Brest vs Marseille Prediction & Tips | Ligue 1 | FootballTips.app

Brest

Brest

Home
Full Time
2 - 0
HT: 2 - 0
Friday 20 February
Marseille

Marseille

Away
BrestTimelineMarseille
1st Half
Ajorque L. ()
sports_soccer
10'
Ajorque L. (Magnetti H.)
sports_soccer
29'
2nd Half
Aubameyang P.Out: Vermeeren A.
sync_alt
46'
Hojbjerg P.
67'
Ajorque L.
71'
Traore H. J.Out: Paixao I.
sync_alt
71'
Nwaneri E.Out: Gouiri A.
sync_alt
71'
Labeau Lascary R.Out: Dina Ebimbe J.
sync_alt
73'
Timber Q.
79'
Abdelli H.Out: Timber Q.
sync_alt
79'
Tousart L.Out: Doumbia K.
sync_alt
79'
Greenwood M. (Penalty missed)
close
82'
Nadir B.Out: Hojbjerg P.
sync_alt
87'
Locko B.Out: Del Castillo R.
sync_alt
88'
Nwaneri E.
89'
Nadir B.
90+5'

Top stats

1.26Expected goals (xG)1.68
32%Ball possession68%
12Total shots17
4Shots on target4
4Big chances1
3Corner kicks2
74% (226/304)Passes89% (570/637)
1Yellow cards4

Shots

1.26Expected goals (xG)1.68
0.77xG on target (xGOT)1.03
12Total shots17
4Shots on target4
6Shots off target9
2Blocked shots4
9Shots inside the box10
3Shots outside the box7
1Hit the woodwork0
2Headed goals0

Attack

4Big chances1
3Corner kicks2
18Touches in opposition box38
2Accurate through passes1
2Offsides1
17Free kicks10

Passes

74% (226/304)Passes89% (570/637)
45% (30/66)Long passes55% (21/38)
58% (43/74)Passes in final third78% (151/193)
25% (3/12)Crosses25% (8/32)
0.68Expected assists (xA)1.37
7Throw ins22

Defense

10Fouls17
50% (10/20)Tackles40% (6/15)
58Duels won44
42Clearances26
13Interceptions4
0Errors leading to shot1
0Errors leading to goal0

Goalkeeping

4Goalkeeper saves2
1.03xGOT faced0.77
1.03Goals prevented-1.23
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Very High Confidence
13.82
X3.87
21.96

Recommended Bet

cancel
Away Win
Stake: High (10/10)
100
Opp. Value

Key Factors

League Rank: Home #12 vs Away #4
Season: Home 1.23 PPG vs Away 1.82 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 1.25 PPG vs Away 1.25 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 1.45 GPG vs Away 1.73 GPG

donut_small Win Probabilities

10%
9%
81%
Brest
Draw
Marseille

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

Brest

Starting 11
-Grégoire Coudert
GK6.68
-Daouda Guindo
DL6.49
-Brendan Chardonnet
DC6.90
-Junior Diaz
DC6.76
-Kenny Lala
DR6.46
-Joris Chotard
DMC6.76
-Hugo Magnetti
DMC6.57
-Rémy Labeau Lascary
AML6.52
-Kamory Doumbia
AMC6.84
-Romain Del Castillo
AMR7.01
-Ludovic Ajorque
FW7.00

Marseille

Starting 11
-Gerónimo Rulli
GK6.85
-Emerson
DL6.98
-Nayef Aguerd
DC7.02
-Benjamin Pavard
DC6.65
-Timothy Weah
DR6.73
-Quinten Timber
DMC6.39
-Pierre-Emile Højbjerg
DMC6.88
-Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang
AML6.91
-Ethan Nwaneri
AMC6.91
-Mason Greenwood
AMR7.42
-Amine Gouiri
FW7.02
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

Match Preview

Brest will be hosting Olympique Marseille at Stade Francis-Le Blé in a Ligue 1 clash on February 20, 2026.

Brest, currently standing 12th in the league with 27 points, will face Olympique Marseille, positioned 4th with 40 points.

In their head-to-head history, Brest has struggled, losing 4 out of their last 6 meetings against Olympique Marseille.

Brest has shown strength at home with a 67% win rate in their recent Ligue 1 matches, while Olympique Marseille boasts a 55% win rate this season.

With Olympique Marseille as the favorites, our algorithm predicts them to win with a probability of 45%.

Brest are currently unbeaten in their previous three games, winning once during that period. At home, they've been in impressive form, losing just once in their last six, winning four times.

Marseille are on a tricky run of form, failing to win in their last three matches. On the road, they've won just once in their previous four, and they've slipped down to fourth in recent weeks.

Marseille won the last meeting between the two sides back in November, securing a 3-0 victory. They've won the last three meetings, scoring a total of 12 goals during that time.

compareTeam Comparison

Based on 22 matches
BrestvsMarseille
1.32Goals / Match2.18
1.55Conceded / Match1.32
6Clean Sheets6
3.95Shots on Target / Match5.73
43.1%Possession %57.6%
78.5%Pass Accuracy %89.0%

radarTeam Profile

Brest
Marseille
AttackDefensePossessionEfficiencyCreativityDiscipline
sports_soccer
37Attack72
shield
56Defense45
swap_horiz
34Possession73
gps_fixed
65Efficiency89
auto_fix_high
27Creativity60
gavel
37Discipline32

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

29Goals Scored48
34Goals Conceded29
6Clean Sheets6
47Big Chances65
27Big Chances Missed36
6Penalty Goals5

gps_fixedShooting

259Total Shots310
87Shots on Target126

swap_horizPassing & Possession

43.1%Avg Possession57.6%
8,260Total Passes12,464
78.5%Pass Accuracy89.0%

shieldDefending

407Tackles316
217Interceptions169
65Saves62
50.0%Duels Won48.8%

gavelDiscipline

300Fouls276
39Yellow Cards47
3Red Cards4
25Offsides25

analyticsOther

93Corners108
118Successful Dribbles143
7Errors Leading to Goal3
6.75Avg Rating6.88

Statistical Comparison

BrestMetricMarseille
28
Goals
47
18
Assists
35
6.5
Average Ratings
6.5
26.5
Average Age
27.7
182.3
Average Height (cm)
182.9
0.9
Shots pg
1.1
53%
Aerial Duel Success
50%
0.4
Dribbles pg
0.7
1.5
Tackles pg
1

League Standings Context

For Brest

PosTeamPWDLPts
11Angers2285929
12Brest2276927
13Le Havre2268826

For Marseille

PosTeamPWDLPts
3Lyon22143545
4Olympique Marseille22124640
5Lille22104834

Advanced Stats (Avg per match)

34.5/ 77.9
Dangerous Attacks
41.5/ 88.4
33.0%
Shots on Target
43.0%
9.4
Total Shots
12.6
44.0%
Possession
59.0%

Team Performance (Avg)

1.3
Goals Scored / Match
2.3
1.5
Goals Conceded / Match
1.3

Head-to-Head Summary

2
Brest Wins
33%
0
Draws
0%
4
Marseille Wins
67%
Total H2H Matches: 6

Recent Form Stats

MarketBrestMarseille
Over 1.5 Goals
83%19/23
113%26/23
Over 2.5 Goals
52%12/23
109%25/23
Both Teams to Score
52%12/23
65%15/23
* Based on last 23 matches

Past Matches

Last 6: Brest

Fr1
Lille
1 - 1
Brest
Fr1
Brest
2 - 0
Lorient
Fr1
Nice
2 - 2
Brest
Fr1
Brest
0 - 2
Toulouse
Fr1
Lyon
2 - 1
Brest
Fr1
Brest
2 - 0
Auxerre

Home Games: Brest

Fr1
Brest
2 - 0
Lorient
Fr1
Brest
0 - 2
Toulouse
Fr1
Brest
2 - 0
Auxerre
Fr1
Brest
1 - 0
Monaco
Fr1
Brest
3 - 2
Metz
Fr1
Brest
0 - 0
Lyon

Last 6: Marseille

Fr1
Olympique Marseille
2 - 2
Strasbourg
Fr1
PSG
5 - 0
Olympique Marseille
CdF
Olympique Marseille
3 - 0
Rennes
Fr1
Paris FC
2 - 2
Olympique Marseille
UCL
Club Brugge
3 - 0
Olympique Marseille
Fr1
Olympique Marseille
3 - 1
Lens

Away Games: Marseille

Fr1
PSG
5 - 0
Olympique Marseille
Fr1
Paris FC
2 - 2
Olympique Marseille
UCL
Club Brugge
3 - 0
Olympique Marseille
Fr1
Angers
2 - 5
Olympique Marseille
CdF
Bayeux FC
0 - 9
Olympique Marseille
CdF
Bourg-Peronnas
0 - 6
Olympique Marseille

history Recent Form

BrestBrest
1.2 GPG
D
W
D
L
L
MarseilleMarseille
1.8 GPG
D
L
D
W
W

group Head to Head

PL8 Nov 2025
Olympique Marseille
3-0
Brest
PL27 Apr 2025
Olympique Marseille
4-1
Brest
PL17 Aug 2024
Brest
1-5
Olympique Marseille
PL18 Feb 2024
Brest
1-0
Olympique Marseille
PL26 Aug 2023
Olympique Marseille
2-0
Brest
61%
Over 2.5 Goals
61%
Both Team Score

Head-to-Head Detailed

Over 1.5 Goals
78%
14 / 18 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
61%
11 / 18 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
28%
5 / 18 matches
Both Teams to Score
61%
11 / 18 matches
Brest CS
17%
Clean Sheets
Marseille CS
28%
Clean Sheets

Recent Matches

8 Nov 2025
Olympique Marseille
3 - 0
Brest
27 Apr 2025
Olympique Marseille
4 - 1
Brest
17 Aug 2024
Brest
1 - 5
Olympique Marseille
18 Feb 2024
Brest
1 - 0
Olympique Marseille
26 Aug 2023
Olympique Marseille
2 - 0
Brest
27 May 2023
Olympique Marseille
1 - 2
Brest
14 Aug 2022
Brest
1 - 1
Olympique Marseille
13 Mar 2022
Brest
1 - 4
Olympique Marseille
4 Dec 2021
Olympique Marseille
1 - 2
Brest
13 Mar 2021
Olympique Marseille
3 - 1
Brest
30 Aug 2020
Brest
2 - 3
Olympique Marseille
29 Nov 2019
Olympique Marseille
2 - 1
Brest

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)
Brest
1.23
Form (Overall)
Marseille
1.82

Marseille is +48% better in terms of Points Per Game

Lille
1 - 1
Brest
Brest
2 - 0
Lorient
Nice
2 - 2
Brest
Brest
0 - 2
Toulouse
Olympique Lyonnais
2 - 1
Brest
Olympique Marseille
2 - 2
Strasbourg
PSG
5 - 0
Olympique Marseille
Paris
2 - 2
Olympique Marseille
Olympique Marseille
3 - 1
Lens
Angers SCO
2 - 5
Olympique Marseille

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