Buriram (Tha) vs Melbourne City (Aus) Prediction & Tips | AFC Champions League - Play Offs | FootballTips.app

Buriram (Tha)
HomeFull Time
1 - 0
HT: 0 - 0
Pens: 4 - 2
Tuesday 10 March

Melbourne City (Aus)
AwayBuriram (Tha)TimelineMelbourne City (Aus)
1st Half
Stojkovic F.Out: Edu Mancha
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10'
Zulj R.
21'
Dougall K.Out: Mueanta S.
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25'
2nd Half
Rahmani K.Out: Shillington H.
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46'
Jaided S.Out: Walsh S.
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46'
Bissoli
57'
Junker K.Out: Bissoli
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71'
Stojkovic F.
73'
Dougall K.
77'
Caputo M.Out: Memeti M.
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80'
Rashani E.Out: Kuen A.
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87'
Zulj P.
90+1'
Etheridge N.
90+6'
Extra Time
Wong L.Out: Arzani D.
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101'
Sanchez R.Out: Junker K.
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105'
Ferreyra G.
119'
Sanchez R.
119'
Lee-Oh S.Out: Ko Myeong-Seok
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120+5'
Penalties
Caputo M.(Penalty)
sports_soccer
1'
Causic G.(Penalty)
sports_soccer
1'
Teague R. (Penalty missed)
close
2'
Schindler K.(Penalty)
sports_soccer
2'
Behich A. (Penalty missed)
close
3'
Zulj P.(Penalty)
sports_soccer
3'
Younis M.(Penalty)
sports_soccer
4'
Dougall K.(Penalty)
sports_soccer
4'
Top stats
0.34Expected goals (xG)0.75
24%Ball possession76%
7Total shots11
2Shots on target4
1Big chances2
3Corner kicks10
55% (134/244)Passes86% (643/752)
6Yellow cards0
1Red cards1
Shots
0.34Expected goals (xG)0.75
0.09xG on target (xGOT)0.88
7Total shots11
2Shots on target4
4Shots off target4
1Blocked shots3
4Shots inside the box8
3Shots outside the box3
0Hit the woodwork1
Attack
1Big chances2
3Corner kicks10
10Touches in opposition box22
0Accurate through passes1
0Offsides5
9Free kicks16
Passes
55% (134/244)Passes86% (643/752)
30% (26/87)Long passes44% (36/82)
39% (42/107)Passes in final third75% (155/207)
25% (3/12)Crosses11% (4/36)
0.14Expected assists (xA)0.84
25Throw ins31
Defense
16Fouls9
71% (15/21)Tackles63% (10/16)
62Duels won56
45Clearances18
8Interceptions7
1Errors leading to shot1
0Errors leading to goal0
Goalkeeping
4Goalkeeper saves2
0.88xGOT faced0.09
0.88Goals prevented0.09
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AI Prediction
verified Very High Confidence
11.74
X3.42
24.62
Recommended Bet
Home Win
Stake: High (9/10)
87
Opp. Value
Key Factors
Season: Home 2.50 PPG vs Away 1.00 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 2.55 PPG vs Away 0.35 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 4.17 GPG vs Away 1.40 GPG
Defense (venue): Home 0.83 conc vs Away 2.60 conc
donut_small Win Probabilities
88%
Buriram (Tha) Win
6%
Draw
6%
Melbourne City (Aus) Win
Buriram (Tha)
Draw
Melbourne City (Aus)
League Standings Context
For Buriram (Tha)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Sanfrecce | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 15 |
| 4 | Buriram United | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 14 |
| 5 | Melbourne City | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 14 |
For Melbourne City (Aus)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Buriram United | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 14 |
| 5 | Melbourne City | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 14 |
| 6 | Darul Takzim | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 11 |
Advanced Stats (Avg per match)
53.8/ 92.5
Dangerous Attacks
49.0/ 106.0
41.0%
Shots on Target
32.0%
12.9
Total Shots
11.0
58.0%
Possession
55.0%
Team Performance (Avg)
2.6
Goals Scored / Match
1.1
0.9
Goals Conceded / Match
1.3
Head-to-Head Summary
1
Buriram (Tha) Wins
25%
1
Draws
25%
2
Melbourne City (Aus) Wins
50%
Total H2H Matches: 4
Recent Form Stats
| Market | Buriram (Tha) | Melbourne City (Aus) |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 86%31/36 | 53%19/36 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 67%24/36 | 31%11/36 |
| Both Teams to Score | 53%19/36 | 39%14/36 |
* Based on last 36 matches
Past Matches
Last 6: Buriram (Tha)
ThC
Buriram United
6 - 0
Khon Kaen United
Th1
Buriram United
6 - 0
Sukhothai FC
ACL
Buriram United
2 - 0
Shanghai Shenhua
Th1
Buriram United
0 - 2
Bangkok United
ThL
Buriram United
3 - 2
Prachuap
Th1
Buriram United
8 - 1
Chiangrai United
Home Games: Buriram (Tha)
ThC
Buriram United
6 - 0
Khon Kaen United
Th1
Buriram United
6 - 0
Sukhothai FC
ACL
Buriram United
2 - 0
Shanghai Shenhua
Th1
Buriram United
0 - 2
Bangkok United
ThL
Buriram United
3 - 2
Prachuap
Th1
Buriram United
8 - 1
Chiangrai United
Last 6: Melbourne City (Aus)
Au1
Auckland
3 - 0
Melbourne City
ACL
Ulsan Hyundai
1 - 2
Melbourne City
Au1
WS Wanderers
1 - 1
Melbourne City
Au1
Wellington Phoenix
2 - 2
Melbourne City
Au1
Macarthur FC
6 - 2
Melbourne City
ACL
FC Seoul
1 - 1
Melbourne City
Away Games: Melbourne City (Aus)
Au1
Auckland
3 - 0
Melbourne City
ACL
Ulsan Hyundai
1 - 2
Melbourne City
Au1
WS Wanderers
1 - 1
Melbourne City
Au1
Wellington Phoenix
2 - 2
Melbourne City
Au1
Macarthur FC
6 - 2
Melbourne City
ACL
FC Seoul
1 - 1
Melbourne City
history Recent Form
W
W
W
L
W
L
L
D
D
L
group Head to Head
PL3 Mar 2026
1-1
PL21 Oct 2025
2-1
PL8 Nov 2023
0-1
PL25 Oct 2023
0-2
25%
Over 2.5 Goals
50%
Both Team Score
Head-to-Head Detailed
Over 1.5 Goals
75%
3 / 4 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
25%
1 / 4 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
0%
0 / 4 matches
Both Teams to Score
50%
2 / 4 matches
Buriram (Tha) CS
25%
Clean Sheets
Melbourne City (Aus) CS
25%
Clean Sheets
Recent Matches
3 Mar 2026
Melbourne City FC
1 - 1
Buriram United
21 Oct 2025
Melbourne City FC
2 - 1
Buriram United
8 Nov 2023
Melbourne City FC
0 - 1
Buriram United
25 Oct 2023
Buriram United
0 - 2
Melbourne City FC
Current Form Comparison
Form (Overall)
2.50
Form (Overall)
1.00
Buriram (Tha) is +150% better in terms of Points Per Game
Nakhon Ratchasima
0 - 3
Buriram United
Buriram United
6 - 0
Sukhothai
Bangkok Glass
1 - 3
Buriram United
Buriram United
0 - 2
Bangkok United
Buriram United
8 - 1
Chiangrai United
Auckland
3 - 0
Melbourne City FC
Melbourne City FC
1 - 3
Melbourne Victory FC
Western Sydney Wanderers
1 - 1
Melbourne City FC
Wellington Phoenix
2 - 2
Melbourne City FC
Macarthur
6 - 2
Melbourne City FC
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Very High Confidence
11.74
X3.42
24.62
Recommended Bet
Home Win
Stake: High (9/10)
87
Opp. Value
Key Factors
Season: Home 2.50 PPG vs Away 1.00 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 2.55 PPG vs Away 0.35 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 4.17 GPG vs Away 1.40 GPG
Defense (venue): Home 0.83 conc vs Away 2.60 conc
League Standings Context
For Buriram (Tha)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Sanfrecce | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 15 |
| 4 | Buriram United | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 14 |
| 5 | Melbourne City | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 14 |
For Melbourne City (Aus)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Buriram United | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 14 |
| 5 | Melbourne City | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 14 |
| 6 | Darul Takzim | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 11 |
Team Performance (Avg)
2.6
Goals Scored / Match
1.1
0.9
Goals Conceded / Match
1.3
Recent Form Stats
| Market | Buriram (Tha) | Melbourne City (Aus) |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 86%31/36 | 53%19/36 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 67%24/36 | 31%11/36 |
| Both Teams to Score | 53%19/36 | 39%14/36 |
* Based on last 36 matches
history Recent Form
W
W
W
L
W
L
L
D
D
L
Head-to-Head Detailed
Over 1.5 Goals
75%
3 / 4 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
25%
1 / 4 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
0%
0 / 4 matches
Both Teams to Score
50%
2 / 4 matches
Buriram (Tha) CS
25%
Clean Sheets
Melbourne City (Aus) CS
25%
Clean Sheets
Recent Matches
3 Mar 2026
Melbourne City FC
1 - 1
Buriram United
21 Oct 2025
Melbourne City FC
2 - 1
Buriram United
8 Nov 2023
Melbourne City FC
0 - 1
Buriram United
25 Oct 2023
Buriram United
0 - 2
Melbourne City FC
donut_small Win Probabilities
88%
Buriram (Tha) Win
6%
Draw
6%
Melbourne City (Aus) Win
Buriram (Tha)
Draw
Melbourne City (Aus)
Advanced Stats (Avg per match)
53.8/ 92.5
Dangerous Attacks
49.0/ 106.0
41.0%
Shots on Target
32.0%
12.9
Total Shots
11.0
58.0%
Possession
55.0%
Head-to-Head Summary
1
Buriram (Tha) Wins
25%
1
Draws
25%
2
Melbourne City (Aus) Wins
50%
Total H2H Matches: 4
Past Matches
Last 6: Buriram (Tha)
ThC
Buriram United
6 - 0
Khon Kaen United
Th1
Buriram United
6 - 0
Sukhothai FC
ACL
Buriram United
2 - 0
Shanghai Shenhua
Th1
Buriram United
0 - 2
Bangkok United
ThL
Buriram United
3 - 2
Prachuap
Th1
Buriram United
8 - 1
Chiangrai United
Home Games: Buriram (Tha)
ThC
Buriram United
6 - 0
Khon Kaen United
Th1
Buriram United
6 - 0
Sukhothai FC
ACL
Buriram United
2 - 0
Shanghai Shenhua
Th1
Buriram United
0 - 2
Bangkok United
ThL
Buriram United
3 - 2
Prachuap
Th1
Buriram United
8 - 1
Chiangrai United
Last 6: Melbourne City (Aus)
Au1
Auckland
3 - 0
Melbourne City
ACL
Ulsan Hyundai
1 - 2
Melbourne City
Au1
WS Wanderers
1 - 1
Melbourne City
Au1
Wellington Phoenix
2 - 2
Melbourne City
Au1
Macarthur FC
6 - 2
Melbourne City
ACL
FC Seoul
1 - 1
Melbourne City
Away Games: Melbourne City (Aus)
Au1
Auckland
3 - 0
Melbourne City
ACL
Ulsan Hyundai
1 - 2
Melbourne City
Au1
WS Wanderers
1 - 1
Melbourne City
Au1
Wellington Phoenix
2 - 2
Melbourne City
Au1
Macarthur FC
6 - 2
Melbourne City
ACL
FC Seoul
1 - 1
Melbourne City
group Head to Head
PL3 Mar 2026
1-1
PL21 Oct 2025
2-1
PL8 Nov 2023
0-1
PL25 Oct 2023
0-2
25%
Over 2.5 Goals
50%
Both Team Score
Current Form Comparison
Form (Overall)
2.50
Form (Overall)
1.00
Buriram (Tha) is +150% better in terms of Points Per Game
Nakhon Ratchasima
0 - 3
Buriram United
Buriram United
6 - 0
Sukhothai
Bangkok Glass
1 - 3
Buriram United
Buriram United
0 - 2
Bangkok United
Buriram United
8 - 1
Chiangrai United
Auckland
3 - 0
Melbourne City FC
Melbourne City FC
1 - 3
Melbourne Victory FC
Western Sydney Wanderers
1 - 1
Melbourne City FC
Wellington Phoenix
2 - 2
Melbourne City FC
Macarthur
6 - 2
Melbourne City FC
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