Brest vs Lorient Prediction & Tips | Ligue 1 | FootballTips.app

Brest

Brest

Home
Full Time
2 - 0
HT: 0 - 0
Saturday 7 February
Lorient

Lorient

Away
BrestTimelineLorient
1st Half
Magnetti H.
33'
2nd Half
Labeau Lascary R. ()
sports_soccer
50'
Soumano S.Out: Dieng B.
sync_alt
63'
Tosin A.Out: Makengo J.
sync_alt
63'
Yongwa D.Out: Kouassi A.
sync_alt
64'
Karim D.Out: Pagis P.
sync_alt
73'
Dina Ebimbe J.Out: Labeau Lascary R.
sync_alt
74'
Ajorque L.
sports_soccer
77'
Ajorque L.
80'
Bamba M.Out: Avom A.
sync_alt
80'
Tousart L.Out: Doumbia K.
sync_alt
83'
Mboup P.Out: Del Castillo R.
sync_alt
90+2'

Top stats

1.71Expected goals (xG)0.77
42%Ball possession58%
11Total shots13
5Shots on target2
2Big chances1
7Corner kicks7
77% (283/366)Passes87% (443/511)
2Yellow cards0

Shots

1.71Expected goals (xG)0.77
1.64xG on target (xGOT)0.07
11Total shots13
5Shots on target2
3Shots off target7
3Blocked shots4
6Shots inside the box4
5Shots outside the box9
0Hit the woodwork0

Attack

2Big chances1
7Corner kicks7
23Touches in opposition box18
0Accurate through passes1
2Offsides1
10Free kicks11

Passes

77% (283/366)Passes87% (443/511)
45% (30/67)Long passes69% (45/65)
55% (57/104)Passes in final third79% (107/136)
9% (2/22)Crosses10% (2/20)
0.99Expected assists (xA)0.70
13Throw ins13

Defense

11Fouls10
40% (8/20)Tackles58% (7/12)
51Duels won55
35Clearances29
10Interceptions12
0Errors leading to shot1
0Errors leading to goal2

Goalkeeping

2Goalkeeper saves2
0.07xGOT faced1.64
0.07Goals prevented-0.36
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified High Confidence
12.38
X3.22
23.37

Recommended Bet

Draw
Stake: Medium (6/10)
62
Opp. Value

Key Factors

League Rank: Home #12 vs Away #9
Season: Home 1.15 PPG vs Away 1.40 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 0.75 PPG vs Away 2.50 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 1.40 GPG vs Away 0.70 GPG

donut_small Win Probabilities

28%
38%
34%
Brest
Draw
Lorient

Match Preview

On February 7th, 2026, Ligue 1 sides Brest and Lorient are set to face off at Stade Francis-Le Blé.

Positioned 12th in the standings with 23 points, Brest will challenge 9th-placed Lorient, who have amassed 28 points this season.

Brest has struggled with a 50 percent loss rate in their last 6 matches, while Lorient has faced 5 losses in 10 away games in Ligue 1.

In their recent head-to-head clashes, Brest has suffered 3 defeats against Lorient.

Under the Derby Breton, the prediction suggests a game with under 2.5 goals.

Brest have failed to win in their previous three games in Ligue 1, but they've looked stronger on their own turf of late. They've won three of their previous four games at home, with their defeat coming last time out.

Lorient are on an impressive run of form, failing to lose in their last nine games. They've also won three games on the bounce, while they are unbeaten in four matches on the road.

When the two sides met earlier in the season, a 3-3 thriller was played out. In Ligue 1, Brest won the last meeting at home, securing a 4-0 victory back in 2023.

Lineups

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

Brest

Starting 11
-Grégoire Coudert
GK6.63
-Daouda Guindo
DL6.39
-Brendan Chardonnet
DC6.85
-Junior Diaz
DC6.74
-Kenny Lala
DR6.42
-Joris Chotard
DMC6.70
-Hugo Magnetti
DMC6.52
-Rémy Labeau Lascary
AML6.34
-Kamory Doumbia
AMC6.83
-Romain Del Castillo
AMR7.01
-Ludovic Ajorque
FW6.95

Lorient

Starting 11
-Yvon Mvogo
GK6.57
-Montassar Talbi
DC6.71
-Igor Silva
DC6.56
-Bamo Meïté
DC6.69
-Arsène Kouassi
DML6.88
-Noah Cadiou
MC6.32
-Laurent Abergel
MC6.58
-Théo Le Bris
DMR6.68
-Pablo Pagis
FWL6.73
-Bamba Dieng
FW6.67
-Jean-Victor Makengo
FWR6.56
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

compareTeam Comparison

Based on 20 matches
BrestvsLorient

radarTeam Profile

Brest
Lorient
AttackDefensePossessionEfficiencyCreativityDiscipline
sports_soccer
37Attack37
shield
51Defense38
swap_horiz
36Possession49
gps_fixed
65Efficiency66
auto_fix_high
28Creativity32
gavel
35Discipline56

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

26Goals Scored27
33Goals Conceded31
5Clean Sheets4
43Big Chances41
24Big Chances Missed25
6Penalty Goals1

gps_fixedShooting

236Total Shots232
78Shots on Target79

swap_horizPassing & Possession

43.8%Avg Possession43.2%
7,626Total Passes8,206
78.8%Pass Accuracy84.1%

shieldDefending

367Tackles280
186Interceptions179
59Saves47
50.3%Duels Won51.5%

gavelDiscipline

277Fouls202
36Yellow Cards38
3Red Cards1
23Offsides34

analyticsOther

85Corners61
109Successful Dribbles139
7Errors Leading to Goal2
6.74Avg Rating6.78

Statistical Comparison

BrestMetricLorient
25
Goals
26
17
Assists
18
6.5
Average Ratings
6.5
26.5
Average Age
26.4
182.3
Average Height (cm)
181.5
0.9
Shots pg
0.9
53%
Aerial Duel Success
47%
0.4
Dribbles pg
0.4
1.4
Tackles pg
1

League Standings Context

For Brest

PosTeamPWDLPts
11Angers2075826
12Brest2065923
13Nice20641022

For Lorient

PosTeamPWDLPts
8Toulouse2086630
9Lorient2077628
10Monaco2083927

Advanced Stats (Avg per match)

37.8/ 85.3
Dangerous Attacks
43.0/ 83.8
33.0%
Shots on Target
34.0%
10.3
Total Shots
12.7
44.0%
Possession
45.0%

Team Performance (Avg)

1.3
Goals Scored / Match
1.7
1.6
Goals Conceded / Match
1.4

Head-to-Head Summary

2
Brest Wins
33%
1
Draws
17%
3
Lorient Wins
50%
Total H2H Matches: 6

Recent Form Stats

MarketBrestLorient
Over 1.5 Goals
81%17/21
95%20/21
Over 2.5 Goals
57%12/21
52%11/21
Both Teams to Score
52%11/21
57%12/21
* Based on last 21 matches

Past Matches

Last 6: Brest

Fr1
Nice
2 - 2
Brest
Fr1
Brest
0 - 2
Toulouse
Fr1
Lyon
2 - 1
Brest
Fr1
Brest
2 - 0
Auxerre
CdF
US Avranches
1 - 1
Brest
Fr1
Rennes
3 - 1
Brest

Home Games: Brest

Fr1
Brest
0 - 2
Toulouse
Fr1
Brest
2 - 0
Auxerre
Fr1
Brest
1 - 0
Monaco
Fr1
Brest
3 - 2
Metz
Fr1
Brest
0 - 0
Lyon
Fr1
Brest
0 - 3
PSG

Last 6: Lorient

CdF
Lorient
2 - 0
Paris FC
Fr1
Lorient
2 - 1
Nantes
Fr1
Rennes
0 - 2
Lorient
Fr1
Monaco
1 - 3
Lorient
CdF
Hauts Lyonnais
1 - 3
Lorient
Fr1
Lorient
1 - 1
Metz

Away Games: Lorient

Fr1
Rennes
0 - 2
Lorient
Fr1
Monaco
1 - 3
Lorient
CdF
Hauts Lyonnais
1 - 3
Lorient
CdF
AS Gosier
0 - 7
Lorient
Fr1
Strasbourg
0 - 0
Lorient
Fr1
Nantes
1 - 1
Lorient

history Recent Form

BrestBrest
1.1 GPG
D
L
L
W
L
LorientLorient
1.4 GPG
W
W
W
D
D

group Head to Head

PL19 Oct 2025
Lorient
3-3
Brest
PL20 Jul 2024
Lorient
1-1
Brest
PL31 Mar 2024
Lorient
0-1
Brest
PL20 Dec 2023
Brest
4-0
Lorient
PL7 May 2023
Lorient
2-1
Brest
61%
Over 2.5 Goals
52%
Both Team Score

Head-to-Head Detailed

Over 1.5 Goals
78%
18 / 23 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
61%
14 / 23 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
30%
7 / 23 matches
Both Teams to Score
52%
12 / 23 matches
Brest CS
26%
Clean Sheets
Lorient CS
26%
Clean Sheets

Recent Matches

19 Oct 2025
Lorient
3 - 3
Brest
20 Jul 2024
Lorient
1 - 1
Brest
31 Mar 2024
Lorient
0 - 1
Brest
20 Dec 2023
Brest
4 - 0
Lorient
7 May 2023
Lorient
2 - 1
Brest
9 Oct 2022
Brest
1 - 2
Lorient
16 Jul 2022
Brest
1 - 0
Lorient
27 Feb 2022
Brest
0 - 1
Lorient
7 Nov 2021
Lorient
1 - 2
Brest
4 Apr 2021
Lorient
1 - 0
Brest
20 Sept 2020
Brest
3 - 2
Lorient
5 Jan 2020
Lorient
2 - 1
Brest

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)
Brest
1.15
Form (Overall)
Lorient
1.40

Lorient is +22% better in terms of Points Per Game

Nice
2 - 2
Brest
Brest
0 - 2
Toulouse
Olympique Lyonnais
2 - 1
Brest
Brest
2 - 0
Auxerre
Rennes
3 - 1
Brest
Lorient
2 - 1
Nantes
Rennes
0 - 2
Lorient
Monaco
1 - 3
Lorient
Lorient
1 - 1
Metz
Strasbourg
0 - 0
Lorient

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