Bournemouth vs Sunderland Prediction & Tips | Premier League | FootballTips.app

Bournemouth

Bournemouth

Home
Full Time
1 - 1
HT: 0 - 1
Saturday 28 February
Sunderland

Sunderland

Away
BournemouthTimelineSunderland
1st Half
Mayenda E.
sports_soccer
18'
Sadiki N.
33'
2nd Half
EvanilsonOut: Brooks D.
sync_alt
46'
Adams T.
58'
Christie R.Out: Adams T.
sync_alt
62'
Evanilson (Tavernier M.)
sports_soccer
64'
Traore B.Out: Talbi C.
sync_alt
69'
Roefs R.
74'
Angulo N.Out: Xhaka G.
sync_alt
76'
Unal E.Out: Kroupi E. J.
sync_alt
81'
Adli A.Out: Tavernier M.
sync_alt
81'
Toth A.Out: Evanilson
sync_alt
85'
Toth A.
87'
Christie R.
90'
Scott A.
90+5'
Isidor W.Out: Mayenda E.
sync_alt
90+6'

Top stats

1.50Expected goals (xG)1.43
62%Ball possession38%
21Total shots8
5Shots on target4
2Big chances1
7Corner kicks3
78% (350/451)Passes68% (189/280)
4Yellow cards2

Shots

1.50Expected goals (xG)1.43
1.29xG on target (xGOT)1.27
21Total shots8
5Shots on target4
10Shots off target2
6Blocked shots2
10Shots inside the box6
11Shots outside the box2
0Hit the woodwork0
1Headed goals0

Attack

2Big chances1
7Corner kicks3
28Touches in opposition box14
0Accurate through passes1
1Offsides2
12Free kicks15

Passes

78% (350/451)Passes68% (189/280)
42% (28/66)Long passes36% (19/53)
71% (113/159)Passes in final third48% (41/85)
15% (4/26)Crosses8% (1/13)
0.94Expected assists (xA)0.21
18Throw ins24

Defense

15Fouls12
63% (10/16)Tackles58% (15/26)
65Duels won61
26Clearances42
14Interceptions7
1Errors leading to shot3
0Errors leading to goal1

Goalkeeping

3Goalkeeper saves4
1.27xGOT faced1.29
0.27Goals prevented0.29
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Very High Confidence
11.79
X3.94
24.60

Recommended Bet

Home Win
Stake: High (9/10)
87
Opp. Value

Key Factors

League Rank: Home #8 vs Away #12
Season: Home 1.41 PPG vs Away 1.33 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 2.00 PPG vs Away 0.45 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 1.54 GPG vs Away 0.46 GPG

donut_small Win Probabilities

78%
10%
12%
Bournemouth
Draw
Sunderland

Match Preview

Bournemouth is set to take on Sunderland in a Premier League showdown at Vitality Stadium on February 28, 2026 GMT.

The hosts, Bournemouth, currently occupy the 8th position in the standings with 38 points, while Sunderland sits 12th with 36 points.

In their recent statistical records, Bournemouth has recorded 3 draws in their last 6 home matches, whereas Sunderland has faced a 54% away loss rate in the Premier League this season.

Both teams will be looking to secure a crucial victory to improve their league positions.

Our algorithm predicts Bournemouth to win with a probability of 48%.

Bournemouth might have missed the chance of climbing up to seventh, which could be worth a European spot, against West Ham last Saturday, but the goalless draw at least extended their unbeaten run to seven games.

The Cherries are bang in form at home, beating Tottenham and Liverpool and drawing with Aston Villa in their last three.

Sunderland's season is in danger of unravelling after they suffered a third defeat on the bounce against Fulham and a fifth in their last seven games.

The Black Cats have collected just three of the last 24 points available on their travels since beating Chelsea way back in October.

Lineups

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

Bournemouth

Starting 11
-Djordje Petrovic
GK6.57
-Adrien Truffert
DL6.89
-Marcos Senesi
DC7.05
-James Hill
DC6.87
-Álex Jiménez
DR6.67
-Tyler Adams
DMC6.70
-Alex Scott
DMC6.78
-Amine Adli
AML6.54
-Junior Kroupi
AMC6.57
-Rayan
AMR7.20
-Evanilson
FW6.57

Sunderland

Starting 11
-Robin Roefs
GK6.76
-Trai Hume
DL6.63
-Dan Ballard
DC6.98
-Omar Alderete
DC6.92
-Nordi Mukiele
DR7.01
-Granit Xhaka
DMC7.06
-Nilson Angulo
ML6.07
-Enzo Le Fée
MC6.66
-Noah Sadiki
MC6.58
-Romaine Mundle
MR6.10
-Brian Brobbey
FW6.43
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

compareTeam Comparison

Based on 27 matches
BournemouthvsSunderland

radarTeam Profile

Bournemouth
Sunderland
AttackDefensePossessionEfficiencyCreativityDiscipline
sports_soccer
48Attack22
shield
51Defense52
swap_horiz
49Possession37
gps_fixed
72Efficiency57
auto_fix_high
34Creativity20
gavel
43Discipline54

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

43Goals Scored28
45Goals Conceded33
7Clean Sheets8
60Big Chances46
35Big Chances Missed33
3Penalty Goals3

gps_fixedShooting

362Total Shots264
133Shots on Target86

swap_horizPassing & Possession

49.4%Avg Possession44.3%
10,970Total Passes10,186
79.8%Pass Accuracy79.5%

shieldDefending

470Tackles419
258Interceptions220
83Saves81
47.1%Duels Won50.7%

gavelDiscipline

328Fouls265
63Yellow Cards53
1Red Cards2
56Offsides37

analyticsOther

152Corners94
198Successful Dribbles147
3Errors Leading to Goal5
6.78Avg Rating6.79

Statistical Comparison

BournemouthMetricSunderland
43
Goals
25
25
Assists
18
6.5
Average Ratings
6.5
23.6
Average Age
25.2
181.1
Average Height (cm)
182.5
0.9
Shots pg
0.7
45%
Aerial Duel Success
50%
0.5
Dribbles pg
0.4
1.4
Tackles pg
1.2

League Standings Context

For Bournemouth

PosTeamPWDLPts
7Brentford271241140
8Bournemouth27911738
9Everton271071037

For Sunderland

PosTeamPWDLPts
11Newcastle United271061136
12Sunderland2799936
13Crystal Palace27981035

Advanced Stats (Avg per match)

49.7/ 97.3
Dangerous Attacks
44.4/ 92.3
38.0%
Shots on Target
33.0%
13.9
Total Shots
10.5
50.0%
Possession
46.0%

Team Performance (Avg)

1.6
Goals Scored / Match
1.0
1.7
Goals Conceded / Match
1.2

Head-to-Head Summary

2
Bournemouth Wins
40%
1
Draws
20%
2
Sunderland Wins
40%
Total H2H Matches: 5

Recent Form Stats

MarketBournemouthSunderland
Over 1.5 Goals
79%23/29
76%22/29
Over 2.5 Goals
59%17/29
41%12/29
Both Teams to Score
66%19/29
48%14/29
* Based on last 29 matches

Past Matches

Last 6: Bournemouth

EPL
Bournemouth
1 - 1
Aston Villa
EPL
Bournemouth
3 - 2
Liverpool
EPL
Bournemouth
3 - 2
Tottenham
EPL
Bournemouth
2 - 3
Arsenal
EPL
Bournemouth
1 - 1
Burnley
EPL
Bournemouth
0 - 0
Chelsea

Home Games: Bournemouth

EPL
Bournemouth
1 - 1
Aston Villa
EPL
Bournemouth
3 - 2
Liverpool
EPL
Bournemouth
3 - 2
Tottenham
EPL
Bournemouth
2 - 3
Arsenal
EPL
Bournemouth
1 - 1
Burnley
EPL
Bournemouth
0 - 0
Chelsea

Last 6: Sunderland

FA
Oxford United
0 - 1
Sunderland
EPL
Arsenal
3 - 0
Sunderland
EPL
West Ham
3 - 1
Sunderland
FA
Everton
1 - 1
Sunderland
EPL
Brentford
3 - 0
Sunderland
EPL
Tottenham
1 - 1
Sunderland

Away Games: Sunderland

FA
Oxford United
0 - 1
Sunderland
EPL
Arsenal
3 - 0
Sunderland
EPL
West Ham
3 - 1
Sunderland
FA
Everton
1 - 1
Sunderland
EPL
Brentford
3 - 0
Sunderland
EPL
Tottenham
1 - 1
Sunderland

history Recent Form

BournemouthBournemouth
1.4 GPG
D
W
D
W
W
SunderlandSunderland
1.3 GPG
L
L
L
W
L

group Head to Head

PL29 Nov 2025
Sunderland
3-2
AFC Bournemouth
PL29 Apr 2017
Sunderland
0-1
AFC Bournemouth
PL5 Nov 2016
AFC Bournemouth
1-2
Sunderland
PL23 Jan 2016
Sunderland
1-1
AFC Bournemouth
PL19 Sept 2015
AFC Bournemouth
2-0
Sunderland
40%
Over 2.5 Goals
60%
Both Team Score

Head-to-Head Detailed

Over 1.5 Goals
80%
4 / 5 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
40%
2 / 5 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
20%
1 / 5 matches
Both Teams to Score
60%
3 / 5 matches
Bournemouth CS
40%
Clean Sheets
Sunderland CS
0%
Clean Sheets

Recent Matches

29 Nov 2025
Sunderland
3 - 2
AFC Bournemouth
29 Apr 2017
Sunderland
0 - 1
AFC Bournemouth
5 Nov 2016
AFC Bournemouth
1 - 2
Sunderland
23 Jan 2016
Sunderland
1 - 1
AFC Bournemouth
19 Sept 2015
AFC Bournemouth
2 - 0
Sunderland

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)
Bournemouth
1.41
Form (Overall)
Sunderland
1.33

Bournemouth is +6% better in terms of Points Per Game

West Ham United
0 - 0
AFC Bournemouth
Everton
1 - 2
AFC Bournemouth
AFC Bournemouth
1 - 1
Aston Villa
Wolverhampton Wanderers
0 - 2
AFC Bournemouth
AFC Bournemouth
3 - 2
Liverpool
Sunderland
1 - 3
Fulham
Sunderland
0 - 1
Liverpool
Arsenal
3 - 0
Sunderland
Sunderland
3 - 0
Burnley
West Ham United
3 - 1
Sunderland

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