6.9
Average Ratings
6.4
24.8
Average Age
26.5
183.7
Average Height (cm)
185.9
1.3
Shots pg
0.9
47%
Aerial Duel Success
52%
0.8
Dribbles pg
0.4
0.9
Tackles pg
1

League Standings Context

For Bayern Munich

PosTeamPWDLPts
1Arsenal880024
2Bayern Munich870121
3Liverpool860218

For Atalanta

PosTeamPWDLPts
14Atlético Madrid841313
15Atalanta841313
16Bayer Leverkusen833212

Advanced Stats (Avg per match)

65.3/ 127.9
Dangerous Attacks
50.9/ 101.2
48.0%
Shots on Target
31.0%
18.1
Total Shots
14.5
65.0%
Possession
54.0%

Team Performance (Avg)

3.4
Goals Scored / Match
1.5
1.0
Goals Conceded / Match
1.1

Head-to-Head Summary

1
Bayern Munich Wins
100%
0
Draws
0%
0
Atalanta Wins
0%
Total H2H Matches: 1

Recent Form Stats

MarketBayern MunichAtalanta
Over 1.5 Goals
100%39/39
87%34/39
Over 2.5 Goals
92%36/39
54%21/39
Both Teams to Score
69%27/39
56%22/39
* Based on last 39 matches

Past Matches

Last 6: Bayern Munich

De1
Bayern Munich
4 - 1
Borussia M'gladbach
De1
Bayern Munich
3 - 2
Eintracht Frankfurt
DFB
Bayern Munich
2 - 0
RB Leipzig
De1
Bayern Munich
5 - 1
Hoffenheim
De1
Bayern Munich
1 - 2
Augsburg
UCL
Bayern Munich
2 - 0
Union Saint-Gilloise

Home Games: Bayern Munich

De1
Bayern Munich
4 - 1
Borussia M'gladbach
De1
Bayern Munich
3 - 2
Eintracht Frankfurt
DFB
Bayern Munich
2 - 0
RB Leipzig
De1
Bayern Munich
5 - 1
Hoffenheim
De1
Bayern Munich
1 - 2
Augsburg
UCL
Bayern Munich
2 - 0
Union Saint-Gilloise

Last 6: Atalanta

It1
Inter
1 - 1
Atalanta
ItC
Lazio
2 - 2
Atalanta
It1
Sassuolo
2 - 1
Atalanta
UCL
Borussia Dortmund
2 - 0
Atalanta
It1
Lazio
0 - 2
Atalanta
It1
Calcio Como
0 - 0
Atalanta

Away Games: Atalanta

It1
Inter
1 - 1
Atalanta
ItC
Lazio
2 - 2
Atalanta
It1
Sassuolo
2 - 1
Atalanta
UCL
Borussia Dortmund
2 - 0
Atalanta
It1
Lazio
0 - 2
Atalanta
It1
Calcio Como
0 - 0
Atalanta

history Recent Form

Bayern MunichBayern Munich
2.6 GPG
D
W
W
W
W
AtalantaAtalanta
1.5 GPG
D
D
L
W
W

group Head to Head

PL10 Mar 2026
Atalanta
1-6
Bayern München
100%
Over 2.5 Goals
100%
Both Team Score

Head-to-Head Detailed

Over 1.5 Goals
100%
1 / 1 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
100%
1 / 1 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
100%
1 / 1 matches
Both Teams to Score
100%
1 / 1 matches
Bayern Munich CS
0%
Clean Sheets
Atalanta CS
0%
Clean Sheets

Recent Matches

10 Mar 2026
Atalanta
1 - 6
Bayern München

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)
Bayern Munich
2.60
Form (Overall)
Atalanta
1.50

Bayern Munich is +73% better in terms of Points Per Game

Bayer Leverkusen
1 - 1
Bayern München
Bayern München
4 - 1
Borussia M'gladbach
Borussia Dortmund
2 - 3
Bayern München
Bayern München
3 - 2
Eintracht Frankfurt
Werder Bremen
0 - 3
Bayern München
Inter Milan
1 - 1
Atalanta
Atalanta
2 - 2
Udinese
Sassuolo
2 - 1
Atalanta
Atalanta
2 - 1
Napoli
Lazio
0 - 2
Atalanta

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