Bournemouth vs Sturm Graz Prediction & Tips | Europa League - League phase | FootballTips.app

Bournemouth

Bournemouth

Home
Full Time
3 - 0
HT: 1 - 0
Thursday 15 October
Sturm Graz

Sturm Graz

Away
BournemouthTimelineSturm Graz
1st Half
Evanilson
14'
Beganovic B.
41'
EvanilsonAssist: Smith A.
sports_soccer
43'
2nd Half
Diakite B.
58'
Diakite O.Out: Beganovic B.
sync_alt
61'
Hill J.Out: Smith A.
sync_alt
62'
Soler J.
66'
Christie R.Out: Adams T.
sync_alt
69'
RayanOut: Evanilson
sync_alt
70'
Kluivert J.Out: Tavernier M.
sync_alt
70'
Vallci A.Out: Petrovic P.
sync_alt
75'
Halwachs J.Out: Hodl J.
sync_alt
75'
Kayombo A.Out: Seidl S.
sync_alt
75'
Rayan
sports_soccer
76'
Koller P.Out: Balbo L.
sync_alt
83'
Adli A.Out: Gannon-Doak B.
sync_alt
84'
Halwachs J.
85'
Vallci A.
87'
Rodriguez A.(Penalty)
sports_soccer
90+2'
No statistics available for this match
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Low Model Confidence
11.18
X7.33
212.10

Recommended Bet

No tip
No qualifying edge — see Value Comparison below
63
Best near-miss

Key Factors

Season: Home 1.00 PPG vs Away 1.70 PPG
Recent Form: Home 1.00 PPG vs Away 1.70 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 1.75 GPG vs Away 1.80 GPG
Defense (venue): Home 1.00 conc vs Away 1.40 conc

donut_small Win Probabilities

32%
24%
45%
Bournemouth
Draw
Sturm Graz
payments

Value Comparison

OutcomeMarket OddsTrue Odds (AI)Value
Over 2.5 Goals1.331.94-31.5%
Under 2.5 Goals3.202.06+55.2%
AFC Bournemouth Win1.103.14-65.0%
Draw7.504.25+76.6%
Sturm Graz Win11.009.08+21.2%
BTTS - Yes1.871.77+5.5%
BTTS - No1.902.30-17.2%

Fair Odds remove the bookmaker margin. Value is raw EV vs market odds; hover a badge for the edge vs fair odds.

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

Bournemouth

Starting 11
-Djordje Petrovic
GK7.06
-Adrien Truffert
DL7.14
-António Silva
DC7.01
-James Hill
DC6.71
-Adam Smith
DR6.42
-Lewis Cook
DMC
-Tyler Adams
DMC6.55
-Marcus Tavernier
AML6.88
-Rayan
AMC7.52
-David Brooks
AMR6.00
-Evanilson
FW7.02

Sturm Graz

Starting 11
-Daniil Khudyakov
GK7.72
-Paul-Friedrich Koller
DC7.26
-Joshua Quarshie
DC6.66
-Albert Vallci
DC6.44
-Luís Balbo
DML7.39
-Jon Gorenc Stankovic
MC5.98
-Valmir Matoshi
MC6.76
-Luca Weinhandl
MC6.98
-Jürgen Heil
DMR7.41
-Belmin Beganovic
FW6.43
-Oumar Diakité
FW6.14
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

Match Preview

Bournemouth were hammered by Chelsea on their trip to Stamford Bridge on Saturday, losing 5-1 to Xabi Alonso's side. Since beating Real Sociedad 2-1 on the road in their Europa League opener, the Cherries have suffered back-to-back defeats against elite opposition.

Sturm Graz travel to the Vitality Stadium looking to build on a goalless draw against Rennes in their competition opener. Since then, the Austrian side were beaten 3-0 by RB Salzburg and then responded with a 2-0 away victory against Austria Wien.

compareTeam Comparison

Based on 6 / 8 matches
BournemouthvsSturm Graz
1.17Goals / Match1.25
2.17Conceded / Match1.13
0Clean Sheets3
5.00Shots on Target / Match4.63
48.0%Possession %49.3%
80.6%Pass Accuracy %74.8%

radarTeam Profile

Bournemouth
Sturm Graz
AttackDefensePossessionEfficiencyCreativityDiscipline
sports_soccer
40Attack55
shield
33Defense55
swap_horiz
42Possession48
gps_fixed
56Efficiency44
auto_fix_high
38Creativity80
gavel
34Discipline27

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

7Goals Scored10
13Goals Conceded9
0Clean Sheets3
17Big Chances25
14Big Chances Missed17
0Penalty Goals2

gps_fixedShooting

77Total Shots126
30Shots on Target37

swap_horizPassing & Possession

48.0%Avg Possession49.3%
2,484Total Passes2,843
80.6%Pass Accuracy74.8%

shieldDefending

98Tackles114
70Interceptions64
12Saves20
48.7%Duels Won45.9%

gavelDiscipline

75Fouls96
18Yellow Cards18
0Red Cards2
9Offsides25

analyticsOther

28Corners61
30Successful Dribbles97
2Errors Leading to Goal1
6.90Avg Rating7.21

Statistical Comparison

BournemouthMetricSturm Graz
2
Goals
0
2
Assists
0
6.7
Average Ratings
6.7
26.5
Average Age
23.8
181.1
Average Height (cm)
186.5
1.4
Shots pg
1.6
40%
Aerial Duel Success
47%
1.5
Dribbles pg
1
2
Tackles pg
2.6

history Recent Form

BournemouthBournemouth
1.0 GPG
Sturm GrazSturm Graz
1.7 GPG

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)
Bournemouth
1.00
Form (Overall)
Sturm Graz
1.70

Sturm Graz is +70% better in terms of Points Per Game

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