Bournemouth vs Brentford Prediction & Tips | Premier League | FootballTips.app

Bournemouth

Bournemouth

Home
Full Time
0 - 0
HT: 0 - 0
Tuesday 3 March
Brentford

Brentford

Away
BournemouthTimelineBrentford
1st Half
Ajer K.Out: Henry R.
sync_alt
21'
2nd Half
Jensen M.
60'
Yarmolyuk Y.Out: Henderson J.
sync_alt
62'
Adli A.Out: Rayan
sync_alt
74'
Kroupi E. J.Out: Christie R.
sync_alt
74'
Unal E.Out: Evanilson
sync_alt
80'
Lewis-Potter K.Out: Ouattara Da.
sync_alt
87'
Adams T.
90+5'
Tavernier M.
90+6'

Top stats

1.98Expected goals (xG)0.39
48%Ball possession52%
13Total shots5
2Shots on target2
5Big chances2
4Corner kicks3
78% (311/401)Passes76% (331/436)
2Yellow cards1

Shots

1.98Expected goals (xG)0.39
0.45xG on target (xGOT)0.22
13Total shots5
2Shots on target2
8Shots off target1
3Blocked shots2
9Shots inside the box3
4Shots outside the box2
2Hit the woodwork0

Attack

5Big chances2
4Corner kicks3
27Touches in opposition box15
4Accurate through passes0
2Offsides0
10Free kicks9

Passes

78% (311/401)Passes76% (331/436)
39% (21/54)Long passes43% (33/76)
67% (98/147)Passes in final third58% (61/106)
19% (3/16)Crosses14% (2/14)
1.75Expected assists (xA)0.76
23Throw ins21

Defense

9Fouls10
71% (10/14)Tackles21% (3/14)
57Duels won53
41Clearances31
11Interceptions6
0Errors leading to shot0
0Errors leading to goal0

Goalkeeping

2Goalkeeper saves2
0.22xGOT faced0.45
0.22Goals prevented0.45
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Very High Confidence
12.52
X3.76
22.74

Recommended Bet

Away Win
Stake: High (8/10)
82
Opp. Value

Key Factors

League Rank: Home #10 vs Away #7
Season: Home 1.39 PPG vs Away 1.54 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 1.60 PPG vs Away 1.85 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 1.50 GPG vs Away 1.43 GPG

donut_small Win Probabilities

32%
26%
42%
Bournemouth
Draw
Brentford

Match Preview

Bournemouth will face off against Brentford at Vitality Stadium in the Premier League on March 3, 2026.

The hosts have won 50 percent of their last 6 Premier League matches, while Brentford has lost 8 out of 14 away matches in the league this season.

In head-to-head matchups, Bournemouth has lost 83 percent of their last 6 encounters against Brentford.

When these two teams meet, goals are usually on the menu.

Bournemouth has witnessed Over 2.5 goals in 5 of their last 6 matches against Brentford, and Brentford has scored 2+ goals in 67 percent of their last 6 away games in the Premier League.

With both teams showing a tendency for goals in their recent meetings, this matchup is likely to see Over 2.5 goals.

Bournemouth might have dropped points at home to Sunderland, but they're eight games unbeaten and firmly in the race for European football.

The Cherries have a dreadful recent record against Brentford, losing their last five meetings, including twice this season.

Brentford might have been fortunate to beat Burnley having blown a three-goal lead before netting a last-gasp winner, but they got the job done and closed the gap on sixth-place Chelsea to just two points.

The Bees have already won four games on the road in 2026 and are yet to draw a single match on their travels.

Lineups

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

Bournemouth

Starting 11
-Djordje Petrovic
GK6.59
-Adrien Truffert
DL6.89
-Marcos Senesi
DC7.05
-James Hill
DC6.88
-Álex Jiménez
DR6.67
-Tyler Adams
DMC6.67
-Alex Scott
DMC6.80
-Marcus Tavernier
AML6.79
-Junior Kroupi
AMC6.56
-Rayan
AMR7.12
-Evanilson
FW6.59

Brentford

Starting 11
-Caoimhín Kelleher
GK6.62
-Rico Henry
DL6.27
-Sepp van den Berg
DC6.77
-Kristoffer Ajer
DC6.60
-Michael Kayode
DR6.85
-Yehor Yarmoliuk
DMC6.50
-Mathias Jensen
DMC6.45
-Kevin Schade
AML6.91
-Mikkel Damsgaard
AMC6.77
-Dango Ouattara
AMR6.79
-Igor Thiago
FW7.10
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

compareTeam Comparison

Based on 28 matches
BournemouthvsBrentford

radarTeam Profile

Bournemouth
Brentford
AttackDefensePossessionEfficiencyCreativityDiscipline
sports_soccer
48Attack48
shield
51Defense44
swap_horiz
50Possession43
gps_fixed
69Efficiency86
auto_fix_high
34Creativity47
gavel
41Discipline54

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

44Goals Scored44
46Goals Conceded40
7Clean Sheets6
62Big Chances87
36Big Chances Missed48
3Penalty Goals6

gps_fixedShooting

383Total Shots299
138Shots on Target115

swap_horizPassing & Possession

49.9%Avg Possession47.1%
11,434Total Passes10,959
79.7%Pass Accuracy79.4%

shieldDefending

486Tackles409
272Interceptions255
86Saves75
47.3%Duels Won48.3%

gavelDiscipline

343Fouls298
67Yellow Cards55
1Red Cards1
57Offsides48

analyticsOther

159Corners142
210Successful Dribbles180
3Errors Leading to Goal7
6.77Avg Rating6.79

Statistical Comparison

BournemouthMetricBrentford
44
Goals
43
26
Assists
27
6.5
Average Ratings
6.5
23.7
Average Age
25.1
181.5
Average Height (cm)
183.2
0.9
Shots pg
0.7
45%
Aerial Duel Success
51%
0.6
Dribbles pg
0.5
1.4
Tackles pg
1.1

League Standings Context

For Bournemouth

PosTeamPWDLPts
9Fulham281241240
10Bournemouth28912739
11Brighton28910937

For Brentford

PosTeamPWDLPts
6Chelsea28129745
7Brentford281341143
8Everton281171040

Advanced Stats (Avg per match)

50.2/ 98.2
Dangerous Attacks
44.4/ 88.4
37.0%
Shots on Target
38.0%
14.2
Total Shots
10.8
50.0%
Possession
48.0%

Team Performance (Avg)

1.5
Goals Scored / Match
1.6
1.7
Goals Conceded / Match
1.3

Head-to-Head Summary

0
Bournemouth Wins
0%
1
Draws
17%
5
Brentford Wins
83%
Total H2H Matches: 6

Recent Form Stats

MarketBournemouthBrentford
Over 1.5 Goals
80%24/30
97%29/30
Over 2.5 Goals
57%17/30
50%15/30
Both Teams to Score
67%20/30
53%16/30
* Based on last 30 matches

Past Matches

Last 6: Bournemouth

EPL
Bournemouth
1 - 1
Sunderland
EPL
Bournemouth
1 - 1
Aston Villa
EPL
Bournemouth
3 - 2
Liverpool
EPL
Bournemouth
3 - 2
Tottenham
EPL
Bournemouth
2 - 3
Arsenal
EPL
Bournemouth
1 - 1
Burnley

Home Games: Bournemouth

EPL
Bournemouth
1 - 1
Sunderland
EPL
Bournemouth
1 - 1
Aston Villa
EPL
Bournemouth
3 - 2
Liverpool
EPL
Bournemouth
3 - 2
Tottenham
EPL
Bournemouth
2 - 3
Arsenal
EPL
Bournemouth
1 - 1
Burnley

Last 6: Brentford

EPL
Burnley
3 - 4
Brentford
FA
Macclesfield
0 - 1
Brentford
EPL
Newcastle United
2 - 3
Brentford
EPL
Aston Villa
0 - 1
Brentford
EPL
Chelsea
2 - 0
Brentford
FA
Sheffield Wednesday
0 - 2
Brentford

Away Games: Brentford

EPL
Burnley
3 - 4
Brentford
FA
Macclesfield
0 - 1
Brentford
EPL
Newcastle United
2 - 3
Brentford
EPL
Aston Villa
0 - 1
Brentford
EPL
Chelsea
2 - 0
Brentford
FA
Sheffield Wednesday
0 - 2
Brentford

history Recent Form

BournemouthBournemouth
1.4 GPG
D
D
W
D
W
BrentfordBrentford
1.5 GPG
W
L
D
W
W

group Head to Head

PL27 Dec 2025
Brentford
4-1
AFC Bournemouth
PL26 Aug 2025
AFC Bournemouth
0-2
Brentford
PL15 Mar 2025
AFC Bournemouth
1-2
Brentford
PL9 Nov 2024
Brentford
3-2
AFC Bournemouth
PL11 May 2024
AFC Bournemouth
1-2
Brentford
52%
Over 2.5 Goals
57%
Both Team Score

Head-to-Head Detailed

Over 1.5 Goals
71%
15 / 21 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
52%
11 / 21 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
38%
8 / 21 matches
Both Teams to Score
57%
12 / 21 matches
Bournemouth CS
24%
Clean Sheets
Brentford CS
29%
Clean Sheets

Recent Matches

27 Dec 2025
Brentford
4 - 1
AFC Bournemouth
26 Aug 2025
AFC Bournemouth
0 - 2
Brentford
15 Mar 2025
AFC Bournemouth
1 - 2
Brentford
9 Nov 2024
Brentford
3 - 2
AFC Bournemouth
11 May 2024
AFC Bournemouth
1 - 2
Brentford
2 Sept 2023
Brentford
2 - 2
AFC Bournemouth
14 Jan 2023
Brentford
2 - 0
AFC Bournemouth
1 Oct 2022
AFC Bournemouth
0 - 0
Brentford
22 May 2021
Brentford
3 - 1
AFC Bournemouth
17 May 2021
AFC Bournemouth
1 - 0
Brentford
24 Apr 2021
AFC Bournemouth
0 - 1
Brentford
30 Dec 2020
Brentford
2 - 1
AFC Bournemouth

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)
Bournemouth
1.39
Form (Overall)
Brentford
1.54

Brentford is +11% better in terms of Points Per Game

AFC Bournemouth
1 - 1
Sunderland
West Ham United
0 - 0
AFC Bournemouth
Everton
1 - 2
AFC Bournemouth
AFC Bournemouth
1 - 1
Aston Villa
Wolverhampton Wanderers
0 - 2
AFC Bournemouth
Burnley
3 - 4
Brentford
Brentford
0 - 2
Brighton & Hove Albion
Brentford
1 - 1
Arsenal
Newcastle United
2 - 3
Brentford
Aston Villa
0 - 1
Brentford

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