Burnley vs Aston Villa Prediction & Tips | Premier League | FootballTips.app
Burnley
HomeFull Time
2 - 2
HT: 1 - 1
Sunday 10 May
Aston Villa
Awayauto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Very High Confidence
15.37
X4.15
21.65
Recommended Bet
Away Win
Stake: High (8/10)
83
Opp. Value
Key Factors
League Rank: Home #19 vs Away #5
Season: Home 0.57 PPG vs Away 1.66 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 0.00 PPG vs Away 1.05 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 0.88 GPG vs Away 1.18 GPG
donut_small Win Probabilities
10%
10%
79%
Burnley
Draw
Aston Villa
Match Preview
Burnley are heading for the Championship and could still end up finishing bottom of the Premier League if their form doesn't improve quickly.
The Clarets, just two points above Wolves, have lost five games on the bounce and haven't won at home since beating Leeds way back in October.
Aston Villa put their desperate performance against Tottenham behind them with a thumping 4-0 victory over Nottingham Forest booking their spot in the Europa League final.
Before Villa head to Istanbul, they need four points to ensure they'll definitely be playing Champions League football, although the final does offer them another chance.
Lineups
Lineup Predictions & Ratings
Burnley
Starting 11
-Martin Dúbravka
GK6.72
-Quilindschy Hartman
DL6.63
-Maxime Estève
DC6.54
-Hjalmar Ekdal
DC6.56
-Kyle Walker
DR6.46
-James Ward-Prowse
DMC6.51
-Florentino
DMC6.45
-Jaidon Anthony
AML6.58
-Lesley Ugochukwu
AMC6.34
-Marcus Edwards
AMR6.31
-Zian Flemming
FW6.59
Aston Villa
Starting 11
-Emiliano Martínez
GK6.77
-Lucas Digne
DL6.58
-Pau Torres
DC6.54
-Ezri Konsa
DC6.60
-Matty Cash
DR6.80
-Youri Tielemans
DMC6.84
-Douglas Luiz
DMC6.64
-Emiliano Buendía
AML6.53
-Morgan Rogers
AMC6.82
-John McGinn
AMR6.71
-Ollie Watkins
FW6.73
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches
compareTeam Comparison
Based on 35 matchesBurnleyvsAston Villa
radarTeam Profile
Burnley
Aston Villa
sports_soccer
18Attack41
shield
35Defense43
swap_horiz
33Possession59
gps_fixed
63Efficiency60
auto_fix_high
18Creativity35
gavel
56Discipline63
sports_soccerGoals & Scoring
35Goals Scored48
71Goals Conceded44
4Clean Sheets9
50Big Chances75
29Big Chances Missed54
2Penalty Goals0
gps_fixedShooting
319Total Shots439
104Shots on Target149
swap_horizPassing & Possession
41.8%Avg Possession53.6%
13,461Total Passes15,797
78.8%Pass Accuracy85.2%
shieldDefending
586Tackles535
320Interceptions217
127Saves105
47.1%Duels Won49.3%
gavelDiscipline
351Fouls355
59Yellow Cards54
3Red Cards1
56Offsides38
analyticsOther
126Corners183
178Successful Dribbles223
11Errors Leading to Goal13
6.65Avg Rating6.81
Statistical Comparison
BurnleyMetricAston Villa
32
Goals
45
25
Assists
34
6.4
Average Ratings
6.4
27.7
Average Age
29.1
184
Average Height (cm)
181.8
0.6
Shots pg
0.8
46%
Aerial Duel Success
51%
0.3
Dribbles pg
0.5
1.3
Tackles pg
1.2
history Recent Form
BurnleyL
L
L
L
L
Aston VillaL
L
W
D
W
group Head to Head
PL5 Oct 2025
2-1
PL30 Dec 2023
3-2
PL27 Aug 2023
1-3
PL19 May 2022
1-1
PL7 May 2022
1-3
64%
Over 2.5 Goals
86%
Both Team Score
Head-to-Head Detailed
Over 1.5 Goals
86%
12 / 14 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
64%
9 / 14 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
43%
6 / 14 matches
Both Teams to Score
86%
12 / 14 matches
Burnley CS
14%
Clean Sheets
Aston Villa CS
7%
Clean Sheets
Recent Matches
5 Oct 2025
Aston Villa
2 - 1
Burnley
30 Dec 2023
Aston Villa
3 - 2
Burnley
27 Aug 2023
Burnley
1 - 3
Aston Villa
19 May 2022
Aston Villa
1 - 1
Burnley
7 May 2022
Burnley
1 - 3
Aston Villa
27 Jan 2021
Burnley
3 - 2
Aston Villa
17 Dec 2020
Aston Villa
0 - 0
Burnley
1 Jan 2020
Burnley
1 - 2
Aston Villa
28 Sept 2019
Aston Villa
2 - 2
Burnley
24 May 2015
Aston Villa
0 - 1
Burnley
29 Nov 2014
Burnley
1 - 1
Aston Villa
27 Oct 2010
Aston Villa
2 - 1
Burnley
Current Form Comparison
Form (Overall)
0.57
Form (Overall)
1.66
Aston Villa is +191% better in terms of Points Per Game
Leeds United
3 - 1
Burnley
Burnley
0 - 1
Manchester City
Nottingham Forest
4 - 1
Burnley
Burnley
0 - 2
Brighton & Hove Albion
Fulham
3 - 1
Burnley
Aston Villa
1 - 2
Tottenham Hotspur
Fulham
1 - 0
Aston Villa
Aston Villa
4 - 3
Sunderland
Nottingham Forest
1 - 1
Aston Villa
Aston Villa
2 - 0
West Ham United
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Very High Confidence
15.37
X4.15
21.65
Recommended Bet
Away Win
Stake: High (8/10)
83
Opp. Value
Key Factors
League Rank: Home #19 vs Away #5
Season: Home 0.57 PPG vs Away 1.66 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 0.00 PPG vs Away 1.05 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 0.88 GPG vs Away 1.18 GPG
Match Preview
Burnley are heading for the Championship and could still end up finishing bottom of the Premier League if their form doesn't improve quickly.
The Clarets, just two points above Wolves, have lost five games on the bounce and haven't won at home since beating Leeds way back in October.
Aston Villa put their desperate performance against Tottenham behind them with a thumping 4-0 victory over Nottingham Forest booking their spot in the Europa League final.
Before Villa head to Istanbul, they need four points to ensure they'll definitely be playing Champions League football, although the final does offer them another chance.
compareTeam Comparison
Based on 35 matchesBurnleyvsAston Villa
radarTeam Profile
Burnley
Aston Villa
sports_soccer
18Attack41
shield
35Defense43
swap_horiz
33Possession59
gps_fixed
63Efficiency60
auto_fix_high
18Creativity35
gavel
56Discipline63
sports_soccerGoals & Scoring
35Goals Scored48
71Goals Conceded44
4Clean Sheets9
50Big Chances75
29Big Chances Missed54
2Penalty Goals0
gps_fixedShooting
319Total Shots439
104Shots on Target149
swap_horizPassing & Possession
41.8%Avg Possession53.6%
13,461Total Passes15,797
78.8%Pass Accuracy85.2%
shieldDefending
586Tackles535
320Interceptions217
127Saves105
47.1%Duels Won49.3%
gavelDiscipline
351Fouls355
59Yellow Cards54
3Red Cards1
56Offsides38
analyticsOther
126Corners183
178Successful Dribbles223
11Errors Leading to Goal13
6.65Avg Rating6.81
history Recent Form
BurnleyL
L
L
L
L
Aston VillaL
L
W
D
W
Head-to-Head Detailed
Over 1.5 Goals
86%
12 / 14 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
64%
9 / 14 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
43%
6 / 14 matches
Both Teams to Score
86%
12 / 14 matches
Burnley CS
14%
Clean Sheets
Aston Villa CS
7%
Clean Sheets
Recent Matches
5 Oct 2025
Aston Villa
2 - 1
Burnley
30 Dec 2023
Aston Villa
3 - 2
Burnley
27 Aug 2023
Burnley
1 - 3
Aston Villa
19 May 2022
Aston Villa
1 - 1
Burnley
7 May 2022
Burnley
1 - 3
Aston Villa
27 Jan 2021
Burnley
3 - 2
Aston Villa
17 Dec 2020
Aston Villa
0 - 0
Burnley
1 Jan 2020
Burnley
1 - 2
Aston Villa
28 Sept 2019
Aston Villa
2 - 2
Burnley
24 May 2015
Aston Villa
0 - 1
Burnley
29 Nov 2014
Burnley
1 - 1
Aston Villa
27 Oct 2010
Aston Villa
2 - 1
Burnley
donut_small Win Probabilities
10%
10%
79%
Burnley
Draw
Aston Villa
Lineups
Lineup Predictions & Ratings
Burnley
Starting 11
-Martin Dúbravka
GK6.72
-Quilindschy Hartman
DL6.63
-Maxime Estève
DC6.54
-Hjalmar Ekdal
DC6.56
-Kyle Walker
DR6.46
-James Ward-Prowse
DMC6.51
-Florentino
DMC6.45
-Jaidon Anthony
AML6.58
-Lesley Ugochukwu
AMC6.34
-Marcus Edwards
AMR6.31
-Zian Flemming
FW6.59
Aston Villa
Starting 11
-Emiliano Martínez
GK6.77
-Lucas Digne
DL6.58
-Pau Torres
DC6.54
-Ezri Konsa
DC6.60
-Matty Cash
DR6.80
-Youri Tielemans
DMC6.84
-Douglas Luiz
DMC6.64
-Emiliano Buendía
AML6.53
-Morgan Rogers
AMC6.82
-John McGinn
AMR6.71
-Ollie Watkins
FW6.73
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches
Statistical Comparison
BurnleyMetricAston Villa
32
Goals
45
25
Assists
34
6.4
Average Ratings
6.4
27.7
Average Age
29.1
184
Average Height (cm)
181.8
0.6
Shots pg
0.8
46%
Aerial Duel Success
51%
0.3
Dribbles pg
0.5
1.3
Tackles pg
1.2
group Head to Head
PL5 Oct 2025
2-1
PL30 Dec 2023
3-2
PL27 Aug 2023
1-3
PL19 May 2022
1-1
PL7 May 2022
1-3
64%
Over 2.5 Goals
86%
Both Team Score
Current Form Comparison
Form (Overall)
0.57
Form (Overall)
1.66
Aston Villa is +191% better in terms of Points Per Game
Leeds United
3 - 1
Burnley
Burnley
0 - 1
Manchester City
Nottingham Forest
4 - 1
Burnley
Burnley
0 - 2
Brighton & Hove Albion
Fulham
3 - 1
Burnley
Aston Villa
1 - 2
Tottenham Hotspur
Fulham
1 - 0
Aston Villa
Aston Villa
4 - 3
Sunderland
Nottingham Forest
1 - 1
Aston Villa
Aston Villa
2 - 0
West Ham United
Weekly Newsletter
Subscribe for Betting Tips
Get exclusive predictions delivered to your inbox.
Join our community of smart bettors. Get exclusive predictions, value picks, and statistical analysis delivered straight to your inbox.
Free Weekly Tips
Value Opportunities