Brighton vs Nottingham Prediction & Tips | Premier League | FootballTips.app

Brighton

Brighton

Home
Full Time
2 - 1
HT: 2 - 1
Sunday 1 March
Nottingham

Nottingham

Away
BrightonTimelineNottingham
1st Half
Gomez D. (Gross P.)
sports_soccer
6'
Gibbs-White M. (Igor Jesus)
sports_soccer
13'
Welbeck D.Assist: Hinshelwood J.
sports_soccer
15'
Anderson E.
30'
2nd Half
Wieffer M.
55'
Netz L.Out: Williams N.
sync_alt
56'
CunhaOut: Hutchinson O.
sync_alt
56'
Veltman J.Out: Wieffer M.
sync_alt
71'
Bakwa D.Out: Hudson-Odoi C.
sync_alt
74'
Ndoye D.Out: Aina O.
sync_alt
82'
Awoniyi T.Out: Igor Jesus
sync_alt
83'
Mitoma K.
84'
March S.Out: Gomez D.
sync_alt
86'
Baleba C.Out: Milner J.
sync_alt
86'
De Cuyper M.Out: Mitoma K.
sync_alt
90+1'
Dunk L.
90+3'

Top stats

1.31Expected goals (xG)0.93
53%Ball possession47%
14Total shots13
7Shots on target4
2Big chances1
4Corner kicks4
86% (438/507)Passes85% (372/436)
3Yellow cards1

Shots

1.31Expected goals (xG)0.93
1.25xG on target (xGOT)0.73
14Total shots13
7Shots on target4
5Shots off target3
2Blocked shots6
7Shots inside the box7
7Shots outside the box6
0Hit the woodwork0

Attack

2Big chances1
4Corner kicks4
28Touches in opposition box17
1Accurate through passes0
0Offsides3
13Free kicks12

Passes

86% (438/507)Passes85% (372/436)
48% (26/54)Long passes58% (30/52)
74% (104/140)Passes in final third76% (66/87)
55% (6/11)Crosses24% (4/17)
1.31Expected assists (xA)0.56
15Throw ins14

Defense

12Fouls13
60% (9/15)Tackles44% (4/9)
44Duels won41
20Clearances15
6Interceptions8
0Errors leading to shot1
0Errors leading to goal1

Goalkeeping

3Goalkeeper saves5
0.73xGOT faced1.25
-0.27Goals prevented-0.75
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Very High Confidence
12.07
X3.63
23.71

Recommended Bet

check_circle
Home Win
Stake: High (8/10)
80
Opp. Value

Key Factors

League Rank: Home #14 vs Away #17
Season: Home 1.26 PPG vs Away 1.00 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 1.05 PPG vs Away 0.70 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 1.54 GPG vs Away 0.92 GPG

donut_small Win Probabilities

53%
28%
19%
Brighton
Draw
Nottingham

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

Brighton

Starting 11
-Bart Verbruggen
GK6.59
-Ferdi Kadioglu
DL6.66
-Lewis Dunk
DC6.75
-Jan Paul van Hecke
DC6.95
-Mats Wieffer
DR6.90
-Pascal Groß
MC6.83
-Carlos Baleba
MC6.30
-Jack Hinshelwood
MC6.33
-Kaoru Mitoma
FWL6.63
-Georginio Rutter
FW6.59
-Diego Gómez
FWR6.72

Nottingham

Starting 11
-Stefan Ortega
GK6.59
-Neco Williams
DL6.93
-Nikola Milenkovic
DC6.57
-Murillo
DC6.83
-Ola Aina
DR6.79
-Ibrahim Sangaré
DMC6.66
-Elliot Anderson
DMC7.12
-Omari Hutchinson
AML6.55
-Morgan Gibbs-White
AMC6.60
-Callum Hudson-Odoi
AMR6.57
-Igor Jesus
FW6.43
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

Match Preview

Brighton will face Nottingham Forest in a Premier League match at American Express Stadium on March 1, 2026 GMT.

Brighton currently sits in the 14th position with 34 points, while Nottingham Forest trails in 17th place with 27 points.

Brighton has experienced 3 losses in their last 6 Premier League outings, whereas Nottingham Forest has struggled with a 54% loss rate on their travels in the league.

In the head-to-head records, Brighton and Nottingham Forest have displayed an even split, each winning 50% of their last 6 encounters.

With both teams aiming to secure points to improve their positions in the league, this match is anticipated to be a closely contested battle.

Prediction: Brighton and Nottingham Forest to draw 0-0.

Brighton were heading towards a relegation dogfight, only to come up with a huge result at Brentford last weekend to move nine points clear of 18th-place West Ham.

The Seagulls' Premier League status is not yet confirmed, but another victory here would go some way to sealing a ninth consecutive season of top-flight football.

Nottingham Forest are sitting dangerously close to the bottom-three and could be below the dreaded dotted-line by the time they arrive on the South Coast - with West Ham at Liverpool 24 hours earlier.

Four of Forest's last five Premier League wins have come on the road, but they've only collected two points from a possible 12 in February.

compareTeam Comparison

Based on 2 / 27 matches
BrightonvsNottingham
2.00Goals / Match0.93
0.00Conceded / Match1.44
1Clean Sheets6
63.8%Possession %48.4%
85.5%Pass Accuracy %82.6%

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

4Goals Scored25
0Goals Conceded39
1Clean Sheets6
1Penalty Goals2

gps_fixedShooting

12Total Shots351

swap_horizPassing & Possession

63.8%Avg Possession48.4%
613Total Passes11,304
85.5%Pass Accuracy82.6%

shieldDefending

34Interceptions214
0Saves69
41.4%Duels Won50.1%

gavelDiscipline

9Fouls287
1Yellow Cards39
0Red Cards1
2Offsides40

analyticsOther

5Corners153
17Successful Dribbles201

Statistical Comparison

BrightonMetricNottingham
35
Goals
25
20
Assists
15
6.5
Average Ratings
6.4
25.7
Average Age
26
183.6
Average Height (cm)
182.2
0.8
Shots pg
0.9
50%
Aerial Duel Success
48%
0.4
Dribbles pg
0.7
1.3
Tackles pg
1.4

League Standings Context

For Brighton

PosTeamPWDLPts
13Crystal Palace27981035
14Brighton27810934
15Leeds United287101131

For Nottingham

PosTeamPWDLPts
16Tottenham27781229
17Nottingham Forest27761427
18West Ham28671525

Advanced Stats (Avg per match)

51.8/ 94.7
Dangerous Attacks
52.3/ 95.4
35.0%
Shots on Target
34.0%
13.4
Total Shots
14.1
53.0%
Possession
50.0%

Team Performance (Avg)

1.6
Goals Scored / Match
1.3
1.3
Goals Conceded / Match
1.4

Head-to-Head Summary

3
Brighton Wins
50%
2
Draws
33%
1
Nottingham Wins
17%
Total H2H Matches: 6

Recent Form Stats

MarketBrightonNottingham
Over 1.5 Goals
88%28/32
97%31/32
Over 2.5 Goals
50%16/32
69%22/32
Both Teams to Score
56%18/32
50%16/32
* Based on last 32 matches

Past Matches

Last 6: Brighton

EPL
Brighton
0 - 1
Crystal Palace
EPL
Brighton
1 - 1
Everton
EPL
Brighton
1 - 1
Bournemouth
EPL
Brighton
2 - 0
Burnley
EPL
Brighton
0 - 0
Sunderland
EPL
Brighton
1 - 1
West Ham

Home Games: Brighton

EPL
Brighton
0 - 1
Crystal Palace
EPL
Brighton
1 - 1
Everton
EPL
Brighton
1 - 1
Bournemouth
EPL
Brighton
2 - 0
Burnley
EPL
Brighton
0 - 0
Sunderland
EPL
Brighton
1 - 1
West Ham

Last 6: Nottingham

UEL
Fenerbahçe
0 - 3
Nottingham Forest
EPL
Leeds United
3 - 1
Nottingham Forest
EPL
Brentford
0 - 2
Nottingham Forest
UEL
Sporting Braga
1 - 0
Nottingham Forest
FA
Wrexham FC
3 - 3
Nottingham Forest
EPL
West Ham
1 - 2
Nottingham Forest

Away Games: Nottingham

UEL
Fenerbahçe
0 - 3
Nottingham Forest
EPL
Leeds United
3 - 1
Nottingham Forest
EPL
Brentford
0 - 2
Nottingham Forest
UEL
Sporting Braga
1 - 0
Nottingham Forest
FA
Wrexham FC
3 - 3
Nottingham Forest
EPL
West Ham
1 - 2
Nottingham Forest

history Recent Form

BrightonBrighton
1.3 GPG
W
L
L
D
L
NottinghamNottingham
1.0 GPG
L
D
L
D
W

group Head to Head

PL30 Nov 2025
Nottingham Forest
0-2
Brighton & Hove Albion
PL29 Mar 2025
Brighton & Hove Albion
0-0
Nottingham Forest
PL1 Feb 2025
Nottingham Forest
7-0
Brighton & Hove Albion
PL22 Sept 2024
Brighton & Hove Albion
2-2
Nottingham Forest
PL10 Mar 2024
Brighton & Hove Albion
1-0
Nottingham Forest
55%
Over 2.5 Goals
45%
Both Team Score

Head-to-Head Detailed

Over 1.5 Goals
65%
13 / 20 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
55%
11 / 20 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
35%
7 / 20 matches
Both Teams to Score
45%
9 / 20 matches
Brighton CS
45%
Clean Sheets
Nottingham CS
30%
Clean Sheets

Recent Matches

30 Nov 2025
Nottingham Forest
0 - 2
Brighton & Hove Albion
29 Mar 2025
Brighton & Hove Albion
0 - 0
Nottingham Forest
1 Feb 2025
Nottingham Forest
7 - 0
Brighton & Hove Albion
22 Sept 2024
Brighton & Hove Albion
2 - 2
Nottingham Forest
10 Mar 2024
Brighton & Hove Albion
1 - 0
Nottingham Forest
25 Nov 2023
Nottingham Forest
2 - 3
Brighton & Hove Albion
26 Apr 2023
Nottingham Forest
3 - 1
Brighton & Hove Albion
18 Oct 2022
Brighton & Hove Albion
0 - 0
Nottingham Forest
4 Mar 2017
Nottingham Forest
3 - 0
Brighton & Hove Albion
12 Aug 2016
Brighton & Hove Albion
3 - 0
Nottingham Forest
11 Apr 2016
Nottingham Forest
1 - 2
Brighton & Hove Albion
7 Aug 2015
Brighton & Hove Albion
1 - 0
Nottingham Forest

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)
Brighton
1.26
Form (Overall)
Nottingham
1.00

Brighton is +26% better in terms of Points Per Game

Brentford
0 - 2
Brighton & Hove Albion
Aston Villa
1 - 0
Brighton & Hove Albion
Brighton & Hove Albion
0 - 1
Crystal Palace
Brighton & Hove Albion
1 - 1
Everton
Fulham
2 - 1
Brighton & Hove Albion
Nottingham Forest
0 - 1
Liverpool
Nottingham Forest
0 - 0
Wolverhampton Wanderers
Leeds United
3 - 1
Nottingham Forest
Nottingham Forest
1 - 1
Crystal Palace
Brentford
0 - 2
Nottingham Forest

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