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Birmingham vs Louisville City Prediction & Tips | USL Championship | FootballTips.app

Birmingham

Birmingham

Home
Full Time
1 - 0
Thursday 4 June
Louisville City

Louisville City

Away
BirminghamTimelineLouisville City
No events recorded for this match

Top stats

1.24Expected goals (xG)0.63
52%Ball possession48%
11Total shots11
2Shots on target1
1Big chances0
2Corner kicks6
80% (366/458)Passes81% (325/403)
4Yellow cards2

Shots

1.24Expected goals (xG)0.63
0.90xG on target (xGOT)0.58
11Total shots11
2Shots on target1
4Shots off target7
5Blocked shots3
7Shots inside the box7
4Shots outside the box4
0Hit the woodwork0

Attack

1Big chances0
2Corner kicks6
15Touches in opposition box24
0Accurate through passes0
1Offsides1
22Free kicks11

Passes

80% (366/458)Passes81% (325/403)
15% (8/53)Long passes47% (25/53)
62% (73/117)Passes in final third74% (103/140)
30% (3/10)Crosses23% (7/31)
0.73Expected assists (xA)1.27
19Throw ins25

Defense

11Fouls22
90% (9/10)Tackles31% (4/13)
43Duels won53
29Clearances13
5Interceptions10
0Errors leading to shot0
0Errors leading to goal0

Goalkeeping

0Goalkeeper saves1
0.58xGOT faced0.90
-0.42Goals prevented-0.10
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified High Confidence
13.97
X3.69
21.69

Recommended Bet

Home Win
Stake: Medium (7/10)
67
Opp. Value

Key Factors

League Rank: Home #21 vs Away #11
Season: Home 1.11 PPG vs Away 1.45 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 1.30 PPG vs Away 0.30 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 0.60 GPG vs Away 2.00 GPG

donut_small Win Probabilities

44%
27%
29%
Birmingham
Draw
Louisville City

Lineups

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

Birmingham

Starting 11
9Ronaldo Damus
CF6.80
15Tyler Pasher
RW6.28
19Gevork Diarbian
LW6.69
8Kadeem Coles Martínez
CM3.59
11Dawson McCartney
LM6.81
16Peter-Lee Vassell
CAM5.09
18Seth Antwi
CDM6.81
21Sebastian Tregarthen
RM6.07
3Phanuel Kavita
CB5.74
5Keegan Hughes
CB6.46
1Jassem Koleilat
GK6.87
Substitutes
7Sebastián Saucedo Mondragón
LW2.83
10Samuel Shashoua
LW7.24
17Romario Williams
CF6.89
77Nico Brown
LM5.04
2Leo Duru
RB3.07
27Bryce Washington
CB3.77
-Trevor McMullen
GK

Louisville City

Starting 11
7Ray Serrano Lopez
RW6.26
9Chris Donovan
CF6.95
8Taylor Davila
CM7.31
25Jansen Wilson
MF7.26
27Evan Davila
MF3.46
2Aiden McFadden
RB6.97
4Sean Totsch
CB6.78
15Emanuel Perez
RB6.84
24Joshua Jones
CB6.49
32Kyle Adams
CB6.73
1Hugo Fauroux
GK5.49
Substitutes
14Tola Showunmi
CF5.37
21Quentin Emeric Huerman
LW4.51
19Babacar Niang
MF5.39
3Jake Morris
LB5.87
13Amadou Dia
LB4.68
23Sam Gleadle
LB4.37
12Daniel Faundez
GK1.82
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

compareTeam Comparison

Based on 38 / 11 matches
BirminghamvsLouisville City

radarTeam Profile

Birmingham
Louisville City
AttackDefensePossessionEfficiencyCreativityDiscipline
sports_soccer
45Attack65
shield
42Defense26
swap_horiz
59Possession46
gps_fixed
64Efficiency55
auto_fix_high
38Creativity50
gavel
64Discipline51

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

56Goals Scored19
49Goals Conceded19
9Clean Sheets2
87Big Chances28
61Big Chances Missed21

gps_fixedShooting

483Total Shots183
170Shots on Target60

swap_horizPassing & Possession

53.6%Avg Possession54.5%
17,130Total Passes4,636
85.3%Pass Accuracy77.2%

shieldDefending

587Tackles145
238Interceptions74
114Saves17
49.6%Duels Won51.1%

gavelDiscipline

379Fouls144
58Yellow Cards19
1Red Cards0
42Offsides20

analyticsOther

199Corners91
238Successful Dribbles67
14Errors Leading to Goal1
6.81Avg Rating6.81

history Recent Form

BirminghamBirmingham
1.1 GPG
L
D
W
D
W
Louisville CityLouisville City
1.4 GPG
L
L
L
L
W

group Head to Head

PL15 Jun 2025
Louisville City
4-2
Birmingham Legion
PL16 Mar 2025
Birmingham Legion
1-1
Louisville City
PL30 Jun 2024
Birmingham Legion
1-4
Louisville City
PL30 Mar 2024
Louisville City
5-0
Birmingham Legion
PL19 Aug 2023
Birmingham Legion
2-0
Louisville City
53%
Over 2.5 Goals
53%
Both Team Score

Head-to-Head Detailed

Over 1.5 Goals
80%
12 / 15 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
53%
8 / 15 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
27%
4 / 15 matches
Both Teams to Score
53%
8 / 15 matches
Birmingham CS
13%
Clean Sheets
Louisville City CS
40%
Clean Sheets

Recent Matches

15 Jun 2025
Louisville City
4 - 2
Birmingham Legion
16 Mar 2025
Birmingham Legion
1 - 1
Louisville City
30 Jun 2024
Birmingham Legion
1 - 4
Louisville City
30 Mar 2024
Louisville City
5 - 0
Birmingham Legion
19 Aug 2023
Birmingham Legion
2 - 0
Louisville City
23 Jul 2023
Louisville City
1 - 2
Birmingham Legion
3 Jul 2022
Louisville City
2 - 1
Birmingham Legion
3 Apr 2022
Birmingham Legion
0 - 0
Louisville City
31 Oct 2021
Birmingham Legion
0 - 1
Louisville City
29 Aug 2021
Birmingham Legion
2 - 1
Louisville City
17 Jun 2021
Louisville City
2 - 0
Birmingham Legion
9 May 2021
Louisville City
1 - 1
Birmingham Legion

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)
Birmingham
1.11
Form (Overall)
Louisville City
1.45

Louisville City is +31% better in terms of Points Per Game

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2 - 0
Birmingham Legion
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1 - 3
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1 - 0
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0 - 2
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0 - 2
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2 - 1
Louisville City
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1 - 0
Sporting JAX

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Birmingham vs Louisville City Prediction & Tips | USL Championship | FootballTips.app