Brazil vs Japan Prediction & Tips | World Championship - Play Offs

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Brazil

Home

Full Time

2 - 1

HT: 0 - 1

Monday 29 June

Japan

Away

BrazilTimelineJapan

1st Half

Sano K.

12'

Casemiro

14'

Sano K.

sports_soccer

29'

Kamada D.

45'

2nd Half

EndrickOut: Lucas Paqueta

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46'

Danilo

48'

Casemiro (Gabriel)

sports_soccer

56'

Martinelli G.Out: Cunha M.

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66'

Sugawara Y.Out: Doan R.

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66'

Suzuki J.Out: Nakamura K.

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66'

Tanaka A.Out: Kamada D.

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78'

Machino S.Out: Ito J.

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78'

Suzuki J.

84'

FabinhoOut: Casemiro

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90+3'

Martinelli G.Assist: Bruno Guimaraes

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90+5'

Ogawa K.Out: Maeda D.

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90+7'

Danilo SantosOut: Bruno Guimaraes

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90+8'

Top stats

1.72Expected goals (xG)0.23

69%Ball possession31%

19Total shots5

7Shots on target2

4Big chances0

6Corner kicks2

92% (625/682)Passes83% (261/315)

2Yellow cards3

Shots

1.72Expected goals (xG)0.23

1.70xG on target (xGOT)0.46

19Total shots5

7Shots on target2

6Shots off target1

6Blocked shots2

12Shots inside the box2

7Shots outside the box3

1Hit the woodwork0

1Headed goals0

Attack

4Big chances0

6Corner kicks2

35Touches in opposition box11

0Accurate through passes0

1Offsides0

13Free kicks4

Passes

92% (625/682)Passes83% (261/315)

47% (21/45)Long passes53% (24/45)

87% (210/242)Passes in final third69% (55/80)

23% (9/40)Crosses20% (2/10)

2.00Expected assists (xA)0.23

21Throw ins16

Defense

4Fouls13

67% (8/12)Tackles40% (4/10)

39Duels won32

18Clearances45

9Interceptions4

0Errors leading to shot0

1Errors leading to goal1

Goalkeeping

1Goalkeeper saves4

0.46xGOT faced1.70

-0.54Goals prevented-0.30

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AI Prediction

verified Very High Confidence

11.71

X3.80

25.46

Recommended Bet

Home Win

Stake: Medium (7/10)

Opp. Value

Key Factors

Season: Home 2.00 PPG vs Away 2.40 PPG

Recent Form (weighted): Home 2.60 PPG vs Away 2.00 PPG

Goals (venue): Home 2.38 GPG vs Away 2.00 GPG

Defense (venue): Home 1.00 conc vs Away 0.50 conc

donut_small Win Probabilities

57%

22%

21%

Brazil

Draw

Japan

Match Preview

Brazil almost cruised through the group stages without breaking sweat, easing to top spot with routine wins over Haiti and Scotland getting the job done.

The five-time winners have a phenomenal record against Japan, winning 11 of their 14 meetings, but did lose their last - a 3-2 friendly defeat in October.

Japan have reached the last-16 at four of the previous seven World Cups but will have their work cut out if they want to improve on that record.

They should take heart from beating Brazil just eight months ago and come into the game on a 10-match unbeaten run.

Lineups

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

Brazil

Starting 11

-Alisson Becker

GK7.41

-Douglas Santos

DL6.79

-Marquinhos

DC6.99

-Gabriel Magalhães

DC7.13

-Danilo

DR6.73

-Casemiro

MC7.14

-Bruno Guimarães

MC7.31

-Lucas Paquetá

MC7.46

-Rayan

FWL7.22

-Matheus Cunha

FW7.75

-Vinícius Júnior

FWR8.29

Japan

Starting 11

-Zion Suzuki

GK6.72

-Hiroki Ito

DC6.76

-Ko Itakura

DC7.86

-Ayumu Seko

DC6.40

-Keito Nakamura

DML7.70

-Daichi Kamada

MC7.55

-Ao Tanaka

MC7.33

-Yukinari Sugawara

DMR6.38

-Daizen Maeda

FWL6.06

-Ritsu Doan

FW6.42

-Ayase Ueda

FWR8.11

Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

Statistical Comparison

BrazilMetricJapan

Goals

Assists

6.8

Average Ratings

6.7

29.1

Average Age

26.8

183.5

Average Height (cm)

181.6

1.2

Shots pg

1.2

68%

Aerial Duel Success

46%

0.9

Dribbles pg

1.7

Tackles pg

1.6

history Recent Form

Brazil

2.0 GPG

Japan

2.4 GPG

group Head to Head

PL14 Oct 2025

3-2

PL6 Jun 2022

0-1

PL10 Nov 2017

1-3

PL22 Jun 2006

1-4

75%

Over 2.5 Goals

75%

Both Team Score

Head-to-Head Detailed

Over 1.5 Goals

75%

3 / 4 matches

Over 2.5 Goals

75%

3 / 4 matches

Over 3.5 Goals

75%

3 / 4 matches

Both Teams to Score

75%

3 / 4 matches

Brazil CS

25%

Clean Sheets

Japan CS

Clean Sheets

Recent Matches

14 Oct 2025

Japan

3 - 2

Brazil

6 Jun 2022

Japan

0 - 1

Brazil

10 Nov 2017

Japan

1 - 3

Brazil

22 Jun 2006

Japan

1 - 4

Brazil

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)

2.00

Form (Overall)

2.40

Japan is +20% better in terms of Points Per Game

Scotland

0 - 3

Brazil

3 - 0

Haiti

Brazil

1 - 1

Morocco

Brazil

2 - 1

Egypt

Brazil

6 - 2

Panama

Japan

1 - 1

Sweden

Tunisia

0 - 4

Japan

Netherlands

2 - 2

Japan

1 - 0

Iceland

England

0 - 1

Japan

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AI Prediction

verified Very High Confidence

11.71

X3.80

25.46