Boca Juniors (Arg) vs Sao Paulo (Bra) Prediction & Tips | Copa Sudamericana - Play Offs | FootballTips.app

Boca Juniors (Arg)
HomeFull Time
1 - 0
HT: 0 - 0
Wednesday 9 September

Sao Paulo (Bra)
AwayBoca Juniors (Arg)TimelineSao Paulo (Bra)
2nd Half
Miguel Merentiel ()
sports_soccer
52'
Santana G.Out: Luciano
sync_alt
63'
Jonathan Calleri
70'
Villa S.Out: Miguel Merentiel
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79'
DanielzinhoOut: Marcos Antonio
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81'
DjhordneyOut: Jonathan Calleri
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82'
Valencia E.Out: Velasco A.
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85'
Andre SilvaOut: Artur
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90+1'
NewtonOut: Pablo Maia
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90+2'
Valencia E.
90+4'
Top stats
1.04Expected goals (xG)0.49
51%Ball possession49%
11Total shots9
2Shots on target3
2Big chances1
4Corner kicks2
81% (386/476)Passes79% (369/469)
1Yellow cards1
Shots
1.04Expected goals (xG)0.49
1.33xG on target (xGOT)0.29
11Total shots9
2Shots on target3
6Shots off target5
3Blocked shots1
6Shots inside the box8
5Shots outside the box1
0Hit the woodwork0
Attack
2Big chances1
4Corner kicks2
17Touches in opposition box11
0Accurate through passes0
0Offsides0
8Free kicks5
Passes
81% (386/476)Passes79% (369/469)
40% (27/68)Long passes48% (29/60)
64% (67/105)Passes in final third59% (63/107)
22% (4/18)Crosses64% (7/11)
0.56Expected assists (xA)0.59
25Throw ins16
Defense
5Fouls8
80% (12/15)Tackles78% (18/23)
37Duels won49
11Clearances21
13Interceptions8
1Errors leading to shot0
0Errors leading to goal0
Goalkeeping
3Goalkeeper saves2
0.29xGOT faced1.33
0.29Goals prevented0.33
6Goal kicks12
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Very High Confidence
11.77
X3.07
25.16
Recommended Bet
No tip
No qualifying edge — see Value Comparison below
Key Factors
Season: Home 2.25 PPG vs Away 2.00 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 1.50 PPG vs Away 1.80 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 2.00 GPG vs Away 0.50 GPG
Defense (venue): Home 0.50 conc vs Away 0.25 conc
donut_small Win Probabilities
52%
Boca Juniors (Arg) Win
25%
Draw
23%
Sao Paulo (Bra) Win
Boca Juniors (Arg)
Draw
Sao Paulo (Bra)
payments
Value Comparison
| Outcome | Market Odds | True Odds (AI) | Fair Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 Goals | 2.40 | 2.18 | — | +10.3% |
| Boca Juniors Win | 1.79 | 1.92 | 1.94 | -6.8% |
| Draw | 3.34 | 4.05 | 3.63 | -17.5% |
| São Paulo Win | 4.40 | 4.31 | 4.78 | +2.2% |
| BTTS - Yes | 2.20 | 2.21 | — | -0.6% |
Fair Odds remove the bookmaker margin. Value is raw EV vs market odds; hover a badge for the edge vs fair odds.
Lineups
Lineup Predictions & Ratings
Boca Juniors (Arg)
Starting 11
30Enner Valencia
CF6.51
19Leonel Benjamín Flores
CF7.20
20Alan Velasco
LW7.14
21Kevin Andrés Zenon
LW4.46
8Tomás Belmonte
CDM7.17
23Camilo Rey Domenech
CDM6.63
4Jorge Nicolás Figal
CB6.79
24Dylan Gorosito
RB6.75
26Marco Pellegrino
CB6.55
-Matías Satas
CB
1Álvaro Montero
GK7.07
Substitutes
-Milton Giménez
CF
11Ángel Romero
RW
16Miguel Merentiel
CF7.11
22Sebastián Villa Cano
LW7.61
5Leandro Paredes
CDM7.94
-Carlos Palacios
CAM
-William Héctor Alarcón Cepeda
CM
42Facundo Ezequiel Herrera
7.05
2Lautaro Di Lollo
CB6.67
3Lautaro Emanuel Blanco
LB6.95
3Lautaro Emanuel Blanco
LB6.95
-Leandro Brey
GK
Sao Paulo (Bra)
Starting 11
10Luciano da Rocha Neves
CF7.31
37Artur Victor Guimarães
RW7.17
8Marcos Antonio
CM6.83
-Gustavo Domingos Santana
94Daniel de Oliveira Sertanejo
CM7.18
5Robert Abel Arboleda Escobar
CB7.51
18Wendell Nascimento Borges
LB6.56
19Lucas Ramon Batista Silva
RB6.96
22Domingos Duarte
CB7.01
35José Sabino Chagas Monteiro
CB7.07
23Rafael Pires Monteiro (Injured)
GK6.65
Substitutes
9Jonathan Calleri
CF6.94
11Aldemir dos Santos Ferreira
LW6.88
17André Oliveira Silva
CF5.71
34Perivan dos Santos
LW6.40
-Ryan Francisco Rodrigues dos Santos Silva
CF
28Newton Araújo da Costa Júnior
CDM6.90
29Pablo Gonçalves Maia Fortunato
CDM6.73
48Djhordney Ferreira
CM6.71
80Cauly Oliveira Souza
CAM6.79
2Rafael Tolói
CB7.05
12Iago Borduchi
LB7.35
31Carlos Coronel
GK7.10
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches
history Recent Form
D
W
D
D
D
W
W
L
D
L
Current Form Comparison
Form (Overall)
2.25
Form (Overall)
2.00
Boca Juniors (Arg) is +13% better in terms of Points Per Game
Gimnasia Mendoza
2 - 2
Boca Juniors
Boca Juniors
1 - 0
Lanús
Racing Club
1 - 1
Boca Juniors
Platense
1 - 1
Boca Juniors
Boca Juniors
1 - 1
Vélez Sarsfield
São Paulo
2 - 0
Atlético Mineiro
São Paulo
2 - 1
Bragantino
Chapecoense
1 - 0
São Paulo
São Paulo
1 - 1
Coritiba
Grêmio
2 - 1
São Paulo
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