Belgium vs France Prediction & Tips | UEFA Nations League - League A | FootballTips.app

Belgium

Belgium

Home
Full Time
0 - 1
HT: 0 - 0
Monday 28 September
France

France

Away
BelgiumTimelineFrance
1st Half
Moreira D.
42'
2nd Half
De Bruyne K.
57'
Vanaken H.Out: De Bruyne K.
sync_alt
63'
Lukebakio D.Out: Moreira D.
sync_alt
63'
Tielemans Y.
66'
De Cuyper M.Out: Seys J.
sync_alt
68'
Dembele O.Out: Lepaul E.
sync_alt
68'
Cherki R.Out: Akliouche M.
sync_alt
77'
Olise M.Out: Barcola B.
sync_alt
77'
Raskin N.Out: Lavia R.
sync_alt
85'
Fernandez-Pardo M.Out: De Ketelaere C.
sync_alt
85'
Olise M.Assist: Cherki R.
sports_soccer
88'
Kone M.Out: Da Cunha L.
sync_alt
90'
No statistics available for this match
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Very High Model Confidence
13.41
X3.98
21.93

Recommended Bet

No tip
No qualifying edge — see Value Comparison below
55
Best near-miss

Key Factors

Season: Home 2.10 PPG vs Away 2.40 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 2.25 PPG vs Away 1.65 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 2.25 GPG vs Away 2.00 GPG
Defense (venue): Home 0.75 conc vs Away 0.33 conc

donut_small Win Probabilities

46%
27%
27%
Belgium
Draw
France
payments

Value Comparison

OutcomeMarket OddsTrue Odds (AI)Value
Over 2.5 Goals1.471.85-20.5%
Under 2.5 Goals2.502.18+14.7%
Belgium Win3.452.18+58.3%
Draw3.753.69+1.6%
France Win1.923.70-48.1%
BTTS - Yes1.441.76-18.4%
BTTS - No2.552.31+10.5%

Fair Odds remove the bookmaker margin. Value is raw EV vs market odds; hover a badge for the edge vs fair odds.

Match Preview

Belgium impressed against Italy at the Stadio Olimpico on Friday night as goals from Mika Godts and Dodi Lukebakio sealed a 2-0 away win. Mark van Bommel's side have won four of their last five international games in all competitions.

France capitalised on Ugurcan Cakir's red card on Friday, closing out a 1-0 away win against Türkiye after Kylian Mbappe netted the game's only goal in the 54th minute. That win ended a run of back-to-back defeats and started Zinedine Zidane's tenure with three points.

Lineups

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

Belgium

Starting 11
-Senne Lammens
GK7.98
-Maxim De Cuyper
DL7.03
-Brandon Mechele
DC6.86
-Nathan Ngoy
DC6.87
-Timothy Castagne
DR6.81
-Roméo Lavia
DMC6.08
-Youri Tielemans
DMC7.06
-Mika Godts
AML7.62
-Kevin De Bruyne
AMC8.36
-Dodi Lukébakio
AMR7.47
-Charles De Ketelaere
FW7.89

France

Starting 11
-Mike Maignan
GK7.12
-Adrien Truffert
DL7.00
-Maxence Lacroix
DC7.44
-Dayot Upamecano
DC7.34
-Jules Koundé
DR7.94
-Adrien Rabiot
DMC6.07
-Eduardo Camavinga
DMC6.25
-Désiré Doué
AML6.37
-Rayan Cherki
AMC6.66
-Michael Olise
AMR8.02
-Ousmane Dembélé
FW7.18
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

compareTeam Comparison

Based on 8 / 7 matches
BelgiumvsFrance
1.25Goals / Match3.14
1.50Conceded / Match0.71
1Clean Sheets2

radarTeam Profile

Belgium
France
AttackDefensePossessionEfficiencyCreativityDiscipline
sports_soccer
40Attack38
shield
26Defense37
swap_horiz
77Possession24
gps_fixed
55Efficiency50
auto_fix_high
34Creativity0
gavel
58Discipline81

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

10Goals Scored22
12Goals Conceded5
1Clean Sheets2
1Penalty Goals3

Statistical Comparison

BelgiumMetricFrance
2
Goals
1
2
Assists
1
6.9
Average Ratings
7
26.9
Average Age
26
184.3
Average Height (cm)
183.3
1.7
Shots pg
1.5
36%
Aerial Duel Success
55%
1.5
Dribbles pg
1.5
1.2
Tackles pg
2.5

history Recent Form

BelgiumBelgium
2.1 GPG
W
L
W
W
W
FranceFrance
2.4 GPG
W
L
L
W
W

group Head to Head

PL14 Oct 2024
Belgium
1-2
France
PL9 Sept 2024
France
2-0
Belgium
PL1 Jul 2024
France
1-0
Belgium
PL7 Oct 2021
Belgium
2-3
France
PL10 Jul 2018
France
1-0
Belgium
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
50%
Both Team Score

Head-to-Head Detailed

Over 1.5 Goals
67%
4 / 6 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
50%
3 / 6 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
33%
2 / 6 matches
Both Teams to Score
50%
3 / 6 matches
Belgium CS
0%
Clean Sheets
France CS
50%
Clean Sheets

Recent Matches

14 Oct 2024
Belgium
1 - 2
France
9 Sept 2024
France
2 - 0
Belgium
1 Jul 2024
France
1 - 0
Belgium
7 Oct 2021
Belgium
2 - 3
France
10 Jul 2018
France
1 - 0
Belgium
7 Jun 2015
France
3 - 4
Belgium

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)
Belgium
2.10
Form (Overall)
France
2.40

France is +14% better in terms of Points Per Game

Italy
0 - 2
Belgium
Spain
2 - 1
Belgium
USMNT
1 - 4
Belgium
Belgium
3 - 2
Senegal
New Zealand
1 - 5
Belgium
Turkey
0 - 1
France
France
4 - 6
England
France
0 - 2
Spain
France
2 - 0
Morocco
Paraguay
0 - 1
France

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