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Brentford vs Chelsea Prediction & Tips | Premier League | FootballTips.app

Brentford

Brentford

Home
Full Time
3 - 0
HT: 0 - 0
Friday 18 September
Chelsea

Chelsea

Away
BrentfordTimelineChelsea
2nd Half
Anthony J.Assist: Schuster J.
sports_soccer
61'
Hickey A.Out: Kayode M.
sync_alt
69'
Sangare M.Out: Yarmolyuk Y.
sync_alt
69'
Quenda G.Out: Welbeck D.
sync_alt
71'
Acheampong J.Out: Fofana W.
sync_alt
71'
Ouattara Da.Out: Anthony J.
sync_alt
81'
Diouf M.Out: Lewis-Potter K.
sync_alt
81'
Thiago I.
sports_soccer
83'
Thiago I.
84'
Sangare M.
85'
Nicoll-Jazuli M.Out: Barco V.
sync_alt
87'
EstêvãoOut: Neto P.
sync_alt
87'
Carvalho F.Out: Damsgaard M.
sync_alt
87'
Carvalho F.
sports_soccer
90+4'
No statistics available for this match
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified High Model Confidence
12.75
X3.88
22.35

Recommended Bet

No tip
No qualifying edge — see Value Comparison below
55
Best near-miss

Key Factors

League Rank: Home #7 vs Away #6
Season: Home 2.20 PPG vs Away 2.00 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 1.33 PPG vs Away 1.50 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 3.67 GPG vs Away 2.33 GPG

donut_small Win Probabilities

43%
25%
32%
Brentford
Draw
Chelsea
payments

Value Comparison

OutcomeMarket OddsTrue Odds (AI)Value
Over 2.5 Goals1.431.69-15.6%
Under 2.5 Goals2.622.44+7.4%
Brentford Win2.712.35+15.4%
Draw3.823.94-3.0%
Chelsea Win2.283.12-26.9%
BTTS - Yes1.391.78-21.8%
BTTS - No2.802.29+22.5%

Fair Odds remove the bookmaker margin. Value is raw EV vs market odds; hover a badge for the edge vs fair odds.

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

Brentford

Starting 11
-Caoimhín Kelleher
GK7.01
-Keane Lewis-Potter
DL6.82
-Jannik Schuster
DC6.88
-Kristoffer Ajer
DC7.02
-Michael Kayode
DR6.82
-Vitaly Janelt
DMC7.71
-Mamadou Sangaré
DMC7.16
-Kevin Schade
AML7.45
-Mikkel Damsgaard
AMC6.50
-Dango Ouattara
AMR6.65
-Igor Thiago
FW6.58

Chelsea

Starting 11
-Robert Sánchez
GK5.92
-Levi Colwill
DC6.37
-Maxence Lacroix
DC6.87
-Wesley Fofana
DC6.83
-Jorrel Hato
DML6.56
-Moisés Caicedo
MC6.10
-Roméo Lavia
MC6.68
-Pedro Neto
DMR7.02
-Morgan Rogers
FWL7.57
-João Pedro
FW7.64
-Cole Palmer
FWR7.44
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

Match Preview

Brentford's flying start to the season has hit the buffers in recent weeks after three consecutive draws since beating Tottenham on the opening day.

The Bees have not beaten Chelsea in any of their five home Premier League meetings, although the last four have ended in draws.

Chelsea continue to score goals on a regular basis under Xabi Alonso, but their leaky defence shipped another two in the draw against Hull, leaving them already five points behind leaders Arsenal.

Their only Premier League victory away from home since beating Aston Villa way back in March also came in West London, at Fulham on the opening day of the season.

compareTeam Comparison

Based on 38 matches
BrentfordvsChelsea
1.45Goals / Match1.53
1.37Conceded / Match1.37
10Clean Sheets9
3.87Shots on Target / Match4.37
47.6%Possession %57.7%
79.2%Pass Accuracy %87.2%

radarTeam Profile

Brentford
Chelsea
AttackDefensePossessionEfficiencyCreativityDiscipline
sports_soccer
44Attack51
shield
47Defense50
swap_horiz
43Possession71
gps_fixed
77Efficiency66
auto_fix_high
43Creativity45
gavel
58Discipline30

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

55Goals Scored58
52Goals Conceded52
10Clean Sheets9
114Big Chances102
69Big Chances Missed57
8Penalty Goals7

gps_fixedShooting

405Total Shots509
147Shots on Target166

swap_horizPassing & Possession

47.6%Avg Possession57.7%
15,024Total Passes20,535
79.2%Pass Accuracy87.2%

shieldDefending

554Tackles592
331Interceptions371
111Saves106
48.3%Duels Won50.9%

gavelDiscipline

390Fouls420
69Yellow Cards94
1Red Cards8
58Offsides58

analyticsOther

182Corners226
246Successful Dribbles273
10Errors Leading to Goal9
6.81Avg Rating6.85

Statistical Comparison

BrentfordMetricChelsea
7
Goals
10
3
Assists
9
6.8
Average Ratings
6.6
24.8
Average Age
24.2
183.6
Average Height (cm)
184.7
1.2
Shots pg
1.3
52%
Aerial Duel Success
52%
0.8
Dribbles pg
1
1.4
Tackles pg
1.3

history Recent Form

BrentfordBrentford
2.2 GPG
D
D
D
W
ChelseaChelsea
2.0 GPG
D
L
W
W

group Head to Head

PL17 Jan 2026
Chelsea
2-0
Brentford
PL13 Sept 2025
Brentford
2-2
Chelsea
PL6 Apr 2025
Brentford
0-0
Chelsea
PL15 Dec 2024
Chelsea
2-1
Brentford
PL2 Mar 2024
Brentford
2-2
Chelsea
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
36%
Both Team Score

Head-to-Head Detailed

Over 1.5 Goals
79%
11 / 14 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
50%
7 / 14 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
43%
6 / 14 matches
Both Teams to Score
36%
5 / 14 matches
Brentford CS
29%
Clean Sheets
Chelsea CS
50%
Clean Sheets

Recent Matches

17 Jan 2026
Chelsea
2 - 0
Brentford
13 Sept 2025
Brentford
2 - 2
Chelsea
6 Apr 2025
Brentford
0 - 0
Chelsea
15 Dec 2024
Chelsea
2 - 1
Brentford
2 Mar 2024
Brentford
2 - 2
Chelsea
28 Oct 2023
Chelsea
0 - 2
Brentford
26 Apr 2023
Chelsea
0 - 2
Brentford
19 Oct 2022
Brentford
0 - 0
Chelsea
2 Apr 2022
Chelsea
1 - 4
Brentford
22 Dec 2021
Brentford
0 - 2
Chelsea
16 Oct 2021
Brentford
0 - 1
Chelsea
28 Jan 2017
Chelsea
4 - 0
Brentford

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)
Brentford
2.20
Form (Overall)
Chelsea
2.00

Brentford is +10% better in terms of Points Per Game

AFC Bournemouth
2 - 2
Brentford
Brentford
1 - 1
Sunderland
Leeds United
1 - 1
Brentford
Brentford
3 - 0
Tottenham Hotspur
Chelsea
2 - 2
Hull City
Arsenal
2 - 1
Chelsea
Chelsea
4 - 3
Brighton & Hove Albion
Fulham
2 - 3
Chelsea

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