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Burnley vs Brighton Prediction & Tips | Premier League | FootballTips.app

Burnley

Burnley

Home
Full Time
0 - 2
HT: 0 - 1
Saturday 11 April
Brighton

Brighton

Away
BurnleyTimelineBrighton
1st Half
Esteve M.
30'
Wieffer M.Assist: Gross P.
sports_soccer
43'
2nd Half
van Hecke J. P.
48'
Florentino
60'
Bruun Larsen J.Out: Ugochukwu L.
sync_alt
67'
Rutter G.Out: Welbeck D.
sync_alt
75'
Baleba C.Out: Hinshelwood J.
sync_alt
75'
Tresor Ndayishimiye M.Out: Edwards M.
sync_alt
75'
Mitoma K.Out: Minteh Y.
sync_alt
80'
Broja A.Out: Florentino
sync_alt
82'
Lucas PiresOut: Hartman Q.
sync_alt
82'
Walker K.Out: Humphreys B.
sync_alt
82'
Veltman J.Out: Gomez D.
sync_alt
88'
Wieffer M. (Ayari Y.)
sports_soccer
89'

Top stats

0.87Expected goals (xG)1.93
50%Ball possession50%
10Total shots13
5Shots on target6
1Big chances1
8Corner kicks2
81% (387/475)Passes83% (397/477)
2Yellow cards1

Shots

0.87Expected goals (xG)1.93
1.10xG on target (xGOT)2.50
10Total shots13
5Shots on target6
3Shots off target3
2Blocked shots4
8Shots inside the box9
2Shots outside the box4
0Hit the woodwork0

Attack

1Big chances1
8Corner kicks2
15Touches in opposition box39
0Accurate through passes0
2Offsides1
11Free kicks7

Passes

81% (387/475)Passes83% (397/477)
46% (28/61)Long passes41% (19/46)
71% (73/103)Passes in final third65% (87/133)
27% (6/22)Crosses50% (8/16)
0.58Expected assists (xA)1.11
27Throw ins11

Defense

7Fouls11
55% (6/11)Tackles66% (19/29)
45Duels won52
25Clearances26
10Interceptions18
1Errors leading to shot0
1Errors leading to goal0

Goalkeeping

3Goalkeeper saves4
2.50xGOT faced1.10
0.50Goals prevented1.10
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Very High Confidence
14.75
X4.18
21.73

Recommended Bet

Away Win
Stake: High (8/10)
84
Opp. Value

Key Factors

League Rank: Home #19 vs Away #10
Season: Home 0.65 PPG vs Away 1.39 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 0.35 PPG vs Away 2.40 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 1.00 GPG vs Away 1.13 GPG

donut_small Win Probabilities

16%
17%
68%
Burnley
Draw
Brighton

Match Preview

Burnley have made some improvements in recent months, but just one victory since November still has them heading for an immediate return to the Championship.

The Clarets could be 12 points from safety with just seven games left by the time they kick off in Lancashire - with 18th-place West Ham hosting Wolves on Friday night.

Brighton's push for European football is really starting to take shape with the Liverpool victory before the international break leaving them three points behind seventh and only six adrift of the Champions League spots.

The Seagulls have lost just one of their last nine trips to Turf Moor and are unbeaten in their last four visits.

Lineups

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

Burnley

Starting 11
-Martin Dúbravka
GK6.74
-Quilindschy Hartman
DL6.65
-Maxime Estève
DC6.54
-Bashir Humphreys
DC6.64
-Kyle Walker
DR6.49
-James Ward-Prowse
DMC6.60
-Florentino
DMC6.50
-Jaidon Anthony
AML6.60
-Lesley Ugochukwu
AMC6.35
-Lyle Foster
AMR6.29
-Zian Flemming
FW6.61

Brighton

Starting 11
-Bart Verbruggen
GK6.60
-Ferdi Kadioglu
DL6.66
-Olivier Boscagli
DC6.60
-Jan Paul van Hecke
DC6.99
-Mats Wieffer
DR6.88
-Pascal Groß
MC6.91
-Carlos Baleba
MC6.26
-Jack Hinshelwood
MC6.35
-Kaoru Mitoma
FWL6.60
-Danny Welbeck
FW6.59
-Yankuba Minteh
FWR6.88
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

Statistical Comparison

BurnleyMetricBrighton
30
Goals
40
23
Assists
24
6.4
Average Ratings
6.5
27.2
Average Age
26.3
185.5
Average Height (cm)
182.6
0.6
Shots pg
0.8
45%
Aerial Duel Success
50%
0.3
Dribbles pg
0.5
1.3
Tackles pg
1.2

history Recent Form

BurnleyBurnley
0.7 GPG
L
D
L
L
D
BrightonBrighton
1.4 GPG
W
W
L
W
W

group Head to Head

PL3 Jan 2026
Brighton & Hove Albion
2-0
Burnley
PL13 Apr 2024
Burnley
1-1
Brighton & Hove Albion
PL9 Dec 2023
Brighton & Hove Albion
1-1
Burnley
PL19 Feb 2022
Brighton & Hove Albion
0-3
Burnley
PL14 Aug 2021
Burnley
1-2
Brighton & Hove Albion
29%
Over 2.5 Goals
48%
Both Team Score

Head-to-Head Detailed

Over 1.5 Goals
62%
13 / 21 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
29%
6 / 21 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
14%
3 / 21 matches
Both Teams to Score
48%
10 / 21 matches
Burnley CS
38%
Clean Sheets
Brighton CS
33%
Clean Sheets

Recent Matches

3 Jan 2026
Brighton & Hove Albion
2 - 0
Burnley
13 Apr 2024
Burnley
1 - 1
Brighton & Hove Albion
9 Dec 2023
Brighton & Hove Albion
1 - 1
Burnley
19 Feb 2022
Brighton & Hove Albion
0 - 3
Burnley
14 Aug 2021
Burnley
1 - 2
Brighton & Hove Albion
6 Feb 2021
Burnley
1 - 1
Brighton & Hove Albion
6 Nov 2020
Brighton & Hove Albion
0 - 0
Burnley
26 Jul 2020
Burnley
1 - 2
Brighton & Hove Albion
14 Sept 2019
Brighton & Hove Albion
1 - 1
Burnley
9 Feb 2019
Brighton & Hove Albion
1 - 3
Burnley
8 Dec 2018
Burnley
1 - 0
Brighton & Hove Albion
28 Apr 2018
Burnley
0 - 0
Brighton & Hove Albion

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)
Burnley
0.65
Form (Overall)
Brighton
1.39

Brighton is +114% better in terms of Points Per Game

Fulham
3 - 1
Burnley
Burnley
0 - 0
AFC Bournemouth
Everton
2 - 0
Burnley
Burnley
3 - 4
Brentford
Chelsea
1 - 1
Burnley
Brighton & Hove Albion
2 - 1
Liverpool
Sunderland
0 - 1
Brighton & Hove Albion
Brighton & Hove Albion
0 - 1
Arsenal
Brighton & Hove Albion
2 - 1
Nottingham Forest
Brentford
0 - 2
Brighton & Hove Albion

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