Brescia vs Desenzano Prediction & Tips | Serie C - Group A | FootballTips.app

Brescia

Brescia

Home
Full Time
1 - 0
HT: 1 - 0
Sunday 6 September
Desenzano

Desenzano

Away
BresciaTimelineDesenzano
1st Half
De Maria V. ()
sports_soccer
15'
Milani L.
27'
Berardi A.
27'
2nd Half
Armati L.Out: Rizzo A.
sync_alt
46'
Marras M.Out: Zennaro M.
sync_alt
63'
Balestrero D.Out: Casasola T.
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63'
Frigerio M. R.Out: Lamesta A.
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67'
Baldi L.Out: Moscati M.
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71'
Panelli T.
74'
Procaccio A.Out: Millico V.
sync_alt
77'
Boiga N.Out: Biondi K.
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77'
Pellegrini J.Out: Crespi V.
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84'
Ubaldi L.Out: Milani L.
sync_alt
90'
Giorgi L.Out: Santini C.
sync_alt
90'

Top stats

1.15Expected goals (xG)0.27
56%Ball possession44%
13Total shots6
7Shots on target0
3Big chances1
2Corner kicks2
86% (404/472)Passes83% (290/351)
1Yellow cards2

Shots

1.15Expected goals (xG)0.27
1.31xG on target (xGOT)0.00
13Total shots6
7Shots on target0
3Shots off target5
3Blocked shots1
8Shots inside the box5
5Shots outside the box1
0Hit the woodwork0

Attack

3Big chances1
2Corner kicks2
17Touches in opposition box10
0Accurate through passes0
3Offsides1
19Free kicks14

Passes

86% (404/472)Passes83% (290/351)
43% (20/46)Long passes56% (24/43)
72% (87/121)Passes in final third72% (55/76)
25% (4/16)Crosses27% (6/22)
0.46Expected assists (xA)0.34
17Throw ins32

Defense

14Fouls19
73% (19/26)Tackles69% (9/13)
54Duels won44
19Clearances18
7Interceptions10
0Errors leading to shot1
0Errors leading to goal0

Goalkeeping

0Goalkeeper saves6
0.00xGOT faced1.31
0.00Goals prevented0.31
5Goal kicks6
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Very High Confidence
11.45
X3.64
26.51

Recommended Bet

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Away Win
Odds: 5.50Stake: Medium (6/10)
62
Opp. Value

Key Factors

Season: Home 1.80 PPG vs Away 1.40 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 3.00 PPG vs Away 1.00 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 2.20 GPG vs Away 1.50 GPG
Defense (venue): Home 0.80 conc vs Away 0.33 conc

donut_small Win Probabilities

54%
24%
22%
Brescia
Draw
Desenzano
payments

Value Comparison

OutcomeMarket OddsTrue Odds (AI)Value
Over 2.5 Goals2.231.91+16.7%
Union Brescia Win1.551.85-16.4%
Draw3.504.18-16.4%
Desenzano Calvina Win5.504.51+21.9%
BTTS - Yes2.152.03+5.8%

Fair Odds remove the bookmaker margin. Value is raw EV vs market odds; hover a badge for the edge vs fair odds.

compareTeam Comparison

Based on 38 / 2 matches
BresciavsDesenzano
1.11Goals / Match0.50
1.26Conceded / Match0.50
11Clean Sheets1

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

42Goals Scored1
48Goals Conceded1
11Clean Sheets1
2Penalty Goals0

gavelDiscipline

92Yellow Cards2
3Red Cards0

history Recent Form

BresciaBrescia
1.8 GPG
W
W
DesenzanoDesenzano
1.4 GPG
D
D

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)
Brescia
1.80
Form (Overall)
Desenzano
1.40

Brescia is +29% better in terms of Points Per Game

Pergolettese
0 - 1
Union Brescia
Union Brescia
3 - 1
Athletic Carpi
Desenzano Calvina
0 - 0
Trento
Pro Vercelli
1 - 1
Desenzano Calvina

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