Bragantino vs Bahia Prediction & Tips | Serie A Betano | FootballTips.app

Bragantino
HomeFull Time
2 - 3
HT: 2 - 2
Saturday 5 September

Bahia
AwayBragantinoTimelineBahia
1st Half
Lucas Barbosa (Wallace Yan)
sports_soccer
14'
Luciano Juba(Penalty)
sports_soccer
34'
Veliz A. (Rodrigo)
sports_soccer
38'
Fernando Santos
43'
Ramos S.
sports_soccer
45+1'
2nd Half
ErickAssist: Rodrigo
sports_soccer
50'
Erick
51'
Luciano Juba
62'
AdemirOut: Erick Pulga
sync_alt
68'
Mosquera H.Out: Herrera J.
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68'
Jean LucasOut: Erick
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68'
Michel AraujoOut: Rodrigo
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78'
Caio AlexandreOut: Nicolas Acevedo
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78'
Willian JoseOut: Veliz A.
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82'
Tavares R.Out: Hurtado A.
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82'
JhuanOut: Lucas Barbosa
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82'
VinicinhoOut: Wallace Yan
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82'
Gustavo NevesOut: Rodriguinho
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90+4'
Alix Vinicius
90+12'
Top stats
1.65Expected goals (xG)2.36
51%Ball possession49%
24Total shots11
10Shots on target5
3Big chances6
10Corner kicks8
83% (326/392)Passes82% (315/383)
2Yellow cards2
Shots
1.65Expected goals (xG)2.36
2.11xG on target (xGOT)3.14
24Total shots11
10Shots on target5
8Shots off target5
6Blocked shots1
12Shots inside the box10
12Shots outside the box1
1Hit the woodwork0
0Headed goals2
Attack
3Big chances6
10Corner kicks8
35Touches in opposition box19
1Accurate through passes0
1Offsides0
17Free kicks11
Passes
83% (326/392)Passes82% (315/383)
70% (30/43)Long passes36% (20/55)
76% (136/178)Passes in final third65% (58/89)
21% (7/33)Crosses36% (9/25)
1.73Expected assists (xA)0.97
28Throw ins21
Defense
11Fouls17
72% (13/18)Tackles57% (8/14)
65Duels won51
21Clearances48
8Interceptions2
1Errors leading to shot1
0Errors leading to goal0
Goalkeeping
2Goalkeeper saves9
3.14xGOT faced2.11
0.14Goals prevented1.11
7Goal kicks11
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Low Confidence
11.87
X3.75
23.81
Recommended Bet
check_circle
Away Win
Odds: 3.81Stake: Medium (5/10)
53
Opp. Value
Key Factors
League Rank: Home #9 vs Away #5
Season: Home 1.46 PPG vs Away 1.60 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 1.45 PPG vs Away 1.50 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 1.42 GPG vs Away 1.42 GPG
donut_small Win Probabilities
40%
Bragantino Win
25%
Draw
34%
Bahia Win
Bragantino
Draw
Bahia
payments
Value Comparison
| Outcome | Market Odds | True Odds (AI) | Fair Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 Goals | 1.85 | 1.79 | — | +3.2% |
| Bragantino Win | 1.87 | 2.48 | 1.99 | -24.7% |
| Draw | 3.75 | 3.95 | 3.99 | -5.2% |
| Bahia Win | 3.81 | 2.90 | 4.05 | +31.3% |
| BTTS - Yes | 1.67 | 1.83 | — | -8.6% |
Fair Odds remove the bookmaker margin. Value is raw EV vs market odds; hover a badge for the edge vs fair odds.
compareTeam Comparison
Based on 24 / 25 matchesBragantinovsBahia
1.21Goals / Match1.48
1.04Conceded / Match1.20
8Clean Sheets8
4.71Shots on Target / Match4.92
50.5%Possession %54.6%
81.2%Pass Accuracy %85.9%
radarTeam Profile
Bragantino
Bahia
sports_soccer
46Attack47
shield
57Defense60
swap_horiz
57Possession68
gps_fixed
42Efficiency60
auto_fix_high
62Creativity52
gavel
14Discipline30
sports_soccerGoals & Scoring
29Goals Scored37
25Goals Conceded30
8Clean Sheets8
55Big Chances54
40Big Chances Missed33
2Penalty Goals5
gps_fixedShooting
382Total Shots367
113Shots on Target123
swap_horizPassing & Possession
50.5%Avg Possession54.6%
9,010Total Passes11,087
81.2%Pass Accuracy85.9%
shieldDefending
369Tackles391
202Interceptions241
67Saves87
51.9%Duels Won51.3%
gavelDiscipline
350Fouls345
70Yellow Cards58
4Red Cards3
48Offsides40
analyticsOther
135Corners140
225Successful Dribbles217
4Errors Leading to Goal1
6.84Avg Rating6.87
history Recent Form
W
L
L
W
D
W
D
D
D
L
group Head to Head
PL18 Mar 2026
2-0
PL2 Nov 2025
2-1
PL12 Jun 2025
0-3
PL1 Sept 2024
2-1
PL12 May 2024
1-0
67%
Over 2.5 Goals
53%
Both Team Score
Head-to-Head Detailed
Over 1.5 Goals
87%
13 / 15 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
67%
10 / 15 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
33%
5 / 15 matches
Both Teams to Score
53%
8 / 15 matches
Bragantino CS
20%
Clean Sheets
Bahia CS
27%
Clean Sheets
Recent Matches
18 Mar 2026
Bahia
2 - 0
Bragantino
2 Nov 2025
Bahia
2 - 1
Bragantino
12 Jun 2025
Bragantino
0 - 3
Bahia
1 Sept 2024
Bragantino
2 - 1
Bahia
12 May 2024
Bahia
1 - 0
Bragantino
20 Aug 2023
Bahia
4 - 0
Bragantino
15 Apr 2023
Bragantino
2 - 1
Bahia
19 Sept 2021
Bahia
1 - 1
Bragantino
6 Jun 2021
Bragantino
3 - 3
Bahia
20 Nov 2020
Bragantino
4 - 0
Bahia
16 Aug 2020
Bahia
2 - 1
Bragantino
19 Nov 2016
Bahia
3 - 2
Bragantino
Current Form Comparison
Form (Overall)
1.67
Form (Overall)
1.58
Bragantino is +6% better in terms of Points Per Game
Bragantino
1 - 0
Grêmio
Bragantino
0 - 1
Atlético Mineiro
Bragantino
0 - 2
Corinthians
Bragantino
1 - 0
Sporting Cristal
Bragantino
0 - 0
Coritiba
Vitória
0 - 2
Bahia
Chapecoense
3 - 3
Bahia
Fluminense
0 - 0
Bahia
Atlético Mineiro
1 - 1
Bahia
Coritiba
3 - 2
Bahia
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