Brighton vs Leeds Prediction & Tips | Premier League | FootballTips.app

Brighton

Brighton

Home
Full Time
1 - 1
HT: 0 - 1
Saturday 5 September
Leeds

Leeds

Away
BrightonTimelineLeeds
1st Half
Bogle J.
6'
Bogle J. (Tanaka A.)
sports_soccer
15'
Gross P.
38'
2nd Half
De Cuyper M.
49'
Bijol J.Out: Bogle J.
sync_alt
61'
Aaronson B.Out: Okafor N.
sync_alt
62'
Calvert-Lewin D.
64'
Vuskovic L. (De Cuyper M.)
sports_soccer
71'
Wilson H.Out: Tanaka A.
sync_alt
73'
Nmecha L.Out: Calvert-Lewin D.
sync_alt
74'
David P.Out: De Cuyper M.
sync_alt
77'
CostinhaOut: Kadioglu F.
sync_alt
78'
Wilson H.
85'
David P.
87'
Struijk P.Out: Boscagli O.
sync_alt
90+3'

Top stats

2.20Expected goals (xG)2.50
67%Ball possession33%
20Total shots10
5Shots on target5
4Big chances5
7Corner kicks6
84% (437/522)Passes68% (171/252)
3Yellow cards3

Shots

2.20Expected goals (xG)2.50
0.69xG on target (xGOT)1.91
20Total shots10
5Shots on target5
8Shots off target4
7Blocked shots1
11Shots inside the box10
9Shots outside the box0
0Hit the woodwork1
1Headed goals0

Attack

4Big chances5
7Corner kicks6
29Touches in opposition box19
1Accurate through passes0
4Offsides2
16Free kicks13

Passes

84% (437/522)Passes68% (171/252)
49% (29/59)Long passes29% (15/52)
74% (97/131)Passes in final third53% (40/76)
17% (6/35)Crosses8% (1/13)
1.09Expected assists (xA)0.93
23Throw ins16

Defense

13Fouls16
50% (4/8)Tackles53% (9/17)
54Duels won58
33Clearances35
5Interceptions8
1Errors leading to shot0
0Errors leading to goal0

Goalkeeping

3Goalkeeper saves4
1.91xGOT faced0.69
0.91Goals prevented-0.31
5Goal kicks8
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Very High Confidence
11.99
X3.57
23.83

Recommended Bet

cancel
Home Win
Odds: 1.96Stake: Medium (7/10)
72
Opp. Value

Key Factors

League Rank: Home #9 vs Away #8
Season: Home 1.60 PPG vs Away 2.30 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 1.36 PPG vs Away 1.91 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 2.50 GPG vs Away 1.50 GPG

donut_small Win Probabilities

50%
25%
25%
Brighton
Draw
Leeds
payments

Value Comparison

OutcomeMarket OddsTrue Odds (AI)Value
Over 2.5 Goals1.811.93-6.1%
Brighton & Hove Albion Win1.961.98-1.1%
Draw3.544.04-12.5%
Leeds United Win3.844.03-4.6%
BTTS - Yes1.702.02-15.9%

Fair Odds remove the bookmaker margin. Value is raw EV vs market odds; hover a badge for the edge vs fair odds.

Match Preview

Brighton's first two games of the season have been eventful, to say the least, with their 4-0 victory over Aston Villa followed by defeat in a seven-goal thriller at Chelsea.

The Seagulls have a fine Premier League record against Leeds, losing just one of their eight meetings (W4 D3).

Leeds have continued where they left off at the end of last season, kicking off the new campaign with a three-game unbeaten run in all competitions.

The 3-0 final-day defeat at West Ham in May is the only time the Whites have lost on the road in the league since Newcastle in January.

Lineups

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

Brighton

Starting 11
-Bart Verbruggen
GK5.53
-Ferdi Kadioglu
DL5.46
-Lewis Dunk
DC6.24
-Luka Vuskovic
DC6.74
-Mats Wieffer
DR7.18
-Pascal Groß
DMC7.35
-Olivier Boscagli
DMC6.92
-Maxim De Cuyper
AML7.44
-Malick Yalcouyé
AMC7.02
-Diego Gómez
AMR7.37
-Georginio Rutter
FW7.70

Leeds

Starting 11
-James Trafford
GK7.11
-Tarik Muharemovic
DC7.46
-Jaka Bijol
DC7.13
-Nico Elvedi
DC6.51
-James Justin
DML7.28
-Ethan Ampadu
MC6.99
-Anton Stach
MC7.68
-Jayden Bogle
DMR6.78
-Noah Okafor
FWL6.64
-Dominic Calvert-Lewin
FW6.80
-Harry Wilson
FWR6.60
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

compareTeam Comparison

Based on 5 / 2 matches
BrightonvsLeeds
1.80Goals / Match1.00
1.40Conceded / Match0.50
2Clean Sheets1
52.2%Possession %45.5%
80.2%Pass Accuracy %74.0%

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

9Goals Scored2
7Goals Conceded1
2Clean Sheets1
1Penalty Goals0

gps_fixedShooting

50Total Shots23

swap_horizPassing & Possession

52.2%Avg Possession45.5%
2,375Total Passes695
80.2%Pass Accuracy74.0%

shieldDefending

211Interceptions26
14Saves7
49.2%Duels Won53.1%

gavelDiscipline

44Fouls19
5Yellow Cards1
8Offsides5

analyticsOther

24Corners7
53Successful Dribbles16

Statistical Comparison

BrightonMetricLeeds
5
Goals
2
2
Assists
1
6.7
Average Ratings
6.8
25.8
Average Age
26.5
183.7
Average Height (cm)
186.3
1.7
Shots pg
1.2
56%
Aerial Duel Success
49%
1
Dribbles pg
1.1
1.5
Tackles pg
1.8

history Recent Form

BrightonBrighton
1.6 GPG
L
W
LeedsLeeds
2.3 GPG
D
W

group Head to Head

PL17 May 2026
Leeds United
1-0
Brighton & Hove Albion
PL1 Nov 2025
Brighton & Hove Albion
3-0
Leeds United
PL11 Mar 2023
Leeds United
2-2
Brighton & Hove Albion
PL27 Aug 2022
Brighton & Hove Albion
1-0
Leeds United
PL15 May 2022
Leeds United
1-1
Brighton & Hove Albion
45%
Over 2.5 Goals
41%
Both Team Score

Head-to-Head Detailed

Over 1.5 Goals
77%
17 / 22 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
45%
10 / 22 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
18%
4 / 22 matches
Both Teams to Score
41%
9 / 22 matches
Brighton CS
45%
Clean Sheets
Leeds CS
18%
Clean Sheets

Recent Matches

17 May 2026
Leeds United
1 - 0
Brighton & Hove Albion
1 Nov 2025
Brighton & Hove Albion
3 - 0
Leeds United
11 Mar 2023
Leeds United
2 - 2
Brighton & Hove Albion
27 Aug 2022
Brighton & Hove Albion
1 - 0
Leeds United
15 May 2022
Leeds United
1 - 1
Brighton & Hove Albion
27 Nov 2021
Brighton & Hove Albion
0 - 0
Leeds United
1 May 2021
Brighton & Hove Albion
2 - 0
Leeds United
16 Jan 2021
Leeds United
0 - 1
Brighton & Hove Albion
18 Mar 2017
Leeds United
2 - 0
Brighton & Hove Albion
9 Dec 2016
Brighton & Hove Albion
2 - 0
Leeds United
29 Feb 2016
Brighton & Hove Albion
4 - 0
Leeds United
17 Oct 2015
Leeds United
1 - 2
Brighton & Hove Albion

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)
Brighton
1.60
Form (Overall)
Leeds
2.30

Leeds is +44% better in terms of Points Per Game

Chelsea
4 - 3
Brighton & Hove Albion
Brighton & Hove Albion
4 - 0
Aston Villa
Leeds United
1 - 1
Brentford
Nottingham Forest
0 - 1
Leeds United

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