Blackburn vs Middlesbrough Prediction & Tips | Championship | FootballTips.app

Blackburn

Blackburn

Home
Full Time
0 - 0
HT: 0 - 0
Saturday 21 March
Middlesbrough

Middlesbrough

Away
BlackburnTimelineMiddlesbrough
1st Half
Ayling L.
24'
2nd Half
Pickering H.Out: Ribeiro Y.
sync_alt
64'
Cantwell T.Out: Baradji M.
sync_alt
64'
Castledine L.Out: Ayling L.
sync_alt
68'
Ohashi Y.Out: Jorgensen M.
sync_alt
75'
Bangura A.Out: Targett M.
sync_alt
81'
Sarmiento J.Out: Strelec D.
sync_alt
81'
Malanda A.
89'

Top stats

0.31Expected goals (xG)1.56
28%Ball possession72%
5Total shots12
1Shots on target3
0Big chances2
3Corner kicks11
73% (202/278)Passes87% (606/700)
0Yellow cards2

Shots

0.31Expected goals (xG)1.56
0.05xG on target (xGOT)1.22
5Total shots12
1Shots on target3
2Shots off target5
2Blocked shots4
3Shots inside the box9
2Shots outside the box3
0Hit the woodwork0

Attack

0Big chances2
3Corner kicks11
10Touches in opposition box36
0Accurate through passes0
2Offsides4
8Free kicks7

Passes

73% (202/278)Passes87% (606/700)
30% (20/66)Long passes44% (16/36)
54% (35/65)Passes in final third66% (129/195)
0% (0/10)Crosses14% (3/22)
0.16Expected assists (xA)1.17
13Throw ins20

Defense

7Fouls8
47% (9/19)Tackles56% (5/9)
48Duels won40
44Clearances18
8Interceptions3
1Errors leading to shot0
0Errors leading to goal0

Goalkeeping

3Goalkeeper saves1
1.22xGOT faced0.05
1.22Goals prevented0.05
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Medium Confidence
14.16
X3.64
21.90

Recommended Bet

Home Win
Stake: Medium (6/10)
56
Opp. Value

Key Factors

League Rank: Home #20 vs Away #2
Season: Home 1.11 PPG vs Away 1.84 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 1.10 PPG vs Away 1.45 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 0.95 GPG vs Away 1.68 GPG

donut_small Win Probabilities

36%
28%
36%
Blackburn
Draw
Middlesbrough

Match Preview

Blackburn capitalised fully on Zak Sturge's red card last weekend as a five-minute brace from substitute Mathias Jorgensen sealed a 2-1 comeback win in London. That result ended a four-match winless streak that produced just one point, moving Rovers three points clear of the relegation zone.

Middlesbrough were denied in the sixth minute of stoppage time in gameweek 38 as Adam Randell broke the Teessiders' hearts in a 1-1 draw at the Riverside Stadium. Kim Hellberg's side are now only two points ahead of Ipswich after failing to win back-to-back Championship matches.

Lineups

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

Blackburn

Starting 11
-Balázs Tóth
GK6.54
-Eiran Cashin
DC7.56
-Sean McLoughlin
DC7.11
-Tom Atcheson
DC6.56
-Yuri Ribeiro
DML6.59
-Adam Forshaw
MC6.38
-Taylor Gardner-Hickman
MC6.43
-Ryan Alebiosu
DMR6.76
-Todd Cantwell
AMC6.92
-Ryoya Morishita
AMC6.70
-Mathias Jørgensen
FW6.50

Middlesbrough

Starting 11
-Sol Brynn
GK6.62
-Matt Targett
DL6.91
-Adilson Malanda
DC6.94
-Luke Ayling
DC6.91
-Callum Brittain
DR6.99
-Alan Browne
MC6.65
-Aidan Morris
MC6.91
-Alex Gilbert
MC6.43
-Riley McGree
FWL6.79
-Tommy Conway
FW6.80
-Leo Castledine
FWR6.40
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

compareTeam Comparison

Based on 38 / 19 matches
BlackburnvsMiddlesbrough

radarTeam Profile

Blackburn
Middlesbrough
AttackDefensePossessionEfficiencyCreativityDiscipline
sports_soccer
28Attack32
shield
53Defense14
swap_horiz
37Possession24
gps_fixed
43Efficiency50
auto_fix_high
26Creativity27
gavel
50Discipline46

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

36Goals Scored35
49Goals Conceded28
9Clean Sheets2
2Penalty Goals0

gavelDiscipline

81Yellow Cards48
1Red Cards1

Statistical Comparison

BlackburnMetricMiddlesbrough
36
Goals
56
27
Assists
44
6.5
Average Ratings
6.5
26.5
Average Age
26.3
181.1
Average Height (cm)
181.6
0.7
Shots pg
1
48%
Aerial Duel Success
47%
0.5
Dribbles pg
0.5
1.4
Tackles pg
1.1

history Recent Form

BlackburnBlackburn
1.1 GPG
W
L
D
L
L
MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough
1.8 GPG
D
L
W
W
D

group Head to Head

PL26 Dec 2025
Middlesbrough
0-0
Blackburn Rovers
PL4 Apr 2025
Blackburn Rovers
0-2
Middlesbrough
PL11 Jan 2025
Middlesbrough
0-1
Blackburn Rovers
PL27 Nov 2024
Middlesbrough
0-1
Blackburn Rovers
PL16 Mar 2024
Middlesbrough
0-0
Blackburn Rovers
21%
Over 2.5 Goals
46%
Both Team Score

Head-to-Head Detailed

Over 1.5 Goals
50%
14 / 28 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
21%
6 / 28 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
0%
0 / 28 matches
Both Teams to Score
46%
13 / 28 matches
Blackburn CS
43%
Clean Sheets
Middlesbrough CS
32%
Clean Sheets

Recent Matches

26 Dec 2025
Middlesbrough
0 - 0
Blackburn Rovers
4 Apr 2025
Blackburn Rovers
0 - 2
Middlesbrough
11 Jan 2025
Middlesbrough
0 - 1
Blackburn Rovers
27 Nov 2024
Middlesbrough
0 - 1
Blackburn Rovers
16 Mar 2024
Middlesbrough
0 - 0
Blackburn Rovers
16 Sept 2023
Blackburn Rovers
2 - 1
Middlesbrough
29 Dec 2022
Blackburn Rovers
1 - 2
Middlesbrough
15 Oct 2022
Middlesbrough
1 - 2
Blackburn Rovers
24 Jan 2022
Blackburn Rovers
1 - 0
Middlesbrough
28 Aug 2021
Middlesbrough
1 - 1
Blackburn Rovers
24 Jan 2021
Middlesbrough
0 - 1
Blackburn Rovers
3 Nov 2020
Blackburn Rovers
0 - 0
Middlesbrough

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)
Blackburn
1.11
Form (Overall)
Middlesbrough
1.84

Middlesbrough is +66% better in terms of Points Per Game

Millwall
1 - 2
Blackburn Rovers
Oxford United
1 - 0
Blackburn Rovers
Blackburn Rovers
1 - 1
Portsmouth
Derby County
3 - 1
Blackburn Rovers
Blackburn Rovers
1 - 2
Bristol City
Middlesbrough
1 - 1
Bristol City
Middlesbrough
0 - 1
Charlton Athletic
Queens Park Rangers
0 - 4
Middlesbrough
Birmingham City
1 - 3
Middlesbrough
Middlesbrough
1 - 1
Leicester City

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