Burnley vs Brentford Prediction & Tips | Premier League | FootballTips.app

Burnley

Burnley

Home
Full Time
3 - 4
HT: 1 - 3
Saturday 28 February
Brentford

Brentford

Away
BurnleyTimelineBrentford
1st Half
Damsgaard M. (Ouattara Da.)
sports_soccer
9'
Thiago I. (Damsgaard M.)
sports_soccer
25'
Schade K.
sports_soccer
34'
Kayode M.
sports_soccer
45+3'
2nd Half
Foster L.Out: Bruun Larsen J.
sync_alt
46'
Ugochukwu L.Out: Laurent J.
sync_alt
46'
Anthony J. (Mejbri H.)
sports_soccer
47'
Flemming Z. (Mejbri H.)
sports_soccer
60'
Donovan R.Out: Ouattara Da.
sync_alt
72'
Lewis-Potter K.Out: Schade K.
sync_alt
72'
Henderson J.Out: Yarmolyuk Y.
sync_alt
73'
FlorentinoOut: Ward-Prowse J.
sync_alt
75'
Thiago I.
77'
Tchaouna L.Out: Mejbri H.
sync_alt
84'
Humphreys B.
86'
Barnes A.Out: Flemming Z.
sync_alt
90+1'
Damsgaard M.Assist: Henry R.
sports_soccer
90+3'
Yarmolyuk Y.
90+10'
Foster L.
90+11'

Top stats

0.97Expected goals (xG)1.94
41%Ball possession59%
12Total shots16
3Shots on target7
1Big chances3
4Corner kicks8
79% (251/318)Passes81% (367/451)
2Yellow cards2

Shots

0.97Expected goals (xG)1.94
1.28xG on target (xGOT)2.58
12Total shots16
3Shots on target7
7Shots off target4
2Blocked shots5
9Shots inside the box13
3Shots outside the box3
0Hit the woodwork0
1Headed goals1

Attack

1Big chances3
4Corner kicks8
13Touches in opposition box44
1Accurate through passes0
2Offsides0
9Free kicks9

Passes

79% (251/318)Passes81% (367/451)
35% (19/54)Long passes45% (27/60)
70% (71/101)Passes in final third64% (70/110)
29% (5/17)Crosses23% (5/22)
0.81Expected assists (xA)0.75
20Throw ins14

Defense

9Fouls9
54% (7/13)Tackles79% (11/14)
49Duels won63
39Clearances28
3Interceptions7
0Errors leading to shot1
0Errors leading to goal0

Goalkeeping

2Goalkeeper saves1
2.58xGOT faced1.28
-1.42Goals prevented-0.72
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Very High Confidence
14.60
X3.89
21.80

Recommended Bet

Away Win
Stake: High (10/10)
100
Opp. Value

Key Factors

League Rank: Home #19 vs Away #7
Season: Home 0.70 PPG vs Away 1.48 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 1.15 PPG vs Away 1.30 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 0.92 GPG vs Away 1.23 GPG

donut_small Win Probabilities

11%
9%
80%
Burnley
Draw
Brentford

Match Preview

Burnley will go head-to-head against Brentford in a Premier League fixture at Turf Moor on February 28, 2026 GMT.

The hosts, Burnley, find themselves in the 19th position in the standings with 19 points, while Brentford holds the 7th spot with 40 points.

In recent statistical data, Burnley has suffered 3 losses in their last 6 home matches, whereas Brentford has been impressive with 5 wins in their last 6 away matches.

Moreover, in their head-to-head clashes this season, Burnley has emerged victorious in 4 out of 7 matches against Brentford.

Both teams will be aiming to secure a crucial victory for their respective ambitions in the league.

Our model predicts Brentford to win with a probability of 46%.

Burnley have given themselves an outside chance of beating the drop after the late draw at Chelsea moved them within eight points of safety.

The Clarets still appear to be heading for an immediate return to the Championship, but their last two results - the win at Palace being the other - has lifted the mood at Turf Moor.

Brentford had been on an excellent run, but the form book was well and truly ripped up last Saturday after they were beaten 2-0 at home by Brighton.

The Bees have lost their last three trips to Burnley and are winless in five, a record that need to change if they want to remain in seventh spot, which could be worth a ticket to Europe.

Lineups

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

Burnley

Starting 11
-Martin Dúbravka
GK6.81
-Joe Worrall
DC6.45
-Maxime Estève
DC6.54
-Josh Laurent
DC6.30
-Bashir Humphreys
DML6.67
-Lesley Ugochukwu
MC6.38
-Hannibal Mejbri
MC6.21
-Kyle Walker
DMR6.44
-Jaidon Anthony
AMC6.54
-Marcus Edwards
AMC6.38
-Zian Flemming
FW6.54

Brentford

Starting 11
-Caoimhín Kelleher
GK6.62
-Rico Henry
DL6.22
-Sepp van den Berg
DC6.75
-Kristoffer Ajer
DC6.62
-Michael Kayode
DR6.87
-Jordan Henderson
DMC6.46
-Vitaly Janelt
DMC6.79
-Kevin Schade
AML6.92
-Mathias Jensen
AMC6.44
-Dango Ouattara
AMR6.77
-Igor Thiago
FW7.04
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

compareTeam Comparison

Based on 27 matches
BurnleyvsBrentford

radarTeam Profile

Burnley
Brentford
AttackDefensePossessionEfficiencyCreativityDiscipline
sports_soccer
19Attack45
shield
38Defense45
swap_horiz
29Possession41
gps_fixed
68Efficiency82
auto_fix_high
16Creativity43
gavel
57Discipline54

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

29Goals Scored40
52Goals Conceded37
3Clean Sheets6
38Big Chances82
20Big Chances Missed47
2Penalty Goals6

gps_fixedShooting

246Total Shots283
80Shots on Target108

swap_horizPassing & Possession

41.1%Avg Possession46.6%
10,171Total Passes10,496
78.1%Pass Accuracy79.3%

shieldDefending

460Tackles395
249Interceptions247
101Saves74
47.3%Duels Won48.0%

gavelDiscipline

269Fouls289
46Yellow Cards53
2Red Cards1
44Offsides48

analyticsOther

93Corners134
124Successful Dribbles165
8Errors Leading to Goal6
6.65Avg Rating6.79

Statistical Comparison

BurnleyMetricBrentford
27
Goals
39
20
Assists
24
6.4
Average Ratings
6.5
27.3
Average Age
26.5
185.2
Average Height (cm)
183.7
0.6
Shots pg
0.7
46%
Aerial Duel Success
51%
0.4
Dribbles pg
0.5
1
Tackles pg
0.9

League Standings Context

For Burnley

PosTeamPWDLPts
18West Ham27671425
19Burnley27471619
20Wolverhampton29272013

For Brentford

PosTeamPWDLPts
6Liverpool27136845
7Brentford271241140
8Bournemouth27911738

Advanced Stats (Avg per match)

40.6/ 87.3
Dangerous Attacks
44.0/ 88.3
33.0%
Shots on Target
38.0%
10.0
Total Shots
10.6
43.0%
Possession
48.0%

Team Performance (Avg)

1.2
Goals Scored / Match
1.6
1.9
Goals Conceded / Match
1.2

Head-to-Head Summary

3
Burnley Wins
50%
0
Draws
0%
3
Brentford Wins
50%
Total H2H Matches: 6

Recent Form Stats

MarketBurnleyBrentford
Over 1.5 Goals
90%28/31
90%28/31
Over 2.5 Goals
58%18/31
45%14/31
Both Teams to Score
65%20/31
48%15/31
* Based on last 31 matches

Past Matches

Last 6: Burnley

FA
Burnley
1 - 2
Mansfield
EPL
Burnley
0 - 2
West Ham
EPL
Burnley
2 - 2
Tottenham
FA
Burnley
5 - 1
Millwall
EPL
Burnley
2 - 2
Manchester United
EPL
Burnley
1 - 3
Newcastle United

Home Games: Burnley

FA
Burnley
1 - 2
Mansfield
EPL
Burnley
0 - 2
West Ham
EPL
Burnley
2 - 2
Tottenham
FA
Burnley
5 - 1
Millwall
EPL
Burnley
2 - 2
Manchester United
EPL
Burnley
1 - 3
Newcastle United

Last 6: Brentford

FA
Macclesfield
0 - 1
Brentford
EPL
Newcastle United
2 - 3
Brentford
EPL
Aston Villa
0 - 1
Brentford
EPL
Chelsea
2 - 0
Brentford
FA
Sheffield Wednesday
0 - 2
Brentford
EPL
Everton
2 - 4
Brentford

Away Games: Brentford

FA
Macclesfield
0 - 1
Brentford
EPL
Newcastle United
2 - 3
Brentford
EPL
Aston Villa
0 - 1
Brentford
EPL
Chelsea
2 - 0
Brentford
FA
Sheffield Wednesday
0 - 2
Brentford
EPL
Everton
2 - 4
Brentford

history Recent Form

BurnleyBurnley
0.7 GPG
D
W
L
L
D
BrentfordBrentford
1.5 GPG
L
D
W
W
L

group Head to Head

PL29 Nov 2025
Brentford
3-1
Burnley
PL16 Mar 2024
Burnley
2-1
Brentford
PL21 Oct 2023
Brentford
3-0
Burnley
PL12 Mar 2022
Brentford
2-0
Burnley
PL30 Oct 2021
Burnley
3-1
Brentford
71%
Over 2.5 Goals
57%
Both Team Score

Head-to-Head Detailed

Over 1.5 Goals
86%
6 / 7 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
71%
5 / 7 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
43%
3 / 7 matches
Both Teams to Score
57%
4 / 7 matches
Burnley CS
14%
Clean Sheets
Brentford CS
29%
Clean Sheets

Recent Matches

29 Nov 2025
Brentford
3 - 1
Burnley
16 Mar 2024
Burnley
2 - 1
Brentford
21 Oct 2023
Brentford
3 - 0
Burnley
12 Mar 2022
Brentford
2 - 0
Burnley
30 Oct 2021
Burnley
3 - 1
Brentford
15 Jan 2016
Brentford
1 - 3
Burnley
22 Aug 2015
Burnley
1 - 0
Brentford

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)
Burnley
0.70
Form (Overall)
Brentford
1.48

Brentford is +111% better in terms of Points Per Game

Chelsea
1 - 1
Burnley
Crystal Palace
2 - 3
Burnley
Burnley
0 - 2
West Ham United
Sunderland
3 - 0
Burnley
Burnley
2 - 2
Tottenham Hotspur
Brentford
0 - 2
Brighton & Hove Albion
Brentford
1 - 1
Arsenal
Newcastle United
2 - 3
Brentford
Aston Villa
0 - 1
Brentford
Brentford
0 - 2
Nottingham Forest

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