Bologna vs Brann Prediction & Tips | Europa League - Play Offs | FootballTips.app

Bologna

Bologna

Home
Full Time
1 - 0
HT: 0 - 0
Thursday 26 February
Brann

Brann

Away
BolognaTimelineBrann
1st Half
Vitik M.
28'
Sorensen J.
37'
Bernardeschi F.
41'
2nd Half
Joao Mario ()
sports_soccer
56'
Pedersen T.Out: Ingason K. M.
sync_alt
60'
Orsolini R.Out: Bernardeschi F.
sync_alt
61'
Casale N.Out: Vitik M.
sync_alt
61'
Odgaard J.Out: Freuler R.
sync_alt
73'
Holten R.Out: Mathisen U.
sync_alt
73'
Haaland M.Out: Thorsteinsson J. D.
sync_alt
73'
Holten R.
78'
Dominguez B.Out: Castro S.
sync_alt
78'
Sohm S.Out: Moro N.
sync_alt
78'
Orsolini R.
80'
Dragsnes V.Out: Soltvedt J.
sync_alt
85'
Finne B.Out: Holm N.
sync_alt
85'

Top stats

1.23Expected goals (xG)0.51
61%Ball possession39%
16Total shots7
5Shots on target3
1Big chances1
13Corner kicks1
82% (366/444)Passes69% (208/303)
3Yellow cards1
0Red cards1

Shots

1.23Expected goals (xG)0.51
1.80xG on target (xGOT)0.65
16Total shots7
5Shots on target3
3Shots off target2
8Blocked shots2
13Shots inside the box5
3Shots outside the box2
1Hit the woodwork0

Attack

1Big chances1
13Corner kicks1
47Touches in opposition box12
0Accurate through passes2
3Offsides0
9Free kicks15

Passes

82% (366/444)Passes69% (208/303)
49% (25/51)Long passes23% (14/62)
77% (136/177)Passes in final third55% (45/82)
20% (7/35)Crosses0% (0/5)
1.16Expected assists (xA)0.86
27Throw ins17

Defense

15Fouls9
67% (12/18)Tackles70% (21/30)
55Duels won59
18Clearances46
8Interceptions11
0Errors leading to shot0
0Errors leading to goal0

Goalkeeping

2Goalkeeper saves4
0.65xGOT faced1.80
0.65Goals prevented0.80
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Very High Confidence
11.45
X4.62
27.10

Recommended Bet

Home Win
Stake: Medium (7/10)
67
Opp. Value

Key Factors

Season: Home 1.40 PPG vs Away 0.70 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 1.65 PPG vs Away 0.00 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 0.83 GPG vs Away 0.40 GPG
Defense (venue): Home 1.50 conc vs Away 1.60 conc

donut_small Win Probabilities

71%
16%
13%
Bologna
Draw
Brann

Match Preview

Bologna is set to face Brann in the Europa League at Stadio Renato Dall'Ara on February 26, 2026.

Bologna has secured 3 wins in their last 6 matches across all leagues but has struggled with 4 losses in their last 6 home matches.

Conversely, Brann has suffered losses in 50% of their last 6 Europa League fixtures and in 3 out of their last 6 away matches in all leagues.

In their previous head-to-head encounters in the league, Bologna has come out victorious in 1 out of 2 matches against Brann.

Our algorithm predicts Bologna to clinch the victory with a scoreline of 2-0.

Bologna return to the Stadio Renato Dall’Ara holding a slender 1-0 advantage after Santiago Castro’s early strike in Norway. Federico Bernardeschi’s interception and Nicolò Cambiaghi’s incisive pass carved open Brann inside nine minutes, and that single moment of quality now separates the sides heading into the decider.

For Brann, the message from head coach Freyr Alexandersson is clear: score first and the tie shifts. Yet history weighs heavily against the visitors. They have never beaten Italian opposition in major European competition (D1 L3), failing to score in all four of those encounters.

Bologna, meanwhile, remain unbeaten in four European meetings with Norwegian clubs (W2 D2) and boast one of the most resilient home knockout records in continental football. They have never lost a home knockout match in 27 major European games (W16 D11), a record bettered only by Ipswich Town in terms of length.

Bologna are unlikely to sit back despite holding a lead. Their home knockout record suggests a side comfortable asserting control rather than defending passively. Expect Italiano’s men to dominate possession and look for wide overloads, particularly down Miranda’s flank.

Brann must decide whether to press early or conserve energy for a sustained second-half push. Given Bologna’s efficiency in transitions, an overly aggressive approach could leave them exposed.

If Brann score first, the psychological balance shifts. If Bologna strike, the tie may quickly drift beyond reach.

Lineups

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

Bologna

Starting 11
-Lukasz Skorupski
GK6.96
-Juan Miranda
DL7.39
-Jhon Lucumí
DC7.08
-Martin Vitík
DC6.75
-Nadir Zortea
DR7.10
-Lewis Ferguson
MC6.76
-Remo Freuler
MC6.89
-Nikola Moro
MC6.99
-Nicolò Cambiaghi
FWL6.59
-Santiago Castro
FW6.67
-Federico Bernardeschi
FWR6.81

Brann

Starting 11
-Mathias Dyngeland
GK6.89
-Joachim Soltvedt
DL6.82
-Fredrik Knudsen
DC7.08
-Nana Boakye
DC6.54
-Denzel De Roeve
DR7.02
-Kristall Ingason
MC5.73
-Jacob Sørensen
MC7.05
-Felix Myhre
MC6.56
-Jón Dagur Thorsteinsson
FWL6.11
-Noah Holm
FW6.83
-Ulrik Mathisen
FWR6.27
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

Statistical Comparison

BolognaMetricBrann
15
Goals
9
7
Assists
6
6.8
Average Ratings
6.5
27.3
Average Age
25.9
182.6
Average Height (cm)
184.2
1.3
Shots pg
1
51%
Aerial Duel Success
51%
0.7
Dribbles pg
0.5
1.3
Tackles pg
1.5

League Standings Context

For Bologna

PosTeamPWDLPts
9Racing Genk851216
10Bologna843115
11Stuttgart850315

For Brann

PosTeamPWDLPts
23Dinamo Zagreb831410
24Brann82339
25Young Boys83059

Advanced Stats (Avg per match)

47.8/ 101.0
Dangerous Attacks
56.1/ 100.3
32.0%
Shots on Target
38.0%
15.0
Total Shots
13.4
55.0%
Possession
58.0%

Team Performance (Avg)

1.4
Goals Scored / Match
1.8
1.1
Goals Conceded / Match
1.3

Head-to-Head Summary

1
Bologna Wins
50%
1
Draws
50%
0
Brann Wins
0%
Total H2H Matches: 2

Recent Form Stats

MarketBolognaBrann
Over 1.5 Goals
73%27/37
124%46/37
Over 2.5 Goals
51%19/37
95%35/37
Both Teams to Score
54%20/37
81%30/37
* Based on last 37 matches

Past Matches

Last 6: Bologna

It1
Bologna
1 - 0
Udinese
ItC
Bologna
1 - 1
Lazio
It1
Bologna
0 - 1
Parma
It1
Bologna
0 - 3
Milan
UEL
Bologna
2 - 2
Celtic
It1
Bologna
1 - 2
Fiorentina

Home Games: Bologna

It1
Bologna
1 - 0
Udinese
ItC
Bologna
1 - 1
Lazio
It1
Bologna
0 - 1
Parma
It1
Bologna
0 - 3
Milan
UEL
Bologna
2 - 2
Celtic
It1
Bologna
1 - 2
Fiorentina

Last 6: Brann

UEL
Sturm Graz
1 - 0
Brann
UEL
PAOK
1 - 1
Brann
No1
Molde
4 - 0
Brann
UEL
Bologna
0 - 0
Brann
No1
Bryne FK
2 - 1
Brann
No1
Rosenborg BK
2 - 3
Brann

Away Games: Brann

UEL
Sturm Graz
1 - 0
Brann
UEL
PAOK
1 - 1
Brann
No1
Molde
4 - 0
Brann
UEL
Bologna
0 - 0
Brann
No1
Bryne FK
2 - 1
Brann
No1
Rosenborg BK
2 - 3
Brann

history Recent Form

BolognaBologna
1.4 GPG
W
W
L
L
L
BrannBrann
0.7 GPG

group Head to Head

PL19 Feb 2026
Brann
0-1
Bologna
PL6 Nov 2025
Bologna
0-0
Brann
0%
Over 2.5 Goals
0%
Both Team Score

Head-to-Head Detailed

Over 1.5 Goals
0%
0 / 2 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
0%
0 / 2 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
0%
0 / 2 matches
Both Teams to Score
0%
0 / 2 matches
Bologna CS
100%
Clean Sheets
Brann CS
50%
Clean Sheets

Recent Matches

19 Feb 2026
Brann
0 - 1
Bologna
6 Nov 2025
Bologna
0 - 0
Brann

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)
Bologna
1.40
Form (Overall)
Brann
0.70

Bologna is +100% better in terms of Points Per Game

Bologna
1 - 0
Udinese
Torino
1 - 2
Bologna
Bologna
0 - 1
Parma
Bologna
0 - 3
AC Milan
Genoa
3 - 2
Bologna

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