Bodo/Glimt vs Sporting CP Prediction & Tips | Champions League - Play Offs | FootballTips.app

Bodo/Glimt

Bodo/Glimt

Home
Full Time
3 - 0
HT: 2 - 0
Wednesday 11 March
Sporting CP

Sporting CP

Away
Bodo/GlimtTimelineSporting CP
1st Half
Hjulmand M.
20'
Fet S.(Penalty)
sports_soccer
32'
Gundersen J.
44'
Blomberg O.
sports_soccer
45+1'
2nd Half
Morita H.Out: Simoes J.
sync_alt
63'
Santos N.Out: Vagiannidis G.
sync_alt
63'
Faye S.Out: Catamo G.
sync_alt
63'
Hogh K. (Hauge J.)
sports_soccer
71'
Maatta I.Out: Blomberg O.
sync_alt
75'
Hogh K.
76'
Helmersen A.Out: Hogh K.
sync_alt
79'
Saltnes U.Out: Fet S.
sync_alt
79'
Braganca D.Out: Luis Guilherme
sync_alt
79'
Auklend S.Out: Evjen H.
sync_alt
87'

Top stats

2.46Expected goals (xG)0.51
49%Ball possession51%
10Total shots9
5Shots on target2
5Big chances0
4Corner kicks5
89% (449/505)Passes89% (474/533)
2Yellow cards1

Shots

2.46Expected goals (xG)0.51
2.78xG on target (xGOT)0.21
10Total shots9
5Shots on target2
3Shots off target3
2Blocked shots4
8Shots inside the box8
2Shots outside the box1
0Hit the woodwork0

Attack

5Big chances0
4Corner kicks5
40Touches in opposition box22
1Accurate through passes0
0Offsides2
11Free kicks15

Passes

89% (449/505)Passes89% (474/533)
56% (23/41)Long passes61% (17/28)
83% (162/196)Passes in final third77% (112/146)
17% (2/12)Crosses22% (4/18)
1.96Expected assists (xA)0.59
12Throw ins11

Defense

15Fouls11
68% (13/19)Tackles88% (14/16)
36Duels won35
22Clearances19
11Interceptions8
0Errors leading to shot0
0Errors leading to goal0

Goalkeeping

2Goalkeeper saves2
0.21xGOT faced2.78
0.21Goals prevented-0.22
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Medium Confidence
12.57
X3.74
22.70

Recommended Bet

Draw
Stake: Medium (6/10)
62
Opp. Value

Key Factors

Season: Home 2.50 PPG vs Away 2.60 PPG
Recent Form: Home 2.50 PPG vs Away 2.60 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 3.60 GPG vs Away 2.20 GPG
Defense (venue): Home 1.00 conc vs Away 1.20 conc

donut_small Win Probabilities

33%
42%
25%
Bodo/Glimt
Draw
Sporting CP

Match Preview

At Aspmyra Stadion on March 11, 2026, Bodo/Glimt will take on Sporting CP in a crucial Champions League contest.

Bodo/Glimt, with an impressive record of 43 wins out of 69 matches this season, has secured 3 victories in their last 6 home games in the league.

On the other hand, Sporting CP has won 5 out of 8 league matches but faced a 50% loss rate in their last 4 away games in the Champions League.

Sporting CP is predicted to clinch the victory with a scoreline of 1-2 as per our algorithm.

One of the most remarkable stories of this Champions League season continues in northern Norway as Bodø/Glimt host Sporting CP in the first leg of the round of 16. The Norwegian champions are making their debut appearance in the competition proper and have already produced one of the shocks of the tournament by eliminating Inter 5-2 on aggregate in the knockout phase play-offs.

Bodø/Glimt’s route to this stage has been dramatic. After failing to win any of their opening six matches in the league phase, they surged late to claim the final qualification spot before embarking on a stunning run that includes victories over Manchester City, Atlético Madrid and Inter. They arrive on a four-match winning streak in the Champions League and have scored at least twice in eight of their ten matches in the competition.

Sporting, meanwhile, qualified directly after finishing seventh in the league phase. Rui Borges’ side secured their place in the last 16 with a dramatic 3-2 victory at Athletic Club on the final matchday. That result formed part of a broader unbeaten run of 12 matches in all competitions, underlining the Portuguese champions’ consistency heading into this tie.

History offers little guidance here. This is the first European Cup meeting between Norwegian and Portuguese clubs. Bodø/Glimt do carry a perfect record against Portuguese opposition after victories over Porto and Braga in last season’s Europa League, while Sporting have historically performed well against Norwegian teams, winning five of their six previous encounters.

Aspmyra Stadion has become one of the most difficult venues in European football in recent years. Bodø/Glimt have won 12 of their last 17 home European matches and their intense pressing style, combined with the Arctic conditions, often unsettles visiting teams unfamiliar with the environment.

Lineups

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

Bodo/Glimt

Starting 11
-Nikita Haikin
GK7.36
-Fredrik Bjørkan
DL6.57
-Jostein Gundersen
DC6.67
-Odin Bjørtuft
DC6.76
-Fredrik Sjøvold
DR6.58
-Sondre Fet
MC6.62
-Patrick Berg
MC6.99
-Håkon Evjen
MC6.74
-Jens Petter Hauge
FWL7.57
-Kasper Høgh
FW6.89
-Ole Didrik Blomberg
FWR6.69

Sporting CP

Starting 11
-Rui Silva
GK6.65
-Iván Fresneda
DL6.79
-Gonçalo Inácio
DC6.48
-Ousmane Diomande
DC6.76
-Georgios Vagiannidis
DR6.33
-Hidemasa Morita
DMC6.37
-Morten Hjulmand
DMC6.77
-Luis Guilherme
AML
-Trincão
AMC7.42
-Geny Catamo
AMR6.77
-Luis Suárez
FW7.02
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

Statistical Comparison

Bodo/GlimtMetricSporting CP
19
Goals
16
13
Assists
11
6.6
Average Ratings
6.5
26.7
Average Age
25.3
179.7
Average Height (cm)
183.1
0.8
Shots pg
0.8
45%
Aerial Duel Success
52%
0.9
Dribbles pg
1
1.3
Tackles pg
1.1

League Standings Context

For Bodo/Glimt

PosTeamPWDLPts
22Qarabag831410
23Bodo/Glimt82339
24SL Benfica83059

For Sporting CP

PosTeamPWDLPts
6Chelsea851216
7Sporting CP851216
8Manchester City851216

Advanced Stats (Avg per match)

61.9/ 104.1
Dangerous Attacks
55.6/ 106.2
38.0%
Shots on Target
38.0%
14.1
Total Shots
16.9
58.0%
Possession
59.0%

Team Performance (Avg)

2.4
Goals Scored / Match
2.4
1.2
Goals Conceded / Match
0.8

Head-to-Head Summary

0
Bodo/Glimt Wins
0%
0
Draws
0%
0
Sporting CP Wins
0%
Total H2H Matches: 0

Recent Form Stats

MarketBodo/GlimtSporting CP
Over 1.5 Goals
90%62/69
54%37/69
Over 2.5 Goals
75%52/69
43%30/69
Both Teams to Score
64%44/69
35%24/69
* Based on last 69 matches

Past Matches

Last 6: Bodo/Glimt

UCL
Bodo/Glimt
3 - 1
Inter
UCL
Bodo/Glimt
3 - 1
Manchester City
No1
Bodo/Glimt
5 - 0
Fredrikstad
UCL
Bodo/Glimt
2 - 3
Juventus
No1
Bodo/Glimt
5 - 0
Bryne FK
UCL
Bodo/Glimt
0 - 1
Monaco

Home Games: Bodo/Glimt

UCL
Bodo/Glimt
3 - 1
Inter
UCL
Bodo/Glimt
3 - 1
Manchester City
No1
Bodo/Glimt
5 - 0
Fredrikstad
UCL
Bodo/Glimt
2 - 3
Juventus
No1
Bodo/Glimt
5 - 0
Bryne FK
UCL
Bodo/Glimt
0 - 1
Monaco

Last 6: Sporting CP

Pt1
Sporting Braga
2 - 2
Sporting CP
Pt1
Moreirense FC
0 - 3
Sporting CP
Pt1
Porto
1 - 1
Sporting CP
UCL
Athletic Bilbao
2 - 3
Sporting CP
Pt1
FC Arouca
1 - 2
Sporting CP
Pt1
Gil Vicente
1 - 1
Sporting CP

Away Games: Sporting CP

Pt1
Sporting Braga
2 - 2
Sporting CP
Pt1
Moreirense FC
0 - 3
Sporting CP
Pt1
Porto
1 - 1
Sporting CP
UCL
Athletic Bilbao
2 - 3
Sporting CP
Pt1
FC Arouca
1 - 2
Sporting CP
Pt1
Gil Vicente
1 - 1
Sporting CP

history Recent Form

Bodo/GlimtBodo/Glimt
2.5 GPG
Sporting CPSporting CP
2.6 GPG
D
W
W
W
D

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)
Bodo/Glimt
2.50
Form (Overall)
Sporting CP
2.60

Sporting CP is +4% better in terms of Points Per Game

Sporting Braga
2 - 2
Sporting CP
Sporting CP
3 - 0
GD Estoril Praia
Moreirense FC
0 - 3
Sporting CP
Sporting CP
1 - 0
Famalicão
Porto
1 - 1
Sporting CP

Subscribe for Betting Tips

Get exclusive predictions delivered to your inbox.

No spam, unsubscribe at any time.