Bolton vs Luton Prediction & Tips | League One | FootballTips.app

Bolton

Bolton

Home
Full Time
2 - 3
HT: 2 - 1
Saturday 2 May
Luton

Luton

Away
BoltonTimelineLuton
1st Half
Conway M.
13'
Clark J.(Penalty)
sports_soccer
15'
Osei-Tutu J. (Cozier-Duberry A.)
sports_soccer
20'
Walsh L.
35'
Cissoko I. (Rodrigues R.)
sports_soccer
45+3'
2nd Half
Cissoko I.
60'
Morris S.Out: Richards J.
sync_alt
61'
Odoffin H. (Walsh L.)
sports_soccer
62'
Forino-Joseph C.
63'
Palmer K.
63'
Gale T.Out: Cissoko I.
sync_alt
73'
Kodua G.Out: Lawrence E.
sync_alt
73'
Sheehan J.
78'
Dempsey K.Out: Rodrigues R.
sync_alt
79'
van den Berg D.Out: Palmer K.
sync_alt
81'
Al Hamadi A.Out: Andersen M.
sync_alt
81'
Christie C.Out: Conway M.
sync_alt
86'
McAtee J.Out: Burstow M.
sync_alt
86'
van den Berg D.
88'
Morris S. ()
sports_soccer
90+4'
Wells N. (Penalty missed)
close
90+7'

Top stats

1.75Expected goals (xG)3.05
56%Ball possession44%
24Total shots12
12Shots on target6
1Big chances5
5Corner kicks3
83% (348/417)Passes78% (248/318)
4Yellow cards3

Shots

1.75Expected goals (xG)3.05
2.71xG on target (xGOT)4.17
24Total shots12
12Shots on target6
6Shots off target5
6Blocked shots1
15Shots inside the box10
9Shots outside the box2
1Hit the woodwork3
0Headed goals1

Attack

1Big chances5
5Corner kicks3
38Touches in opposition box24
1Accurate through passes0
1Offsides2
17Free kicks17

Passes

83% (348/417)Passes78% (248/318)
42% (19/45)Long passes25% (14/56)
68% (79/117)Passes in final third55% (42/76)
27% (4/15)Crosses31% (5/16)
0.89Expected assists (xA)1.18
19Throw ins23

Defense

17Fouls17
35% (7/20)Tackles52% (13/25)
60Duels won57
21Clearances25
9Interceptions4
0Errors leading to shot1
0Errors leading to goal0

Goalkeeping

3Goalkeeper saves10
4.17xGOT faced2.71
1.17Goals prevented0.71
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified High Confidence
12.51
X3.68
22.41

Recommended Bet

Home Win
Stake: Medium (6/10)
59
Opp. Value

Key Factors

League Rank: Home #3 vs Away #7
Season: Home 1.67 PPG vs Away 1.58 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 1.25 PPG vs Away 2.60 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 2.00 GPG vs Away 1.27 GPG

donut_small Win Probabilities

41%
28%
32%
Bolton
Draw
Luton

Match Preview

Bolton were ahead for just eight minutes last weekend as Johnny Kenny's late opener was cancelled out by Kayden Jackson at Valley Parade. The Trotters have won just one of their last five League One matches as they prepare for a play-off campaign under Steven Schumacher.

Luton, meanwhile, are fighting to put their name in the play-off conversation. The Hatters have won seven and drawn three of their last 10 League One matches and head into gameweek 46 one point behind Stevenage and three behind Bradford, with a better goal difference than both sides.

Lineups

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

Bolton

Starting 11
-Jack Bonham
GK6.54
-George Johnston
DL7.14
-Chris Forino
DC7.30
-Eoin Toal
DC7.09
-Jordi Osei-Tutu
DR6.69
-Ruben Rodrigues
DMC6.73
-Kyle Dempsey
DMC6.65
-Thierry Gale
AML6.53
-Johnny Kenny
AMC7.04
-Amario Cozier-Duberry
AMR7.11
-Mason Burstow
FW6.62

Luton

Starting 11
-Josh Keeley
GK6.45
-Kal Naismith
DL6.94
-Mads Andersen
DC7.03
-Hakeem Odoffin
DC7.24
-Isaiah Jones
DR6.67
-Liam Walsh
DMC6.80
-Emilio Lawrence
ML6.78
-Davy van den Berg
MC6.28
-Kasey Palmer
MC7.02
-Shayden Morris
MR6.62
-Nahki Wells
FW6.43
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

compareTeam Comparison

Based on 45 matches
BoltonvsLuton

radarTeam Profile

Bolton
Luton
AttackDefensePossessionEfficiencyCreativityDiscipline
sports_soccer
56Attack44
shield
45Defense50
swap_horiz
61Possession52
gps_fixed
50Efficiency60
auto_fix_high
43Creativity35
gavel
58Discipline59

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

68Goals Scored65
49Goals Conceded54
11Clean Sheets13
103Big Chances94
69Big Chances Missed55
2Penalty Goals7

gps_fixedShooting

748Total Shots597
225Shots on Target183

swap_horizPassing & Possession

59.2%Avg Possession56.0%
20,762Total Passes18,598
81.2%Pass Accuracy77.7%

shieldDefending

675Tackles697
339Interceptions381
83Saves91
53.2%Duels Won49.2%

gavelDiscipline

456Fouls517
73Yellow Cards74
3Red Cards0
62Offsides74

analyticsOther

285Corners277
335Successful Dribbles346
5Errors Leading to Goal13
6.86Avg Rating6.79

Statistical Comparison

BoltonMetricLuton
66
Goals
64
48
Assists
44
6.7
Average Ratings
6.5
26
Average Age
27.3
181.2
Average Height (cm)
182.8
1.2
Shots pg
0.9
55%
Aerial Duel Success
50%
0.6
Dribbles pg
0.6
1
Tackles pg
1.2

history Recent Form

BoltonBolton
1.7 GPG
D
D
W
L
D
LutonLuton
1.6 GPG
W
W
D
W
W

group Head to Head

PL29 Nov 2025
Luton Town
1-1
Bolton Wanderers
PL16 Jan 2024
Bolton Wanderers
1-2
Luton Town
PL7 Jan 2024
Luton Town
0-0
Bolton Wanderers
33%
Over 2.5 Goals
67%
Both Team Score

Head-to-Head Detailed

Over 1.5 Goals
67%
2 / 3 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
33%
1 / 3 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
0%
0 / 3 matches
Both Teams to Score
67%
2 / 3 matches
Bolton CS
33%
Clean Sheets
Luton CS
33%
Clean Sheets

Recent Matches

29 Nov 2025
Luton Town
1 - 1
Bolton Wanderers
16 Jan 2024
Bolton Wanderers
1 - 2
Luton Town
7 Jan 2024
Luton Town
0 - 0
Bolton Wanderers

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)
Bolton
1.67
Form (Overall)
Luton
1.58

Bolton is +6% better in terms of Points Per Game

Bradford City
1 - 1
Bolton Wanderers
Bolton Wanderers
3 - 3
Huddersfield Town
Bolton Wanderers
5 - 1
Stevenage
Cardiff City
2 - 0
Bolton Wanderers
Bolton Wanderers
2 - 2
Stockport County
Luton Town
2 - 1
Barnsley
Rotherham United
0 - 2
Luton Town
Mansfield Town
2 - 2
Luton Town
Luton Town
2 - 1
Northampton Town
AFC Wimbledon
0 - 3
Luton Town

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