Birmingham vs Middlesbrough Prediction & Tips | Championship | FootballTips.app

Birmingham

Birmingham

Home
Full Time
1 - 3
HT: 0 - 2
Monday 2 March
Middlesbrough

Middlesbrough

Away
BirminghamTimelineMiddlesbrough
1st Half
Targett M. (Morris A.)
sports_soccer
13'
Targett M.Assist: Hackney H.
sports_soccer
26'
2nd Half
Ducksch M. (Stansfield J.)
sports_soccer
49'
Iwata T.
58'
Strelec D. (Ayling L.)
sports_soccer
60'
Whittaker M.Out: Strelec D.
sync_alt
61'
Priske A.Out: Stansfield J.
sync_alt
64'
Vicente C.Out: Roberts P.
sync_alt
64'
Conway T.
67'
Paik Seung-HoOut: Gray D.
sync_alt
72'
Osman I.Out: Osayi-Samuel B.
sync_alt
72'
Browne A.Out: McGree R.
sync_alt
74'
Sarmiento J.Out: Conway T.
sync_alt
74'
Laird E.Out: Panzo J.
sync_alt
84'
Brynn S.
85'
Malanda A.
90'
Laird E.
90+1'
Gilbert A.Out: Hackney H.
sync_alt
90+1'
Brittain C.
90+4'

Top stats

0.60Expected goals (xG)1.08
60%Ball possession40%
11Total shots10
7Shots on target3
0Big chances3
6Corner kicks2
76% (350/463)Passes70% (217/310)
2Yellow cards4

Shots

0.60Expected goals (xG)1.08
1.47xG on target (xGOT)1.72
11Total shots10
7Shots on target3
0Shots off target4
4Blocked shots3
5Shots inside the box8
6Shots outside the box2
0Hit the woodwork0
0Headed goals1

Attack

0Big chances3
6Corner kicks2
19Touches in opposition box24
0Accurate through passes3
3Offsides3
12Free kicks11

Passes

76% (350/463)Passes70% (217/310)
36% (30/84)Long passes39% (20/51)
60% (88/147)Passes in final third56% (60/107)
16% (4/25)Crosses13% (1/8)
0.39Expected assists (xA)1.01
31Throw ins29

Defense

11Fouls12
18% (2/11)Tackles73% (11/15)
43Duels won54
16Clearances29
8Interceptions7
0Errors leading to shot1
0Errors leading to goal0

Goalkeeping

0Goalkeeper saves6
1.72xGOT faced1.47
-1.28Goals prevented0.47
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Very High Confidence
12.70
X3.52
22.55

Recommended Bet

cancel
Home Win
Stake: High (9/10)
93
Opp. Value

Key Factors

League Rank: Home #11 vs Away #2
Season: Home 1.44 PPG vs Away 1.85 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 1.70 PPG vs Away 1.30 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 1.88 GPG vs Away 1.47 GPG

donut_small Win Probabilities

62%
18%
20%
Birmingham
Draw
Middlesbrough

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

Birmingham

Starting 11
-James Beadle
GK6.64
-Ethan Laird
DL6.68
-Christoph Klarer
DC7.17
-Jonathan Panzo
DC6.88
-Bright Osayi-Samuel
DR6.29
-Tomoki Iwata
DMC6.67
-Tommy Doyle
DMC6.49
-Ibrahim Osman
AML6.76
-Jay Stansfield
AMC6.58
-Carlos Vicente
AMR6.48
-Marvin Ducksch
FW6.61

Middlesbrough

Starting 11
-Sol Brynn
GK6.60
-Matt Targett
DL6.87
-Adilson Malanda
DC7.08
-Dael Fry
DC6.94
-Callum Brittain
DR6.99
-Alan Browne
MC6.63
-Hayden Hackney
MC7.07
-Aidan Morris
MC6.82
-Riley McGree
FWL6.80
-Tommy Conway
FW6.82
-Morgan Whittaker
FWR6.91
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

Match Preview

Birmingham City and Middlesbrough are set to clash at St.

Andrew's @ Knighthead Park in the English Championship on March 2, 2026.

Birmingham City, currently occupying the 10th position with 49 points, will take on Middlesbrough, who stands at 2nd place with 63 points in the league standings.

In recent home matches, Birmingham City has recorded 4 draws in their last 6 games across all leagues.

On the other hand, Middlesbrough has displayed a strong performance, securing 3 wins in their recent 6 matches in all competitions.

Looking at their head-to-head encounters, Birmingham City has faced challenges, suffering 6 losses in their last 6 head-to-head matches against Middlesbrough.

With the potential for goal-scoring action, our model predicts a match with over 2.5 goals scored.

Birmingham were dismantled by Millwall during the first half on Wednesday night before Jhon Solis' red card early in the second half ended any faint hopes of a comeback. The 3-0 defeat ended an eight-match unbeaten run for Chris Davies' side.

Middlesbrough lost more ground to title rivals Coventry in gameweek 34 as the Teessiders were forced to settle for a point at home against relegation-threatened Leicester. Kim Hellberg's side have picked up just two points from the last nine available and are now only four points clear of third-placed Millwall.

compareTeam Comparison

Based on 28 / 15 matches
BirminghamvsMiddlesbrough
1.36Goals / Match1.67
1.07Conceded / Match1.40
8Clean Sheets2

radarTeam Profile

Birmingham
Middlesbrough
AttackDefensePossessionEfficiencyCreativityDiscipline
sports_soccer
39Attack27
shield
48Defense17
swap_horiz
59Possession24
gps_fixed
59Efficiency50
auto_fix_high
31Creativity21
gavel
62Discipline42

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

38Goals Scored25
30Goals Conceded21
8Clean Sheets2

gavelDiscipline

42Yellow Cards41
1Red Cards1

Statistical Comparison

BirminghamMetricMiddlesbrough
44
Goals
48
28
Assists
38
6.5
Average Ratings
6.5
25.1
Average Age
26
180.6
Average Height (cm)
181.7
0.9
Shots pg
1
51%
Aerial Duel Success
47%
0.4
Dribbles pg
0.7
1.2
Tackles pg
1.2

League Standings Context

For Birmingham

PosTeamPWDLPts
10Bristol City351481350
11Birmingham City3413101149
12Preston North End3512131049

For Middlesbrough

PosTeamPWDLPts
1Coventry City35218671
2Middlesbrough34189763
3Millwall35188962

Advanced Stats (Avg per match)

49.1/ 95.6
Dangerous Attacks
56.1/ 107.0
27.0%
Shots on Target
31.0%
14.1
Total Shots
14.8
54.0%
Possession
58.0%

Team Performance (Avg)

1.3
Goals Scored / Match
1.4
1.3
Goals Conceded / Match
1.1

Head-to-Head Summary

0
Birmingham Wins
0%
0
Draws
0%
6
Middlesbrough Wins
100%
Total H2H Matches: 6

Recent Form Stats

MarketBirminghamMiddlesbrough
Over 1.5 Goals
82%31/38
68%26/38
Over 2.5 Goals
50%19/38
53%20/38
Both Teams to Score
58%22/38
53%20/38
* Based on last 38 matches

Past Matches

Last 6: Birmingham

FA
Birmingham City
1 - 1
Leeds United
CH
Birmingham City
0 - 0
West Bromwich
CH
Birmingham City
2 - 1
Leicester City
CH
Birmingham City
1 - 1
Stoke City
CH
Birmingham City
3 - 2
Coventry City
CH
Birmingham City
1 - 1
Southampton

Home Games: Birmingham

FA
Birmingham City
1 - 1
Leeds United
CH
Birmingham City
0 - 0
West Bromwich
CH
Birmingham City
2 - 1
Leicester City
CH
Birmingham City
1 - 1
Stoke City
CH
Birmingham City
3 - 2
Coventry City
CH
Birmingham City
1 - 1
Southampton

Last 6: Middlesbrough

CH
Coventry City
3 - 1
Middlesbrough
CH
Sheffield United
1 - 2
Middlesbrough
CH
Stoke City
1 - 2
Middlesbrough
CH
West Bromwich
2 - 3
Middlesbrough
FA
Fulham
3 - 1
Middlesbrough
CH
Derby County
1 - 0
Middlesbrough

Away Games: Middlesbrough

CH
Coventry City
3 - 1
Middlesbrough
CH
Sheffield United
1 - 2
Middlesbrough
CH
Stoke City
1 - 2
Middlesbrough
CH
West Bromwich
2 - 3
Middlesbrough
FA
Fulham
3 - 1
Middlesbrough
CH
Derby County
1 - 0
Middlesbrough

history Recent Form

BirminghamBirmingham
1.4 GPG
L
W
D
W
W
MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough
1.9 GPG
D
D
L
W
W

group Head to Head

PL8 Nov 2025
Middlesbrough
2-1
Birmingham City
PL12 Mar 2024
Birmingham City
0-1
Middlesbrough
PL21 Oct 2023
Middlesbrough
1-0
Birmingham City
PL2 Jan 2023
Birmingham City
1-3
Middlesbrough
PL5 Oct 2022
Middlesbrough
1-0
Birmingham City
44%
Over 2.5 Goals
44%
Both Team Score

Head-to-Head Detailed

Over 1.5 Goals
70%
19 / 27 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
44%
12 / 27 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
26%
7 / 27 matches
Both Teams to Score
44%
12 / 27 matches
Birmingham CS
22%
Clean Sheets
Middlesbrough CS
37%
Clean Sheets

Recent Matches

8 Nov 2025
Middlesbrough
2 - 1
Birmingham City
12 Mar 2024
Birmingham City
0 - 1
Middlesbrough
21 Oct 2023
Middlesbrough
1 - 0
Birmingham City
2 Jan 2023
Birmingham City
1 - 3
Middlesbrough
5 Oct 2022
Middlesbrough
1 - 0
Birmingham City
15 Mar 2022
Birmingham City
0 - 2
Middlesbrough
30 Oct 2021
Middlesbrough
0 - 2
Birmingham City
16 Jan 2021
Middlesbrough
0 - 1
Birmingham City
19 Dec 2020
Birmingham City
1 - 4
Middlesbrough
21 Jan 2020
Middlesbrough
1 - 1
Birmingham City
4 Oct 2019
Birmingham City
2 - 1
Middlesbrough
12 Jan 2019
Birmingham City
1 - 2
Middlesbrough

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)
Birmingham
1.44
Form (Overall)
Middlesbrough
1.85

Middlesbrough is +28% better in terms of Points Per Game

Millwall
3 - 0
Birmingham City
Norwich City
1 - 2
Birmingham City
Birmingham City
0 - 0
West Bromwich Albion
Birmingham City
2 - 1
Leicester City
Oxford United
0 - 2
Birmingham City
Middlesbrough
1 - 1
Leicester City
Middlesbrough
0 - 0
Oxford United
Coventry City
3 - 1
Middlesbrough
Sheffield United
1 - 2
Middlesbrough
Middlesbrough
1 - 0
Norwich City

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