Birmingham vs Southampton Prediction & Tips | Championship | FootballTips.app

Birmingham

Birmingham

Home
Full Time
1 - 1
HT: 0 - 1
Tuesday 1 September
Southampton

Southampton

Away
BirminghamTimelineSouthampton
1st Half
Osayi-Samuel B.
45+1'
Schlotterbeck K. (Scienza L.)
sports_soccer
45+3'
2nd Half
Priske A. (Roberts P.)
sports_soccer
55'
Matsuki K.Out: Fellows T.
sync_alt
61'
Ward-Prowse J.Out: Bragg C.
sync_alt
61'
Mubama D.Out: Larin C.
sync_alt
69'
Gray D.Out: Roberts P.
sync_alt
70'
Mubama D.
72'
Solis Romero J. E.
77'
Dobbin L.Out: Scienza L.
sync_alt
81'
Vazquez L.Out: Priske A.
sync_alt
86'
Laird E.Out: Vicente C.
sync_alt
86'
Paik Seung-HoOut: Stansfield J.
sync_alt
87'
Wood N.
90+2'
Vazquez L.
90+2'

Top stats

1.22Expected goals (xG)0.94
37%Ball possession63%
16Total shots13
4Shots on target4
4Big chances1
3Corner kicks5
69% (196/286)Passes81% (408/505)
3Yellow cards2

Shots

1.22Expected goals (xG)0.94
0.67xG on target (xGOT)1.23
16Total shots13
4Shots on target4
8Shots off target5
4Blocked shots4
10Shots inside the box11
6Shots outside the box2
1Hit the woodwork0
1Headed goals1

Attack

4Big chances1
3Corner kicks5
27Touches in opposition box19
0Accurate through passes1
2Offsides5
8Free kicks12

Passes

69% (196/286)Passes81% (408/505)
35% (21/60)Long passes31% (20/65)
62% (68/110)Passes in final third52% (43/82)
26% (5/19)Crosses31% (5/16)
0.98Expected assists (xA)0.89
12Throw ins17

Defense

12Fouls8
50% (7/14)Tackles27% (3/11)
45Duels won54
17Clearances19
13Interceptions10
0Errors leading to shot4
0Errors leading to goal0

Goalkeeping

3Goalkeeper saves3
1.23xGOT faced0.67
0.23Goals prevented-0.33
11Goal kicks15
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Very High Confidence
12.53
X3.53
22.72

Recommended Bet

cancel
Away Win
Stake: High (10/10)
100
Opp. Value

Key Factors

League Rank: Home #9 vs Away #5
Season: Home 1.70 PPG vs Away 2.20 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 1.80 PPG vs Away 2.20 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 1.80 GPG vs Away 1.50 GPG

donut_small Win Probabilities

24%
21%
55%
Birmingham
Draw
Southampton

Match Preview

St. Andrew's Stadium will host the English Championship fixture between Birmingham City and Southampton on September 1, 2026.

Birmingham City are positioned 8th in the table with 5 points, while Southampton occupy 18th place with 2 points going into the game.

Birmingham City have recorded 3 draws in their last 6 matches across all competitions, while Southampton have secured 2 wins in their previous 4 league fixtures.

In terms of goals, there have been Over 2.5 goals scored in 4 of the last 6 encounters between Birmingham City and Southampton, and all of Southampton’s last 3 Championship games have also seen Over 2.5 goals.

Prediction: Over 2.5 goals scored

Phil Neumann was the unlikely hero for Birmingham on Friday night as his brace helped seal a 2-1 away win against former League One promotion rivals Wrexham. That result was the perfect antidote to a 6-1 Carabao Cup defeat against Premier League side Brentford.

Southampton overcame an early 1-0 deficit at home against a fast-starting Millwall side on Saturday as Cyle Larin's brace inspired a dominant 5-1 victory at St. Mary's Stadium. Back-to-back league wins have moved the Saints up to 18th, despite a pre-season points deduction.

Lineups

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

Birmingham

Starting 11
-James Beadle
GK6.86
-Alex Cochrane
DL7.21
-Christoph Klarer
DC7.53
-Phil Neumann
DC7.71
-Bright Osayi-Samuel
DR6.53
-Jhon Solís
DMC6.86
-Tomoki Iwata
DMC6.52
-Patrick Roberts
AML6.22
-Jay Stansfield
AMC6.39
-Carlos Vicente
AMR6.29
-August Priske
FW6.51

Southampton

Starting 11
-Daniel Peretz
GK6.38
-Ryan Manning
DL7.06
-Keven Schlotterbeck
DC7.21
-Nathan Wood
DC6.91
-James Bree
DR6.58
-Cameron Bragg
DMC6.66
-James Ward-Prowse
DMC6.45
-Léo Scienza
AML7.08
-Finn Azaz
AMC7.67
-Tom Fellows
AMR6.92
-Cyle Larin
FW7.69
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

compareTeam Comparison

Based on 2 / 3 matches
BirminghamvsSouthampton
0.00Goals / Match3.00
2.50Conceded / Match1.33
0Clean Sheets0
0.00Shots on Target / Match5.00
33.0%Possession %59.0%
78.8%Pass Accuracy %87.1%

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

0Goals Scored9
5Goals Conceded4
0Big Chances12
0Big Chances Missed5
0Penalty Goals2

gps_fixedShooting

13Total Shots56
0Shots on Target15

swap_horizPassing & Possession

33.0%Avg Possession59.0%
581Total Passes1,416
78.8%Pass Accuracy87.1%

shieldDefending

39Tackles43
11Interceptions16
4Saves7
45.5%Duels Won49.4%

gavelDiscipline

28Fouls25
6Yellow Cards8
1Red Cards0
2Offsides6

analyticsOther

4Corners20
12Successful Dribbles17
2Errors Leading to Goal1
6.42Avg Rating7.47

Statistical Comparison

BirminghamMetricSouthampton
3
Goals
9
2
Assists
6
6.5
Average Ratings
6.7
25.6
Average Age
26.8
181.8
Average Height (cm)
182.5
0.7
Shots pg
1.4
45%
Aerial Duel Success
33%
0.9
Dribbles pg
0.9
1.4
Tackles pg
1

League Standings Context

For Birmingham

PosTeamPWDLPts
7West Bromwich32016
8Birmingham City31205
9Watford31205

For Southampton

PosTeamPWDLPts
17Lincoln City31023
18Southampton32012
19West Ham30212

Advanced Stats (Avg per match)

43.7/ 97.5
Dangerous Attacks
56.2/ 115.5
30.0%
Shots on Target
28.0%
9.0
Total Shots
18.5
46.0%
Possession
61.0%

Team Performance (Avg)

1.2
Goals Scored / Match
2.2
1.7
Goals Conceded / Match
1.5

Head-to-Head Summary

0
Birmingham Wins
0%
2
Draws
33%
4
Southampton Wins
67%
Total H2H Matches: 6

Recent Form Stats

MarketBirminghamSouthampton
Over 1.5 Goals
67%4/6
100%6/6
Over 2.5 Goals
50%3/6
67%4/6
Both Teams to Score
67%4/6
83%5/6
* Based on last 6 matches

Past Matches

Last 6: Birmingham

EFL
Birmingham City
1 - 6
Brentford
CH
Birmingham City
2 - 2
Bristol City

Home Games: Birmingham

EFL
Birmingham City
1 - 6
Brentford
CH
Birmingham City
2 - 2
Bristol City

Last 6: Southampton

CH
Watford
2 - 1
Southampton
EFL
Colchester Utd
0 - 2
Southampton

Away Games: Southampton

CH
Watford
2 - 1
Southampton
EFL
Colchester Utd
0 - 2
Southampton

history Recent Form

BirminghamBirmingham
1.7 GPG
W
D
D
SouthamptonSouthampton
2.2 GPG
W
W
L

group Head to Head

PL29 Dec 2025
Birmingham City
1-1
Southampton
PL6 Dec 2025
Southampton
3-1
Birmingham City
PL2 Mar 2024
Birmingham City
3-4
Southampton
PL28 Oct 2023
Southampton
3-1
Birmingham City
PL4 Feb 2012
Birmingham City
0-0
Southampton
67%
Over 2.5 Goals
78%
Both Team Score

Head-to-Head Detailed

Over 1.5 Goals
78%
7 / 9 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
67%
6 / 9 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
44%
4 / 9 matches
Both Teams to Score
78%
7 / 9 matches
Birmingham CS
22%
Clean Sheets
Southampton CS
11%
Clean Sheets

Recent Matches

29 Dec 2025
Birmingham City
1 - 1
Southampton
6 Dec 2025
Southampton
3 - 1
Birmingham City
2 Mar 2024
Birmingham City
3 - 4
Southampton
28 Oct 2023
Southampton
3 - 1
Birmingham City
4 Feb 2012
Birmingham City
0 - 0
Southampton
18 Sept 2011
Southampton
4 - 1
Birmingham City
25 Aug 2009
Southampton
1 - 2
Birmingham City
7 Mar 2009
Birmingham City
1 - 0
Southampton
16 Aug 2008
Southampton
1 - 2
Birmingham City

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)
Birmingham
1.70
Form (Overall)
Southampton
2.20

Southampton is +29% better in terms of Points Per Game

Wrexham
1 - 2
Birmingham City
Birmingham City
2 - 2
Bristol City
Sheffield United
0 - 0
Birmingham City
Southampton
5 - 1
Millwall
Southampton
3 - 1
Stoke City
Watford
2 - 1
Southampton

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