Belarus vs Finland Prediction & Tips | UEFA Nations League - League C | FootballTips.app
Belarus
HomeFull Time
1 - 0
HT: 1 - 0
Tuesday 6 October
Finland
Awayauto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified High Confidence
13.71
X3.10
22.10
Recommended Bet
cancel
Over 2.5 Goals
Odds: 2.55Stake: Medium (7/10)
71
Opp. Value
Key Factors
Season: Home 1.60 PPG vs Away 1.40 PPG
Recent Form: Home 1.60 PPG vs Away 1.40 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 2.50 GPG vs Away 1.83 GPG
Defense (venue): Home 0.75 conc vs Away 1.83 conc
donut_small Win Probabilities
36%
24%
40%
Belarus
Draw
Finland
payments
Value Comparison
| Outcome | Market Odds | True Odds (AI) | Fair Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 Goals | 2.55 | 1.74 | 2.67 | +46.8% |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 1.53 | 2.36 | 1.60 | -35.1% |
| Belarus Win | 4.35 | 2.79 | 4.58 | +56.2% |
| Draw | 3.20 | 4.10 | 3.37 | -22.0% |
| Finland Win | 1.96 | 2.52 | 2.06 | -22.1% |
| BTTS - Yes | 2.05 | 1.83 | 2.23 | +12.3% |
| BTTS - No | 1.66 | 2.21 | 1.81 | -24.9% |
Fair Odds remove the bookmaker margin. Value is raw EV vs market odds; hover a badge for the edge vs fair odds.
Lineup Predictions & Ratings
Belarus
Starting 11
23Tsimafei Simanenka
CF3.54
22Artem Kontsevoy
LW7.17
23Trafim Melnichenka
CF6.99
9Max Ebong Ngome
CM6.84
10Valeriy Gromyko
CAM6.82
14Evgeni Yablonski
CDM3.19
2Kirill Pechenin
LB7.32
6Roman Begunov
CB6.79
13Kirill Gomanov
CB6.72
20Zakhar Volkov
CB7.00
1Pavel Pavlyuchenko
GK7.85
Substitutes
7Artem Shumanskiy
CF7.48
11German Barkovskiy
CF6.81
17Vitali Lisakovich
CF6.64
18Evgeni Malashevich
RW6.00
4Valeri Bocherov
CDM6.83
-Daniil Galyata
CM
16Anton Kovalev
RM6.79
3Ivan Tsikhamirau
CB6.09
5Vladislav Kalinin
CB6.94
19Anton Lukashov
RB6.18
-Andrey Kudravets
GK
21Fedor Lapoukhov
GK6.70
Finland
Starting 11
22Adrian Lars Fredrik Svanbäck
CF5.29
20Joel Pohjanpalo
CF7.60
22Daniel Håkans
LW6.46
10Leo Walta
CAM8.34
11Adam Marhiev
CDM7.05
14Kaan Kairinen
CM6.84
3Adam Ståhl
RB7.05
4Tony Miettinen
CB6.57
15Samuli Miettinen
CB7.02
13Juho Lähteenmäki
LB7.30
1Lukáš Hrádecký
GK7.21
Substitutes
18Topi Keskinen
LW6.88
19Benjamin Källman
CF6.91
21Oiva Jukkola
LW6.61
2Matti Peltola
CDM
6Glen Kamara
CM6.61
9Santeri Väänänen
CDM6.82
7Onni Valakari
CAM6.67
16Anssi Suhonen
CM6.55
15Leo Väisänen
CB6.51
-Ryan Mahuta
LB
12Viljami Sinisalo
GK6.79
-Lucas Bergström
GK
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches
Match Preview
Belarus meet Finland in UEFA Nations League League C Group 1 at Borisov Arena on 6 October 2026 GMT.
Belarus responded in their latest tournament match with a 4-0 win over San Marino, while Finland beat Albania 2-1.
The earlier group meeting between Belarus and Finland finished 0-0, adding weight to the possibility of another close game.
Belarus have lost 5 of their last 9 matches and have been defeated in 50% of their last 4 home fixtures.
Finland have taken 2 wins from their last 3 league matches and won their only away match in the group.
Our model prediction is Belarus and Finland to draw with probability 52%.
compareTeam Comparison
Based on 6 / 8 matchesBelarusvsFinland
0.67Goals / Match1.00
2.83Conceded / Match1.75
1Clean Sheets1
2.50Shots on Target / Match4.38
33.2%Possession %47.8%
76.0%Pass Accuracy %84.5%
radarTeam Profile
Belarus
Finland
sports_soccer
7Attack24
shield
33Defense30
swap_horiz
22Possession51
gps_fixed
43Efficiency73
auto_fix_high
9Creativity8
gavel
43Discipline60
sports_soccerGoals & Scoring
4Goals Scored8
17Goals Conceded14
1Clean Sheets1
4Big Chances17
2Big Chances Missed10
1Penalty Goals2
gps_fixedShooting
58Total Shots80
15Shots on Target35
swap_horizPassing & Possession
33.2%Avg Possession47.8%
1,856Total Passes3,546
76.0%Pass Accuracy84.5%
shieldDefending
91Tackles119
53Interceptions55
35Saves28
44.5%Duels Won47.5%
gavelDiscipline
78Fouls106
14Yellow Cards9
6Offsides6
analyticsOther
24Corners30
36Successful Dribbles47
2Errors Leading to Goal2
6.68Avg Rating6.77
League Standings Context
For Belarus
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Albania | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
| 3 | Belarus | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
| 4 | San Marino | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
For Finland
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Finland | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
| 2 | Albania | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Advanced Stats (Avg per match)
26.7/ 56.7
Dangerous Attacks
38.0/ 77.5
29.0%
Shots on Target
40.0%
5.7
Total Shots
9.0
40.0%
Possession
54.0%
Team Performance (Avg)
0.9
Goals Scored / Match
1.6
2.1
Goals Conceded / Match
1.4
Head-to-Head Summary
0
Belarus Wins
0%
2
Draws
67%
1
Finland Wins
33%
Total H2H Matches: 3
Recent Form Stats
| Market | Belarus | Finland |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 78%7/9 | 89%8/9 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 56%5/9 | 78%7/9 |
| Both Teams to Score | 33%3/9 | 56%5/9 |
* Based on last 9 matches
Past Matches
Home Games: Belarus
Belarus
4 - 0
Belarus
0 - 0
Away Games: Finland
San Marino
0 - 7
Netherlands
4 - 0
history Recent Form
BelarusFinlandgroup Head to Head
PL29 Sept 2026
0-0
PL9 Jun 2018
2-0
0%
Over 2.5 Goals
0%
Both Team Score
Head-to-Head Detailed
Over 1.5 Goals
50%
1 / 2 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
0%
0 / 2 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
0%
0 / 2 matches
Both Teams to Score
0%
0 / 2 matches
Belarus CS
50%
Clean Sheets
Finland CS
100%
Clean Sheets
Recent Matches
29 Sept 2026
Finland
0 - 0
Belarus
9 Jun 2018
Finland
2 - 0
Belarus
Current Form Comparison
Form (Overall)
1.60
Form (Overall)
1.40
Belarus is +14% better in terms of Points Per Game
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