Burnley vs Bristol City Prediction & Tips | Championship

arrow_back Back/Championship/Burnley vs Bristol City

Burnley

Home

Full Time

1 - 2

HT: 0 - 0

Saturday 5 September

Bristol City

Away

BurnleyTimelineBristol City

1st Half

Ekdal H.

45+2'

2nd Half

Broja A.Out: Hountondji A.

sync_alt

46'

Ahmedhodzic A.Out: Ekdal H.

sync_alt

46'

Ramsey A. (Hatate R.)

sports_soccer

56'

Hirakawa Y.Out: Wallace J.

sync_alt

61'

Ballard D.Out: Yah G.

sync_alt

62'

Amdouni Z.Out: Hatate R.

sync_alt

63'

Bruun Larsen J.Out: Ramazani L.

sync_alt

70'

Greenwood S.Out: Twine S.

sync_alt

72'

Tanner G.Out: Pring C.

sync_alt

72'

Adebayo E.Out: Tolaj L.

sync_alt

80'

Dickie R. (Cardines R.)

sports_soccer

82'

Walker K.

83'

Mejbri H.Out: Ramsey A.

sync_alt

85'

Hirakawa Y. ()

sports_soccer

90+1'

Broja A.

90+4'

Top stats

0.26Expected goals (xG)1.06

52%Ball possession48%

8Total shots15

2Shots on target4

0Big chances3

5Corner kicks8

84% (392/469)Passes79% (332/422)

3Yellow cards0

Shots

0.26Expected goals (xG)1.06

0.59xG on target (xGOT)1.12

8Total shots15

2Shots on target4

3Shots off target8

3Blocked shots3

4Shots inside the box10

4Shots outside the box5

0Hit the woodwork1

0Headed goals1

Attack

0Big chances3

5Corner kicks8

12Touches in opposition box26

0Accurate through passes0

2Offsides2

7Free kicks13

Passes

84% (392/469)Passes79% (332/422)

47% (29/62)Long passes44% (27/62)

73% (87/119)Passes in final third64% (87/136)

0% (0/16)Crosses20% (4/20)

0.34Expected assists (xA)0.66

20Throw ins17

Defense

13Fouls7

65% (11/17)Tackles72% (13/18)

39Duels won59

38Clearances22

8Interceptions5

0Errors leading to shot0

0Errors leading to goal0

Goalkeeping

2Goalkeeper saves1

1.12xGOT faced0.59

-0.88Goals prevented-0.41

9Goal kicks6

auto_awesome

AI Prediction

verified Very High Confidence

11.89

X3.59

23.88

Recommended Bet

check_circle

Away Win

Odds: 4.00Stake: Medium (8/10)

Opp. Value

Key Factors

League Rank: Home #23 vs Away #7

Season: Home 0.50 PPG vs Away 1.40 PPG

Recent Form (weighted): Home 0.50 PPG vs Away 2.06 PPG

Goals (venue): Home 1.20 GPG vs Away 2.00 GPG

donut_small Win Probabilities

35%

23%

42%

Burnley

Draw

Bristol City

payments

Value Comparison

Outcome	Market Odds	True Odds (AI)	Fair Odds	Value
Over 2.5 Goals	1.85	1.76	—	+5.2%
Burnley Win	1.91	2.88	2.00	-33.6%
Draw	3.64	4.32	3.82	-15.8%
Bristol City Win	4.00	2.37	4.19	+68.4%
BTTS - Yes	1.72	1.81	—	-5.2%

Fair Odds remove the bookmaker margin. Value is raw EV vs market odds; hover a badge for the edge vs fair odds.

Match Preview

Burnley responded well after going behind to Middlesbrough on Wednesday night as Ugo Raghouber's second-half strike proved enough to earn a point for the Clarets. Nicky Hayen's side remain winless in five competitive outings heading into gameweek five.

Bristol City took the lead after just four minutes on Tuesday night and never relinquished it, cruising to a 3-1 away win against basement boys Preston. After a slow start to the season, the Robins have taken seven points from the last nine available.

Lineups

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

Burnley

Starting 11

-Max Weiss

GK5.98

-Connor Roberts

DL6.11

-Anel Ahmedhodzic

DC6.14

-Max Alleyne

DC6.26

-Oliver Sonne

DR6.05

-Reo Hatate

DMC

-Hannibal Mejbri

DMC6.04

-Jacob Bruun Larsen

AML6.58

-Aaron Ramsey

AMC6.24

-Largie Ramazani

AMR6.41

-Zeki Amdouni

FW6.33

Bristol City

Starting 11

-Sam Tickle

GK5.96

-Rio Cardines

DL7.35

-Lisav Eissat

DC7.08

-Rob Dickie

DC7.12

-Noah Eile

DR6.24

-Adam Randell

DMC5.64

-Jason Knight

DMC6.92

-Yu Hirakawa

AML6.43

-Scott Twine

AMC7.07

-Jed Wallace

AMR6.54

-Lorent Tolaj

FW6.52

Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

compareTeam Comparison

Based on 4 matches

BurnleyvsBristol City

1.25Goals / Match1.75

2.50Conceded / Match1.50

0Clean Sheets0

3.75Shots on Target / Match4.00

50.0%Possession %41.0%

83.2%Pass Accuracy %70.2%

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

5Goals Scored7

10Goals Conceded6

8Big Chances10

7Big Chances Missed5

1Penalty Goals0

gps_fixedShooting

55Total Shots44

15Shots on Target16

swap_horizPassing & Possession

50.0%Avg Possession41.0%

1,822Total Passes1,223

83.2%Pass Accuracy70.2%

shieldDefending

48Tackles47

23Interceptions34

7Saves6

46.5%Duels Won47.3%

gavelDiscipline

41Fouls49

7Yellow Cards6

1Red Cards1

3Offsides6

analyticsOther

20Corners14

27Successful Dribbles12

2Errors Leading to Goal0

6.69Avg Rating6.91

Statistical Comparison

BurnleyMetricBristol City

Goals

Assists

6.3

Average Ratings

6.5

25.1

Average Age

25.2

180.7

Average Height (cm)

181.3

1.5

Shots pg

0.9

45%

Aerial Duel Success

49%

0.6

Dribbles pg

0.4

Tackles pg

history Recent Form

Burnley

0.5 GPG

Bristol City

1.4 GPG

group Head to Head

PL29 Mar 2025

1-0

PL23 Nov 2024

0-1

PL29 Apr 2023

1-2

PL17 Sept 2022

2-1

PL28 Jan 2017

2-0

60%

Over 2.5 Goals

53%

Both Team Score

Head-to-Head Detailed

Over 1.5 Goals

80%

12 / 15 matches

Over 2.5 Goals

60%

9 / 15 matches

Over 3.5 Goals

33%

5 / 15 matches

Both Teams to Score

53%

8 / 15 matches

Burnley CS

40%

Clean Sheets

Bristol City CS

13%

Clean Sheets

Recent Matches

29 Mar 2025

Burnley

1 - 0

Bristol City

23 Nov 2024

Bristol City

0 - 1

Burnley

29 Apr 2023

Bristol City

1 - 2

Burnley

17 Sept 2022

Burnley

2 - 1

Bristol City

28 Jan 2017

Burnley

2 - 0

Bristol City

28 Dec 2015

Burnley

4 - 0

Bristol City

29 Aug 2015

Bristol City

1 - 2

Burnley

6 Apr 2013

Burnley

3 - 1

Bristol City

23 Oct 2012

Bristol City

3 - 4

Burnley

28 Apr 2012

Burnley

1 - 1

Bristol City

5 Nov 2011

Bristol City

3 - 1

Burnley

19 Mar 2011

Bristol City

2 - 0

Burnley

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)

0.50

Form (Overall)

1.40

Bristol City is +180% better in terms of Points Per Game

Burnley

1 - 1

Middlesbrough

Norwich City

4 - 1

Burnley

West Bromwich Albion

3 - 1

Burnley

2 - 2

West Ham United

Preston North End

1 - 3

Bristol City

2 - 1

Portsmouth

Birmingham City

2 - 2

Bristol City

0 - 2

Millwall

Weekly Newsletter

Subscribe for Betting Tips

Get exclusive predictions delivered to your inbox.

Join our community of smart bettors. Get exclusive predictions, value picks, and statistical analysis delivered straight to your inbox.

Free Weekly Tips

Value Opportunities

Burnley vs Bristol City Prediction & Tips | Championship | FootballTips.app

Burnley

Bristol City

Top stats

Shots

Attack

Passes

Defense

Goalkeeping

Recommended Bet

Key Factors

donut_small Win Probabilities

Value Comparison

Match Preview

Lineups

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

Burnley

Starting 11

Bristol City

Starting 11

compareTeam Comparison

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

gps_fixedShooting

swap_horizPassing & Possession

shieldDefending

gavelDiscipline

analyticsOther

Statistical Comparison

history Recent Form

group Head to Head

Head-to-Head Detailed

Recent Matches

Current Form Comparison

Subscribe for Betting Tips