Birmingham vs Leeds Prediction & Tips | FA Cup | FootballTips.app

Birmingham

Birmingham

Home
Full Time
1 - 2
HT: 0 - 0
Pens: 2 - 4
Sunday 15 February
Leeds

Leeds

Away
BirminghamTimelineLeeds
1st Half
Solis Romero J. E.
30'
Vicente C.
42'
2nd Half
Ampadu E.Out: Buonanotte F.
sync_alt
46'
Osman I.Out: Gray D.
sync_alt
46'
Nmecha L. (Okafor N.)
sports_soccer
49'
Aaronson B.Out: Gnonto W.
sync_alt
68'
Calvert-Lewin D.Out: Nmecha L.
sync_alt
68'
Roberts P.Out: Vicente C.
sync_alt
74'
Ducksch M.Out: Priske A.
sync_alt
74'
Piroe J.Out: Tanaka A.
sync_alt
78'
Bogle J.Out: Okafor N.
sync_alt
82'
Fujimoto K.Out: Osayi-Samuel B.
sync_alt
83'
Roberts P.
sports_soccer
89'
Extra Time
Rodon J.Out: Bornauw S.
sync_alt
91'
Neumann P.Out: Panzo J.
sync_alt
91'
Klarer C.
110'
Betteka Z.Out: Solis Romero J. E.
sync_alt
114'
Penalties
Stansfield J.(Penalty)
sports_soccer
1'
Piroe J.(Penalty)
sports_soccer
1'
Ducksch M.(Penalty)
sports_soccer
2'
Calvert-Lewin D.(Penalty)
sports_soccer
2'
Doyle T. (Penalty missed)
close
3'
Aaronson B.(Penalty)
sports_soccer
3'
Roberts P. (Penalty missed)
close
4'
Longstaff S.(Penalty)
sports_soccer
4'

Top stats

1.16Expected goals (xG)1.03
55%Ball possession45%
18Total shots19
5Shots on target3
1Big chances0
13Corner kicks10
82% (430/527)Passes75% (333/444)
3Yellow cards0

Shots

1.16Expected goals (xG)1.03
0.41xG on target (xGOT)0.82
18Total shots19
5Shots on target3
8Shots off target4
5Blocked shots12
15Shots inside the box10
3Shots outside the box9
2Hit the woodwork0

Attack

1Big chances0
13Corner kicks10
49Touches in opposition box38
0Accurate through passes0
1Offsides3
14Free kicks15

Passes

82% (430/527)Passes75% (333/444)
48% (46/96)Long passes36% (27/76)
73% (131/179)Passes in final third55% (66/119)
11% (4/35)Crosses19% (4/21)
0.86Expected assists (xA)0.65
41Throw ins27

Defense

15Fouls14
44% (12/27)Tackles70% (21/30)
74Duels won88
36Clearances65
8Interceptions10
1Errors leading to shot0
0Errors leading to goal0

Goalkeeping

2Goalkeeper saves4
0.82xGOT faced0.41
-0.18Goals prevented-0.59
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Very High Confidence
13.27
X3.45
22.04

Recommended Bet

Home Win
Stake: High (9/10)
87
Opp. Value

Key Factors

Season: Home 1.90 PPG vs Away 1.40 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 2.10 PPG vs Away 1.50 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 1.40 GPG vs Away 1.67 GPG
Defense (venue): Home 1.00 conc vs Away 1.50 conc

donut_small Win Probabilities

53%
25%
22%
Birmingham
Draw
Leeds

Match Preview

In an upcoming FA Cup fixture at St.

Andrew's Stadium on February 15th, 2026 GMT, Birmingham City will go head-to-head against Leeds United.

Birmingham City has begun their FA Cup campaign on a positive note with a victory in their sole match.

They have shown strength at home, clinching 9 wins in 17 matches.

Conversely, Leeds United won their most recent league game and has a perfect away record in the FA Cup this season.

Looking at their historical head-to-head encounters, Birmingham City holds the advantage with 3 wins in their last 6 meetings across all leagues against Leeds United.

Prediction: Birmingham City to win 2-1.

Lineups

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

Birmingham

Starting 11
-Jhon Solís
CM
16Patrick Roberts
RW6.26
-Ibrahim Osman
-Jay Stansfield
ST
33Marvin Ducksch
CF7.58
8Seung-Ho Paik
CM6.64
-Bright Osayi-Samuel
RB
4Christoph Klarer
CB7.00
5Phil Neumann
CB5.88
31Kai Wagner
LB7.16
25James Beadle
6.30
Substitutes
9Kyogo Furuhashi
CF7.38
-Demarai Gray
LW
-Carlos Vicente Robles
7Thomas Doyle
CM7.04
27Kanya Fujimoto
RM6.27
-August Priske
24Tomoki Iwata
CDM6.68
-Johnathan Panzo
CB
-Ryan Allsop
GK

Leeds

Starting 11
14Lukas Nmecha
CF7.55
11Brenden Aaronson
CAM
15Jaka Bijol
CB7.26
44Ilia Gruev
CDM6.91
-Jayden Bogle
RB
-Gabriel Gudmundsson
LB
4Ethan Ampadu
CB7.12
-Joe Rodon
CB
23Sebastiaan Bornauw
CB6.93
24James Justin
RB7.27
26Karl Darlow
GK6.74
Substitutes
10Joël Piroe
CF6.82
29Wilfried Gnonto
LW7.74
-Daniel James (Injured)
RW
8Sean Longstaff
CM6.70
19Noah Okafor
CF6.92
22Ao Tanaka
CM7.96
40Facundo Buonanotte
CAM7.71
25Sam Byram
RB
-Lucas Estella Perri
GK
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

compareTeam Comparison

Based on 26 matches
BirminghamvsLeeds

radarTeam Profile

Birmingham
Leeds
AttackDefensePossessionEfficiencyCreativityDiscipline
sports_soccer
41Attack41
shield
50Defense41
swap_horiz
58Possession41
gps_fixed
63Efficiency63
auto_fix_high
33Creativity29
gavel
63Discipline65

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

37Goals Scored36
27Goals Conceded45
8Clean Sheets4
51Big Chances64
36Big Chances Missed39
0Penalty Goals4

gps_fixedShooting

326Total Shots317
113Shots on Target103

swap_horizPassing & Possession

53.2%Avg Possession45.6%
11,588Total Passes10,479
84.8%Pass Accuracy80.2%

shieldDefending

408Tackles465
155Interceptions241
78Saves65
49.4%Duels Won49.7%

gavelDiscipline

262Fouls264
38Yellow Cards41
1Red Cards0
27Offsides41

analyticsOther

139Corners115
169Successful Dribbles151
11Errors Leading to Goal3
6.84Avg Rating6.74

Advanced Stats (Avg per match)

49.2/ 96.7
Dangerous Attacks
44.6/ 92.1
27.0%
Shots on Target
33.0%
14.3
Total Shots
13.0
55.0%
Possession
48.0%

Team Performance (Avg)

1.4
Goals Scored / Match
1.4
1.2
Goals Conceded / Match
1.7

Head-to-Head Summary

3
Birmingham Wins
50%
0
Draws
0%
3
Leeds Wins
50%
Total H2H Matches: 6

Recent Form Stats

MarketBirminghamLeeds
Over 1.5 Goals
80%28/35
66%23/35
Over 2.5 Goals
49%17/35
49%17/35
Both Teams to Score
57%20/35
54%19/35
* Based on last 35 matches

Past Matches

Last 6: Birmingham

CH
Birmingham City
0 - 0
West Bromwich
CH
Birmingham City
2 - 1
Leicester City
CH
Oxford United
0 - 2
Birmingham City
CH
Birmingham City
1 - 1
Stoke City
CH
Sheffield Wednesday
0 - 2
Birmingham City
CH
Swansea City
1 - 1
Birmingham City

Home Games: Birmingham

CH
Birmingham City
0 - 0
West Bromwich
CH
Birmingham City
2 - 1
Leicester City
CH
Birmingham City
1 - 1
Stoke City
CH
Birmingham City
3 - 2
Coventry City
CH
Birmingham City
1 - 1
Southampton
CH
Birmingham City
1 - 1
Derby County

Last 6: Leeds

EPL
Chelsea
2 - 2
Leeds United
EPL
Leeds United
3 - 1
Nottingham Forest
EPL
Leeds United
0 - 4
Arsenal
EPL
Everton
1 - 1
Leeds United
EPL
Leeds United
1 - 0
Fulham
FA
Derby County
1 - 3
Leeds United

Away Games: Leeds

EPL
Chelsea
2 - 2
Leeds United
EPL
Everton
1 - 1
Leeds United
FA
Derby County
1 - 3
Leeds United
EPL
Newcastle United
4 - 3
Leeds United
EPL
Liverpool
0 - 0
Leeds United
EPL
Sunderland
1 - 1
Leeds United

history Recent Form

BirminghamBirmingham
1.9 GPG
D
W
W
D
W
LeedsLeeds
1.4 GPG
D
W
L
D
W

group Head to Head

PL1 Jan 2024
Leeds United
3-0
Birmingham City
PL12 Aug 2023
Birmingham City
1-0
Leeds United
PL29 Dec 2019
Birmingham City
4-5
Leeds United
PL19 Oct 2019
Leeds United
1-0
Birmingham City
PL6 Apr 2019
Birmingham City
1-0
Leeds United
45%
Over 2.5 Goals
50%
Both Team Score

Head-to-Head Detailed

Over 1.5 Goals
68%
15 / 22 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
45%
10 / 22 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
23%
5 / 22 matches
Both Teams to Score
50%
11 / 22 matches
Birmingham CS
32%
Clean Sheets
Leeds CS
18%
Clean Sheets

Recent Matches

1 Jan 2024
Leeds United
3 - 0
Birmingham City
12 Aug 2023
Birmingham City
1 - 0
Leeds United
29 Dec 2019
Birmingham City
4 - 5
Leeds United
19 Oct 2019
Leeds United
1 - 0
Birmingham City
6 Apr 2019
Birmingham City
1 - 0
Leeds United
22 Sept 2018
Leeds United
1 - 2
Birmingham City
30 Dec 2017
Birmingham City
1 - 0
Leeds United
12 Sept 2017
Leeds United
2 - 0
Birmingham City
3 Mar 2017
Birmingham City
1 - 3
Leeds United
13 Aug 2016
Leeds United
1 - 2
Birmingham City
12 Apr 2016
Birmingham City
1 - 2
Leeds United
3 Oct 2015
Leeds United
0 - 2
Birmingham City

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)
Birmingham
1.90
Form (Overall)
Leeds
1.40

Birmingham is +36% better in terms of Points Per Game

Birmingham City
0 - 0
West Bromwich Albion
Birmingham City
2 - 1
Leicester City
Oxford United
0 - 2
Birmingham City
Birmingham City
1 - 1
Stoke City
Sheffield Wednesday
0 - 2
Birmingham City
Chelsea
2 - 2
Leeds United
Leeds United
3 - 1
Nottingham Forest
Leeds United
0 - 4
Arsenal
Everton
1 - 1
Leeds United
Leeds United
1 - 0
Fulham

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