Brighton vs Liverpool Prediction & Tips | Premier League | FootballTips.app

Brighton

Brighton

Home
Full Time
2 - 1
HT: 1 - 1
Saturday 21 March
Liverpool

Liverpool

Away
BrightonTimelineLiverpool
1st Half
Jones C.Out: Ekitike H.
sync_alt
8'
Welbeck D. (Gomez D.)
sports_soccer
14'
Minteh Y.
25'
Kerkez M.
sports_soccer
30'
Konate I.
45'
Gomez D.
45+5'
2nd Half
Welbeck D.
48'
Welbeck D.Assist: Hinshelwood J.
sports_soccer
56'
Frimpong J.
61'
Ngumoha R.Out: Frimpong J.
sync_alt
63'
Mac Allister A.
68'
Hurzeler F.
68'
Mitoma K.Out: Minteh Y.
sync_alt
76'
Baleba C.Out: Milner J.
sync_alt
76'
Robertson A.Out: Kerkez M.
sync_alt
76'
Chiesa F.Out: Konate I.
sync_alt
77'
Szoboszlai D.
79'
Rutter G.Out: Welbeck D.
sync_alt
83'
Ayari Y.Out: Hinshelwood J.
sync_alt
83'
Dunk L.
85'
Chiesa F.
90'
Veltman J.Out: Gomez D.
sync_alt
90+1'
Wieffer M.
90+4'

Top stats

2.18Expected goals (xG)1.02
47%Ball possession53%
16Total shots12
7Shots on target5
5Big chances1
4Corner kicks8
78% (297/380)Passes80% (346/431)
5Yellow cards5

Shots

2.18Expected goals (xG)1.02
2.45xG on target (xGOT)1.01
16Total shots12
7Shots on target5
7Shots off target4
2Blocked shots3
11Shots inside the box10
5Shots outside the box2
0Hit the woodwork0
1Headed goals0

Attack

5Big chances1
4Corner kicks8
32Touches in opposition box29
1Accurate through passes0
2Offsides1
11Free kicks11

Passes

78% (297/380)Passes80% (346/431)
47% (23/49)Long passes39% (24/61)
69% (91/132)Passes in final third76% (100/132)
38% (6/16)Crosses28% (5/18)
2.28Expected assists (xA)0.48
22Throw ins30

Defense

11Fouls11
55% (6/11)Tackles50% (6/12)
36Duels won43
25Clearances30
7Interceptions12
1Errors leading to shot0
1Errors leading to goal0

Goalkeeping

4Goalkeeper saves4
1.01xGOT faced2.45
0.01Goals prevented0.45
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Very High Confidence
13.13
X3.65
22.30

Recommended Bet

Away Win
Stake: High (9/10)
90
Opp. Value

Key Factors

League Rank: Home #12 vs Away #5
Season: Home 1.33 PPG vs Away 1.63 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 1.95 PPG vs Away 1.65 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 1.47 GPG vs Away 1.47 GPG

donut_small Win Probabilities

26%
22%
52%
Brighton
Draw
Liverpool

Match Preview

Brighton have turned a corner in recent weeks and another victory here could give them an outside chance of qualifying for Europe.

The Seagulls have won just twice at home since December and have lost five of their last six games against Liverpool in all competitions.

Liverpool might have swatted Galatasaray aside to reach the Champions League quarter-finals on Wednesday but are making hard work of trying to qualify for the competition next season.

Arne Slot's side have slipped up against struggling Wolves and Tottenham in recent weeks and cannot afford to drop many more points from here on in.

Lineups

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

Brighton

Starting 11
-Bart Verbruggen
GK6.57
-Ferdi Kadioglu
DL6.66
-Lewis Dunk
DC6.79
-Jan Paul van Hecke
DC7.00
-Mats Wieffer
DR6.91
-Pascal Groß
MC6.95
-Carlos Baleba
MC6.28
-Jack Hinshelwood
MC6.35
-Yankuba Minteh
FWL6.88
-Danny Welbeck
FW6.53
-Diego Gómez
FWR6.76

Liverpool

Starting 11
-Alisson Becker
GK6.60
-Milos Kerkez
DL6.63
-Virgil van Dijk
DC7.06
-Ibrahima Konaté
DC6.98
-Jeremie Frimpong
DR6.54
-Ryan Gravenberch
DMC7.00
-Alexis Mac Allister
DMC6.60
-Cody Gakpo
AML6.91
-Dominik Szoboszlai
AMC7.11
-Florian Wirtz
AMR6.84
-Hugo Ekitiké
FW6.97
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

compareTeam Comparison

Based on 16 / 30 matches
BrightonvsLiverpool

radarTeam Profile

Brighton
Liverpool
AttackDefensePossessionEfficiencyCreativityDiscipline
sports_soccer
35Attack60
shield
53Defense41
swap_horiz
52Possession75
gps_fixed
68Efficiency52
auto_fix_high
39Creativity51
gavel
64Discipline65

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

20Goals Scored49
22Goals Conceded40
4Clean Sheets9
32Big Chances81
22Big Chances Missed55
0Penalty Goals1

gps_fixedShooting

177Total Shots475
68Shots on Target135

swap_horizPassing & Possession

48.6%Avg Possession60.3%
7,103Total Passes16,247
80.4%Pass Accuracy85.9%

shieldDefending

295Tackles402
124Interceptions200
56Saves73
51.9%Duels Won51.7%

gavelDiscipline

163Fouls294
26Yellow Cards44
0Red Cards1
33Offsides61

analyticsOther

69Corners177
126Successful Dribbles248
3Errors Leading to Goal5
6.82Avg Rating6.87

Statistical Comparison

BrightonMetricLiverpool
38
Goals
47
22
Assists
32
6.5
Average Ratings
6.6
26.2
Average Age
26
184.1
Average Height (cm)
185.8
0.8
Shots pg
1
50%
Aerial Duel Success
55%
0.5
Dribbles pg
0.7
1.4
Tackles pg
1.1

history Recent Form

BrightonBrighton
1.3 GPG
W
L
W
W
L
LiverpoolLiverpool
1.6 GPG
D
L
W
W
W

group Head to Head

PL14 Feb 2026
Liverpool
3-0
Brighton & Hove Albion
PL13 Dec 2025
Liverpool
2-0
Brighton & Hove Albion
PL19 May 2025
Brighton & Hove Albion
3-2
Liverpool
PL2 Nov 2024
Liverpool
2-1
Brighton & Hove Albion
PL30 Oct 2024
Brighton & Hove Albion
2-3
Liverpool
73%
Over 2.5 Goals
64%
Both Team Score

Head-to-Head Detailed

Over 1.5 Goals
86%
19 / 22 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
73%
16 / 22 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
41%
9 / 22 matches
Both Teams to Score
64%
14 / 22 matches
Brighton CS
9%
Clean Sheets
Liverpool CS
27%
Clean Sheets

Recent Matches

14 Feb 2026
Liverpool
3 - 0
Brighton & Hove Albion
13 Dec 2025
Liverpool
2 - 0
Brighton & Hove Albion
19 May 2025
Brighton & Hove Albion
3 - 2
Liverpool
2 Nov 2024
Liverpool
2 - 1
Brighton & Hove Albion
30 Oct 2024
Brighton & Hove Albion
2 - 3
Liverpool
31 Mar 2024
Liverpool
2 - 1
Brighton & Hove Albion
8 Oct 2023
Brighton & Hove Albion
2 - 2
Liverpool
29 Jan 2023
Brighton & Hove Albion
2 - 1
Liverpool
14 Jan 2023
Brighton & Hove Albion
3 - 0
Liverpool
1 Oct 2022
Liverpool
3 - 3
Brighton & Hove Albion
12 Mar 2022
Brighton & Hove Albion
0 - 2
Liverpool
30 Oct 2021
Liverpool
2 - 2
Brighton & Hove Albion

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)
Brighton
1.33
Form (Overall)
Liverpool
1.63

Liverpool is +23% better in terms of Points Per Game

Sunderland
0 - 1
Brighton & Hove Albion
Brighton & Hove Albion
0 - 1
Arsenal
Brighton & Hove Albion
2 - 1
Nottingham Forest
Brentford
0 - 2
Brighton & Hove Albion
Aston Villa
1 - 0
Brighton & Hove Albion
Liverpool
1 - 1
Tottenham Hotspur
Wolverhampton Wanderers
2 - 1
Liverpool
Liverpool
5 - 2
West Ham United
Nottingham Forest
0 - 1
Liverpool
Sunderland
0 - 1
Liverpool

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