Bologna vs Aston Villa Prediction & Tips | Europa League - Play Offs | FootballTips.app

Bologna

Bologna

Home
Full Time
1 - 3
HT: 0 - 1
Thursday 9 April
Aston Villa

Aston Villa

Away
BolognaTimelineAston Villa
1st Half
Lucumi J.
14'
Konsa E. (Tielemans Y.)
sports_soccer
44'
2nd Half
Watkins O.Assist: Buendia E.
sports_soccer
51'
Pobega T.
65'
Orsolini R.Out: Ferguson L.
sync_alt
67'
Moro N.Out: Pobega T.
sync_alt
67'
Bogarde L.Out: Onana A.
sync_alt
80'
Odgaard J.Out: Castro S.
sync_alt
82'
Rogers M.
85'
Maatsen I.Out: Rogers M.
sync_alt
88'
Bailey L.Out: Buendia E.
sync_alt
88'
Rowe J. (Lucumi J.)
sports_soccer
90'
Cambiaghi N.Out: Freuler R.
sync_alt
90'
Watkins O. (Tielemans Y.)
sports_soccer
90+4'

Top stats

0.90Expected goals (xG)1.64
58%Ball possession42%
19Total shots8
4Shots on target4
1Big chances4
4Corner kicks3
90% (438/489)Passes79% (284/359)
2Yellow cards1

Shots

0.90Expected goals (xG)1.64
1.00xG on target (xGOT)1.78
19Total shots8
4Shots on target4
5Shots off target4
10Blocked shots0
10Shots inside the box3
9Shots outside the box5
2Hit the woodwork0
0Headed goals1

Attack

1Big chances4
4Corner kicks3
21Touches in opposition box8
0Accurate through passes1
7Offsides1
15Free kicks18

Passes

90% (438/489)Passes79% (284/359)
57% (20/35)Long passes26% (12/47)
80% (90/112)Passes in final third59% (42/71)
21% (3/14)Crosses80% (4/5)
0.85Expected assists (xA)0.75
12Throw ins9

Defense

18Fouls15
64% (7/11)Tackles64% (9/14)
44Duels won43
12Clearances16
8Interceptions4
0Errors leading to shot1
2Errors leading to goal0

Goalkeeping

1Goalkeeper saves3
1.78xGOT faced1.00
-1.22Goals prevented0.00
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Very High Confidence
13.48
X3.34
22.18

Recommended Bet

Home Win
Stake: High (10/10)
95
Opp. Value

Key Factors

Season: Home 2.20 PPG vs Away 1.60 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 1.80 PPG vs Away 1.00 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 0.80 GPG vs Away 0.67 GPG
Defense (venue): Home 1.00 conc vs Away 1.67 conc

donut_small Win Probabilities

90%
5%
5%
Bologna
Draw
Aston Villa

Match Preview

Bologna host Aston Villa in a compelling quarter-final first leg, with the Italian side looking to upset one of the favourites for the competition. The two teams are already familiar with each other, having met twice across the last two seasons, with Villa winning both encounters without conceding.

Italiano’s side arrive with strong European momentum. Their dramatic 5-4 aggregate victory over Roma in the previous round showcased both their attacking intent and resilience, while an 11-match unbeaten run in the Europa League highlights their consistency. At home, Bologna have also been difficult to beat, remaining unbeaten in this competition so far this season.

Villa, however, have been one of the standout teams in the tournament. Emery’s side have won seven consecutive Europa League matches and progressed past Lille with a composed 3-0 aggregate victory, built on defensive solidity and clinical finishing. Their away form in Europe has also been impressive, with four wins from five matches.

There is a contrast in approach. Bologna tend to play with intensity and volume, reflected in their competition-leading shot tally, while Villa have combined control with efficiency, often striking decisively after the break. Villa’s recent record against Italian opposition will also give them confidence, having kept clean sheets in their last four European matches against Serie A sides.

Lineups

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

Bologna

Starting 11
-Federico Ravaglia
GK6.61
-João Mário
DL7.21
-Jhon Lucumí
DC7.13
-Torbjørn Heggem
DC6.60
-Nadir Zortea
DR6.88
-Lewis Ferguson
MC6.77
-Remo Freuler
MC6.87
-Tommaso Pobega
MC6.68
-Jonathan Rowe
FWL6.99
-Santiago Castro
FW6.69
-Federico Bernardeschi
FWR6.99

Aston Villa

Starting 11
-Emiliano Martínez
GK6.85
-Lucas Digne
DL6.50
-Ezri Konsa
DC6.79
-Pau Torres
DC6.84
-Matty Cash
DR6.66
-Douglas Luiz
DMC7.30
-Amadou Onana
DMC6.93
-Morgan Rogers
AML6.80
-John McGinn
AMC6.71
-Leon Bailey
AMR6.70
-Ollie Watkins
FW6.42
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

compareTeam Comparison

Based on 12 / 18 matches
BolognavsAston Villa

radarTeam Profile

Bologna
Aston Villa
AttackDefensePossessionEfficiencyCreativityDiscipline
sports_soccer
71Attack28
shield
62Defense14
swap_horiz
62Possession24
gps_fixed
60Efficiency50
auto_fix_high
59Creativity19
gavel
33Discipline42

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

21Goals Scored31
11Goals Conceded33
4Clean Sheets3
2Penalty Goals2

gavelDiscipline

24Yellow Cards40
1Red Cards3

Statistical Comparison

BolognaMetricAston Villa
21
Goals
17
11
Assists
11
6.8
Average Ratings
6.8
26.5
Average Age
28.5
183.6
Average Height (cm)
184.1
1.2
Shots pg
1.1
51%
Aerial Duel Success
54%
0.9
Dribbles pg
0.6
1.6
Tackles pg
1.1

history Recent Form

BolognaBologna
2.2 GPG
W
L
W
L
W
Aston VillaAston Villa
1.6 GPG
W
L
L
L
D

group Head to Head

PL25 Sept 2025
Aston Villa
1-0
Bologna
PL22 Oct 2024
Aston Villa
2-0
Bologna
0%
Over 2.5 Goals
0%
Both Team Score

Head-to-Head Detailed

Over 1.5 Goals
50%
1 / 2 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
0%
0 / 2 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
0%
0 / 2 matches
Both Teams to Score
0%
0 / 2 matches
Bologna CS
0%
Clean Sheets
Aston Villa CS
100%
Clean Sheets

Recent Matches

25 Sept 2025
Aston Villa
1 - 0
Bologna
22 Oct 2024
Aston Villa
2 - 0
Bologna

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)
Bologna
2.20
Form (Overall)
Aston Villa
1.60

Bologna is +38% better in terms of Points Per Game

Cremonese
1 - 2
Bologna
Bologna
0 - 2
Lazio
Sassuolo
0 - 1
Bologna
Bologna
1 - 2
Hellas Verona
Pisa
0 - 1
Bologna
Aston Villa
2 - 0
West Ham United
Manchester United
3 - 1
Aston Villa
Aston Villa
1 - 4
Chelsea
Wolverhampton Wanderers
2 - 0
Aston Villa
Aston Villa
1 - 1
Leeds United

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